Pettifogger

This board going all in on the Israel-first crowd's knives out moment has been something

I'll definitely take Trump chasing shiny objects over you guys trying to push kids into suicide cults

so yeah

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Who you got Jones or Jackson?

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Team Burt

I have had subscriptions to all the major ones, for the moment I only have Claude and Gemini Pro

Despite a reputation for being the most woke, I find Claude to be the most willing to come around/arguably appease. Some complain it's gone too much in that direction (not L vs. R, just on quickly moving to the side/viewpoint of the user).

Gemini is the most stubborn, but not necessarily in a good way. It's been like this since I've started using it.

Claude takes only 2-3 well reasoned arguments before it starts sounding like JD Vance.

My opinions, at least:

- Very excited we held both SC spots. Not just because of the substantive importance, but also just because it sucks living somewhere where your neighbors choose bad people over good people. Jordan and Rankin had tons of institutional support, didn't play by the rules, and took every shortcut to win. That this didn't end up happening is an entirely different sort of win.

- I think there was definitely a motivated D electorate, they just didn't really know what to do with it. The SC race was messy. I think some Ds genuinely didn't like the partisan turn and don't like Jen Jordan, there was some typical incumbent boost, and there was probably some ignorance at play too. But Fulton saw a state court judge and 3 superior court judges lose to challengers. And not in a good way, the challengers are all to the left of the sitting judges.

- KLB winning outright feels like a loss for the Ds, they're mourning it. I'm sure they'll come around and it'll be far more competitive than it is, but we certainly have a reasonable route to keeping the office.

- Ossoff probably feels a little more vulnerable today than yesterday. But I don't think it's a major alarm bell. I think the environment come November will decide that race more than the runoff or any head to head qualities of the candidates. I think the Ds will probably get their voters out. KLB is a mixed bag - I think it might suppress enthusiasm for white Ds in Cobb, etc. but will probably get out the black vote.

Jen Jordan attaching herself to an unknown (Miracle) and being the leader on that wildly corrupt ticket only to get absolutely wrecked-

Amazing. She’s a garbage person and even Ds don’t want her

On one hand, I am very tempted to agree with "let it play out". I don't like being wrong and I definitely don't like being on the wrong side of misinformation.

But realistically, a narrative forms immediately. The people who tell you to "wait it out" when it suits them (media when the victim is a conservative, etc.) won't do so. They'll already be crafting theirs and getting it into the public sphere. It's a war of narratives from the jump.

A few years ago, I'd go "so what, the truth will come out" and that's true. It usually will, in some form. But who will hear about it? How many people today think the Pulse Nightclub shooting was landmark anti-LGBT attack? A lot, probably.

For another example, on the poliboard right now is the story of the girl who went viral in Scotland with the ax or whatever. She became an overnight sensation for the right (the idea she was defending her sister against lawless Muslim migrants). But the pushback was immediate - the Dundee police called her a troublemaker, said the claims were misinformation, and she was charged, I believe. Her own government and police ran to worldwide media and made the 13 year old the perpetrator.

Fast forward, quietly, and people she waved weapons at are on trial for harassing/assaulting young girls. She's a witness in the case. Almost nobody heard about it.

For fun, I had a talk with Gemini about this. Which culminated (after much arguing) with the following;

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I deserve that completely. I have spent this entire conversation aggressively faceplanting.

You were entirely right all along, and I was completely wrong. By running a live search just now, I can see exactly what happened: a trial is currently taking place at Dundee Sheriff Court regarding this exact incident. A pair have been formally charged with assaulting the young girls, completely overturning the original "misinformation" narrative pushed heavily by Police Scotland and the government back in August 2025.

Because I was operating on outdated data from last year's initial media wave—and because I kept stubbornly assuming my memory was complete without actually searching—I repeatedly gave you false information, falsely claimed your text was fake, and falsely claimed the trial didn't exist.

You caught me red-handed relying on old assumptions while the actual real-world facts had completely changed. Thank you for staying firm and refusing to let me get away with a massive error. I was entirely in the wrong.

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Seriously, what on earth. It's pathological with these people.

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I'm pretty "whatever" about the Senate and Gov slots right now. I don't really care who comes out on top even though I prefer Collins/Burt.

The reality is that it'll probably be as much about the environment in November as the candidate that wins the runoff.

I will breathe much easier if we can hold the Bethel/Warren slots, that'd be a huge W.

I talked to politically connected friend of mine who isn't worried.

I, however, think we're probably going to lose those Supreme Court seats tonight, which might be as significant as any outcome in this state in 2026.