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I'm going to make a wild prediction: We will not see self-driving 18-wheelers for 50 years

Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:46 pm
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:46 pm
At least 50 years...it's not going to happen. No way companies will be willing to take on that responsibilities and if a few are there is no way insurance companies take on the risk. There is no way to program for every little scenario that might pop up out on the open road.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179856 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:46 pm to
i concur. i was having this internal debate with myself last night when i was trying to fall asleep.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86677 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:46 pm to
I'll take that bet

*bookmarked for 50 years from now

ETA: when you laugh at the idea of still posting on TD 50 years from now but then realize you have already been posting for over a decade.. :|
This post was edited on 1/23/19 at 2:50 pm
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:46 pm to
I'll bet you you're wrong
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:47 pm to
10 years max
Posted by Rouge
Floston Paradise
Member since Oct 2004
138831 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:47 pm to
truck drivers on amphetamines is just so much better
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59341 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

50 years


and you would lose that bet
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45503 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

no way insurance companies take on the risk.


I think it'll be the opposite. Once they get out there 90% of the wrecks will be caused by humans and you won't be able to insure humans anymore.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:48 pm to
Yup. Op is clueless
Posted by theCrusher
Slidell
Member since Nov 2007
1813 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:50 pm to
10 years max

This looks right and it will be all of the standard runs with zero route variation. USPS, FEDEX and UPS will be the first to implement.
Posted by StealthCalais11
Lurker since 2007
Member since Aug 2011
12555 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:50 pm to
In 50 years I hope we don't see them at all.
Posted by J Murdah
Member since Jun 2008
40227 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:50 pm to
man thats wild
Posted by BrohemAlem11
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
13912 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:51 pm to
as long as a self-driving 18 wheeler stays the hell out of the left lane, I say let's do it!!!
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:51 pm to
Clueless? lol
Posted by Cump11b
Member since Sep 2018
2026 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

it's not going to happen


I agree with you, especially in a litigious state such as Louisiana. The liability is too great. Sure, you have the possibility of human error now. But in an automated vehicle, you have the possibility of computer/software error as well as human error... unless someone cranks on skynet.
Posted by TechDawg2007
Bawville
Member since Nov 2007
32629 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:52 pm to
Bookmarked
Posted by i am dan
NC
Member since Aug 2011
32356 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:52 pm to
Doesn't self driving vehicles require highly visible lane markers and lines and such?

If that's the case, many many roads and interstates will not be adequate.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Clueless? lol


What gives you insight over all the major car manufacturers developing said technology?
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:53 pm to
Gordon McKernan is going to make so much money suing self-driving big rigs after he and Ted Williams awake from their cryo slumber.

Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 2:54 pm to
Insurance companies want it too.

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