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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 3/11/24 at 11:29 pm to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 3/11/24 at 11:29 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
But let's focus on what Trump is doing right now, in the current circumstances. He is actively blocking all aid, military and otherwise, to Ukraine at a critical point in that war. He is defending Putin.
How is Trump doing anything as a citizen and former President. SCHUMER AND Biden can get the aid I'd they take care of American needs first. NATO needs to step up and spend as well.
0
Posted on 3/12/24 at 12:40 am to WeeWee
The first thing I would be searching for is a reliable, portable EW device against drones that Ukrainians can use on anything from trenches to tanks. As much of a copycat business war is i’m a little surprised Ukraine hasn’t already produced its own variant of the Zala/Lancet duo that Russia uses. They aren’t anything high tech either. Maybe they already have they are getting more and more accurate long range drones they just can’t pack a big explosion to have the range they do or else the aircraft plant where they had the A-50 that was hit the other day would have suffered a lot more damage. There is about to be so much money made in the private sector in drone and anti drone technology over the next 5-7 years.
This post was edited on 3/12/24 at 12:42 am
Posted on 3/12/24 at 2:18 am to WeeWee
quote:
You keep pointing out that the west is not making as many shells as Russia. That is true but Russia is not making enough shells to sustain itself either.
Step back in your logic chain
If artillery is responsible for 90% of casualties, and one side is producing three times as much ammunition, who is most likely to win, all things being equal?
I understand your point, that based on these figures the Russians would eventually have to cut back from the 10k shells a day, but even if that’s true. That still leaves Ukraine at a stark disadvantage. They would still lose.
quote:
That is true but Russia is not making enough shells to sustain itself either.
This is probably why the Russians are augmenting their domestic production with North Korean shells. North Korea can produce a lot of artillery ammunition, and this allows the Russians to maximize their advantage in artillery systems overall.
quote:
While firing those 10,000 shells per day it still took Russia 4 months to capture Avdiivka.
The battle really came down to a week of fighting.
quote:
That means they used approximately 1.2 million shells to move the front line < 20 km west
They’re trying to destroy the Ukrainian Army, and do so as efficiently as possible, and at the lowest cost to themselves.
Break the army, and they can take the territory they want.
quote:
you still have not answered my question about if you have actually been to Russia or not?
As I’ve said previously, I’ve been there
This post was edited on 3/12/24 at 2:40 am
Posted on 3/12/24 at 2:23 am to cypher
Defenders of Democracy
Posted on 3/12/24 at 2:37 am to LSUPilot07
I’ve been screaming that. You know these selectors and congressmen have an inside track on who is going to get the drone stuff contacts that the average citizen is going to miss out on. There going to make millions on insider trading.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 2:48 am to WeeWee
Do you think the rockets are doing any good. Every video I see is just the pop up maneuver and just lob them in. Not sure how effective that is but I’m sure it makes them think there fighting back.frick Russia!
Posted on 3/12/24 at 6:24 am to SLIPSHITE
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 12 March 2024
On 9 March 2024, an uncrewed aerial vehicle attack launched by the Ukrainian Armed Forces struck areas across the Beriev Tankt maintenance facility in Taganrog, Rostov region, Russia. The Taganrog site is used to produce, upgrade, maintain and repair the Russian Air Force's A-50U MAINSTAY Airborne Early Warning and Control (AEW&C) aircraft. It also has broader strategic significance for Russia as it also services long range strategic bombers, transport aircraft, and is the test centre for the next generation AEW&C aircraft, the A-100. The constant presence of active air defence positioned around the site is indicative of its importance.
The loss of the A-50U from Russian operations highly likely significantly degrades situational awareness. Images of the damage caused by the attack that circulated online appear to show damage to two large buildings associated to the A-50U fleet, highly likely used to shelter the aircraft during periods of deep maintenance. Two weeks after the loss of a second A-50U, the fleet highly likely remains grounded from flying in support of Ukraine operations. This attack demonstrates that Ukrainian operations can still reach strategically significant targets within Russia, even when such sites are thought to be protected, whether in the air or on the land.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 12 March 2024
On 9 March 2024, an uncrewed aerial vehicle attack launched by the Ukrainian Armed Forces struck areas across the Beriev Tankt maintenance facility in Taganrog, Rostov region, Russia. The Taganrog site is used to produce, upgrade, maintain and repair the Russian Air Force's A-50U MAINSTAY Airborne Early Warning and Control (AEW&C) aircraft. It also has broader strategic significance for Russia as it also services long range strategic bombers, transport aircraft, and is the test centre for the next generation AEW&C aircraft, the A-100. The constant presence of active air defence positioned around the site is indicative of its importance.
The loss of the A-50U from Russian operations highly likely significantly degrades situational awareness. Images of the damage caused by the attack that circulated online appear to show damage to two large buildings associated to the A-50U fleet, highly likely used to shelter the aircraft during periods of deep maintenance. Two weeks after the loss of a second A-50U, the fleet highly likely remains grounded from flying in support of Ukraine operations. This attack demonstrates that Ukrainian operations can still reach strategically significant targets within Russia, even when such sites are thought to be protected, whether in the air or on the land.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 6:33 am to cypher
Ukraine carries out massive drone attack on multiple oil refineries in at least 6 Russian oblasts
March 12, 2024, 02:35 AM
Ukrainian drones attacked Russia’s Kursk, Belgorod, Tula, Voronezh, Nizhny Novgorod, and Bryansk oblasts, as well as Moscow leading to fire breaking out in oil depots near Orel city, and in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed at 7:30 a.m. MSK.
25 drones to have been intercepted, Russia’s MoD claimed.
Explosions were heard near the oil depot in Orel city in Kursk Oblast, which was spotted ablaze, and near the Lukoil oil depot in Russia’s Nizhny Novgorod oblast.
Ignoring the explosions, Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed to have intercepted Ukrainian drones over several Russian oblasts:
13 over Kursk Oblast, including 2 near Orel city
7 over Belgorod Oblast
2 near Moscow
1 over Leningrad Oblast
1 over Bryansk Oblast
1 over Tula Oblast
In addition to the Defense Ministry statement, one drone was intercepted over Voronezh Oblast, claimed oblast governor Oleksandr Gusev.
While Russia’s Defense Ministry ignored the fires at the oil depots and the results of other drone strikes, local authorities in Kursk, Voronezh, and Belgorod oblasts reported having a difficult night and morning.
The New Voice of Ukraine
March 12, 2024, 02:35 AM
Ukrainian drones attacked Russia’s Kursk, Belgorod, Tula, Voronezh, Nizhny Novgorod, and Bryansk oblasts, as well as Moscow leading to fire breaking out in oil depots near Orel city, and in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed at 7:30 a.m. MSK.
25 drones to have been intercepted, Russia’s MoD claimed.
Explosions were heard near the oil depot in Orel city in Kursk Oblast, which was spotted ablaze, and near the Lukoil oil depot in Russia’s Nizhny Novgorod oblast.
Ignoring the explosions, Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed to have intercepted Ukrainian drones over several Russian oblasts:
13 over Kursk Oblast, including 2 near Orel city
7 over Belgorod Oblast
2 near Moscow
1 over Leningrad Oblast
1 over Bryansk Oblast
1 over Tula Oblast
In addition to the Defense Ministry statement, one drone was intercepted over Voronezh Oblast, claimed oblast governor Oleksandr Gusev.
While Russia’s Defense Ministry ignored the fires at the oil depots and the results of other drone strikes, local authorities in Kursk, Voronezh, and Belgorod oblasts reported having a difficult night and morning.
The New Voice of Ukraine
Posted on 3/12/24 at 6:39 am to cypher
Ukraine's intelligence on overnight drone attacks: explosions in Russia to continue
VALENTYNA ROMANENKO — Tuesday, 12 March 2024, 11:30
Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence has warned that all facilities utilised for military purposes by the Russian Federation may face similar attacks to those that occurred during the night of 11-12 March.
Source: Andrii Yusov, spokesman for Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence, on the air of Radio Liberty
Details: Yusov commented on the fires at Russian facilities that were struck by drone attacks on the night of 11-12 March.
He said that Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence cannot comment on the means used to attack the facilities in the Russian Federation. However, Yusov emphasised that the work to destroy those facilities supporting Russian forces will continue.
Quote: "There have been reports of rumblings and ‘bavovna’, and other incidents at a range of facilities utilised by the enemy for military purposes, including those supporting the ‘Rashist’ occupation force in Ukraine… ("Rashist" is a neologism for the fascist-like ideology espoused by the government of modern Russia, and "bavovna" is the Ukrainian word for cotton; a joking reference to the Kremlin's euphemistic use of "khlopok", a Russian term which can mean either "thunderclap" or "cotton", when reporting on explosions, rather than the usual "vzryv").
Any facility used for military purposes may encounter similar incidents in one form or another. As usual, we cannot comment on who or what caused the damage, but we can say that these efforts will continue."
Ukrainska Pravda
VALENTYNA ROMANENKO — Tuesday, 12 March 2024, 11:30
Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence has warned that all facilities utilised for military purposes by the Russian Federation may face similar attacks to those that occurred during the night of 11-12 March.
Source: Andrii Yusov, spokesman for Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence, on the air of Radio Liberty
Details: Yusov commented on the fires at Russian facilities that were struck by drone attacks on the night of 11-12 March.
He said that Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence cannot comment on the means used to attack the facilities in the Russian Federation. However, Yusov emphasised that the work to destroy those facilities supporting Russian forces will continue.
Quote: "There have been reports of rumblings and ‘bavovna’, and other incidents at a range of facilities utilised by the enemy for military purposes, including those supporting the ‘Rashist’ occupation force in Ukraine… ("Rashist" is a neologism for the fascist-like ideology espoused by the government of modern Russia, and "bavovna" is the Ukrainian word for cotton; a joking reference to the Kremlin's euphemistic use of "khlopok", a Russian term which can mean either "thunderclap" or "cotton", when reporting on explosions, rather than the usual "vzryv").
Any facility used for military purposes may encounter similar incidents in one form or another. As usual, we cannot comment on who or what caused the damage, but we can say that these efforts will continue."
Ukrainska Pravda
Posted on 3/12/24 at 7:06 am to cypher
ISW March 11 Update
quote:
Key Takeaways:
A Ukrainian military observer offered assessments of Russian force generation and defense industrial base (DIB) capacities that are consistent with ISW’s previous assessments.
Russia’s increased defense industrial base (DIB) production is likely not sustainable in the medium and long-term as it will likely suffer from labor shortages, decreased weapons and equipment stockpiles, and an inability to completely compensate for military and dual-use items it can no longer acquire due to sanctions.
Transfers of North Korean weapons to Russia by sea have apparently resumed after a pause since mid-February 2024.
A Ukrainian military source noted that Russian forces are increasingly using grenades equipped with chemical substances in the Zaporizhia direction, in potential violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) to which Russia is a signatory.
The Moldovan Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) has summoned Russian Ambassador to Moldova Oleg Vasnetsov in response to claims that Russia will operate polling stations in pro-Russian Moldovan breakaway region Transnistria during the Russian presidential election.
Russia, China, and Iran will hold the joint Maritime Security Belt – 2024 naval exercise in the Gulf of Oman between March 11–15.
The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) claimed that the West intends to use Armenia as a tool against Russia, a notable escalation in its information operations criticizing Armenian efforts to distance itself from security relations with Russia.
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a bill on March 11 that allows Russian authorities to further restrict actors it deems “foreign agents” to consolidate control over the Russian information space ahead of the presidential election.
France is reportedly prepared to build a coalition of countries that are open to potentially sending Western military personnel to Ukraine.
Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kreminna, Bakhmut, and Donetsk City.
Russian President Vladimir Putin continues efforts to cater to Russian servicemembers and their families with the promise of various social benefits.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 7:56 am to StormyMcMan
BDI....
Highly likely, probably, possibly, maybe, could be, potentially...
Highly likely, probably, possibly, maybe, could be, potentially...
Posted on 3/12/24 at 7:58 am to LSUPilot07
quote:
The first thing I would be searching for is a reliable, portable EW device against drones that Ukrainians can use on anything from trenches to tanks.
I have no idea how to do that. However, I am sure the UAF, the Pentagon, all the defense ministries of NATO, Taiwan, as well Russia, China, and India and many others are trying to figure that one out. Ukraine’s communication gear is still mostly Russian/Soviet based so it has to rely on cellular networks to communicate just like Russia because their military gear doesn’t have the bandwidth (IDK if that’s the correct terminology I am not a tech nerd). Neither side can take down the cell network like the USA did in Iraq and Afghanistan because then it would be denying itself access.
quote:
As much of a copycat business war is i’m a little surprised Ukraine hasn’t already produced its own variant of the Zala/Lancet duo that Russia uses.
They successfully tested their copy of the lancet last month. are in the process of building thousands of drone of all kinds, but it looks to be prioritizing drones that can strike into Russia in the short term.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 10:40 am to WeeWee
Reuters: US set to announce new military aid package for Ukraine
by Martin Fornusek and The Kyiv Independent news desk March 12, 2024 5:24 PM
The U.S. may announce later on March 12 a military aid package for Ukraine worth as much as $400 million, Reuters reported, citing two unnamed American officials.
This would be the first package since last December, as U.S. funds for Kyiv have been blocked by disputes in Congress.
One of the sources told Reuters "that the funding for this package is from credits refunded to the Pentagon for recent purchases."
U.S. aid to Ukraine has been delayed since autumn 2023, as various versions of a foreign aid bill have been derailed due to border security disagreements.
Most recently, a $95 billion aid package to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan passed in the Senate with bipartisan support, but House Speaker Mike Johnson has refused to bring it to a vote in the House of Representatives.
by Martin Fornusek and The Kyiv Independent news desk March 12, 2024 5:24 PM
The U.S. may announce later on March 12 a military aid package for Ukraine worth as much as $400 million, Reuters reported, citing two unnamed American officials.
This would be the first package since last December, as U.S. funds for Kyiv have been blocked by disputes in Congress.
One of the sources told Reuters "that the funding for this package is from credits refunded to the Pentagon for recent purchases."
U.S. aid to Ukraine has been delayed since autumn 2023, as various versions of a foreign aid bill have been derailed due to border security disagreements.
Most recently, a $95 billion aid package to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan passed in the Senate with bipartisan support, but House Speaker Mike Johnson has refused to bring it to a vote in the House of Representatives.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 10:42 am to SirWinston
Hard to understand how people can dislike Orban mate
Posted on 3/12/24 at 10:47 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
France is reportedly prepared to build a coalition of countries that are open to potentially sending Western military personnel to Ukraine.
It would be foolish to send official French armed forces to Ukraine. Of course, if they were volunteers, especially skilled fighter pilots for Western aircraft, that's a different story.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 11:30 am to Auburn1968
quote:
It would be foolish to send official French armed forces to Ukraine. Of course, if they were volunteers, especially skilled fighter pilots for Western aircraft, that's a different story.
No, it would not be forces intended to engage in combat. The coalition forces would help with things like logistics, maintenance, and training.
No one in any NATO country wants to see any of their troops killed, so the objective would be to help Ukraine as much as possible while minimizing risk.
If there were any actual combat troops actually sent (unlikely), their job would be to help guard and monitor Transnistria or the Belarussian border.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 12:07 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
Hard to understand how people can dislike Orban mate
2023 was the first time that Hungary met the NATO 2% threshold. In fact Trump called Hungary out for being one of the biggest freeloader during his first term. Hungary is also providing aid to Serbia and stoking ethnic tensions among the former Yugoslavia nations that are now part of NATO. So not only is he freeloading in NATO but actively trying to undermine it.
This post was edited on 3/12/24 at 12:26 pm
Posted on 3/12/24 at 12:59 pm to StormyMcMan
quote:
France is reportedly prepared to build a coalition of countries that are open to potentially sending Western military personnel to Ukraine.
No! Absolutely not!
Posted on 3/12/24 at 1:01 pm to WeeWee
Wtf the little globohomo Marxist is not letting up 
Probsbly the only thing he's ever been right about
Probsbly the only thing he's ever been right about
This post was edited on 3/12/24 at 1:19 pm
Posted on 3/12/24 at 2:03 pm to SirWinston
quote:
No! Absolutely not!
You're out here talking about how great Russia is, and how amazing Putin is... but you're afraid of France?
Isn't France super-duper "globohomo" or whatever? They have gays, so they'll surely be defeated on the battlefield, no? They're 80% atheist as a nation, so no worries about "good Christian lads" dying.
Funny that the one thing that Russian fanboys freak out about is the French military. 
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