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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:16 pm to
Posted by Wolfhound45
Hanging with Chicken in Lurkistan
Member since Nov 2009
120000 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Honestly, the erotic nature of it threw me so much, it was hard to focus on details.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
78760 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:16 pm to
You know it's a major hurricane when they bring out Dr. Beverly Crusher.

Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
166689 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Lol. This was 100% me last year with the wife.

“Honey I know this is going to sound weird, but stone cold just got posted in the weather thread on tigerdroppings. Gather only what you need to survive.”


Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
26897 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:21 pm to


Is she Prego or just a field grazer?
Posted by CobraCommander83
Member since Feb 2017
11630 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:21 pm to
Is it me or does it look like it rides up the coast a little bit on the latest GFS? It seemed earlier that it was going to make landfall near Tampa and ride up the middle of Florida.

Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22883 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

Is it me or does it look like it rides up the coast a little bit on the latest GFS? It seemed earlier that it was going to make landfall near Tampa and ride up the middle of Florida.


Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
12045 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:23 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
44621 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

Refresh the page, upvote his post, refresh again.


You have discovered the secret.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
44621 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:26 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
166689 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:28 pm to
One thing worth watching is there's a subtle tough at 250-mb not seen at 500-mb. If Ian continues rapidly strengthening and becomes more vertical to where it feels the flow at 250-mb better the streamlines into the 250-mb trough will nudge Ian slightly WNW and closer to the trough. It won't be a big shift west but it will send it slightly farther up the Florida coast and could be the difference between big bend and Tampa for landfall.

One reason why the GFS ensembles differ in sending Ian towards big bend and deterministic GFS sends it close to Tampa.

Trough at 250-mb into the western Gulf



Not seen at 500-mb

This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 2:37 pm
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
26897 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Is there an official cone? I thought once it officially became a hurricane they had to put out a cone.


Yes the official OT cone is scheduled to be released by Peej this evening.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
92724 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

Sam Lillo @splillo This is far from breaking news, but the SHIPS rapid intensification probabilities for #Ian are truly exceptional. Astronomical 79% probability that Ian becomes a category 4 hurricane in just 36 hours.


The scary part of this, is that it’s hard to predict intensity. It could very well reach cat 5, or may never reach 4. Depends on so many factors and if or when it undergoes EWRC
Posted by paperwasp
#2 in SEC OT Power Rankings
Member since Sep 2014
24377 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:35 pm to
quote:


quote:



This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 2:36 pm
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
170170 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:38 pm to
Tom Brady even be pulling Hurricane Pussy.
Posted by Mattgobear
New Orleans, LA
Member since Sep 2007
3090 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:41 pm to
I wonder if Blue Shed Jeff is en route to Florida?
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
78204 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Yes the official OT cone is scheduled to be released by Peej this evening.



How much do we need to pay him? I just got a bonus...
Posted by CobraCommander83
Member since Feb 2017
11630 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

shift west


quote:

big bend


Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
58405 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:47 pm to
@PinellasCoNews

quote:

Effective 6 p.m. today, all residents in Evacuation Zone A (including all mobile home residents) will be under mandatory evacuation orders. Mandatory orders for evacuation zones B and C will be effective tomorrow morning at 7 a.m. 1/2

quote:

All residential healthcare facilities will be under mandatory evacuation orders starting today as well. #GetReadyPinellas #PCian #HurricaneIan 2/2



Posted by FLBooGoTigs1
Nocatee, FL.
Member since Jan 2008
55558 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:47 pm to
From those pics it looks like a long distance relationship. The poon on the east coast and slong on the West Coast
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
58405 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

I wonder if Blue Shed Jeff is en route to Florida?


I hope he had to detour because a mouse built a nest in his chase vehicle.

ETA: I just don't want to see him almost taken out by another 757 being snatched from the sky again. It is a safety issue, really.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 2:57 pm
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