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re: I'm going to make a wild prediction: We will not see self-driving 18-wheelers for 50 years

Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:51 pm to
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
14616 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

Most cars will have self driving capability within 10 years. Within 25 years every car will be self driving. Within 35 you won't even be able to actually drive without a license that I would put on par with getting a license to own fully automatic weapons.

This is laughable. Every year people just keep saying this same thing though. “In 10 years it will be here...”

It’s just something that’s constantly repeated. Never in 9 years or 8 years or 5 years. Always 10 years away.

And if you seriously think people won’t be allowed to drive in our lifetimes! Good luck to the robot truck to trailering my pontoon and backing it down the boat launch.
Posted by cyarrr
Prairieville
Member since Jun 2017
4342 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

You know, I've been posting for 15 years and I've never heard that one


I imagine you hear it every time you are posting and throughout the day when you are not.
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

But regardless, it’s coming man. There’s no doubt at all.

And I don't disagree with that, I'm just saying in my opinion, it's a lot further off than what people think
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

Good luck to the robot truck to trailering my pontoon and backing it down the boat launch.


That's infinitely easier than driving. They could develop a truck to do that now
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
37022 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

I'm going to make a wild prediction: We will not see self-driving 18-wheelers for 50 years


I'm curious how the rigs put chains on for going over mountain passes.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

And I don't disagree with that, I'm just saying in my opinion, it's a lot further off than what people think


Based on nothing whereas there mountains of evidence to the contrary
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

I'm curious how the rigs put chains on for going over mountain passes.


Check points in areas where there is known to be problem areas through AI
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:54 pm to
I love post count booms and really love mocking usernames...just go back a couple of pages and check out where I lowered the boom on lunch box. I think me and you would get along outside of this board. Want to grab a beer?
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:56 pm to


Checkpoints and one man monitoring stations? Sounds like it's all worked out
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

Checkpoints and one man monitoring stations? Sounds like it's all worked out


What is it that you do for a living?
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:58 pm to
I'm a software engineer for Tesla
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
14616 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

That's infinitely easier than driving. They could develop a truck to do that now

Lol. It’s not. And “they” can’t.
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

I'm a software engineer for Tesla


I want to know your insight into technology. What is your occupation? Are you plugged into technologies of the future?
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

Lol. It’s not. And “they” can’t.


Yes it is. Trucks can already parallel park between two other vehicles on their own. Put markers down a boat launch and measure the depth of the water. That is a very controlled environment, a truck could absolutely do that right now
Posted by cyarrr
Prairieville
Member since Jun 2017
4342 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 5:01 pm to
Well, I must say, you're definitely holding your own against the baord.
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 5:03 pm to
I'm pretty sure I've already posted all of my opinions are uneducated, but I still maintain it will be a long time before we see completely human free 18-wheelers
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37536 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

I'm pretty sure I've already posted all of my opinions are uneducated, but I still maintain it will be a long time before we see completely human free 18-wheelers



Which is idiotic
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 5:04 pm to
Ok
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

Check points in areas where there is known to be problem areas through AI




one size won't fit all but it will change a lot.

Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
14616 posts
Posted on 1/23/19 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

Put markers down a boat launch and measure the depth of the water

Good idea. You pay for it though.

Also pay the multi trillion dollars it will take to equip every roadway in the country with 125 mil thermoplastic.

10 years
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