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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/25/24 at 12:57 pm to MrLSU
Posted on 9/25/24 at 12:57 pm to MrLSU
They announced a mandatory evacuation for zone A in the Tampa Bay area. The airport and anything to the SW of that is in that zone. It's straight up storm surge concerns.
LINK
LINK
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 12:59 pm
1
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:00 pm to rds dc
Damn man, Port St. Joe and Cape San Blas is going to get fricking wrecked again. Hurricane Michael was not all that long ago and that storm was a beast.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:00 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z Hurricane models seem to really like that Helene has closed off an inner core and avoided landfall on the NE Yucatan
This was already assumed. Nothing new here.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:01 pm to lsuman25
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:03 pm to LegendInMyMind
There was a guy asking about Auburn earlier. I hope he sees this.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:04 pm to rds dc
quote:Totally.
This system will be a topic for another thread once Helene clears out...
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:04 pm to holdmuh keystonelite
quote:
This was already assumed. Nothing new here.
It wasn't. The Yucatan was a big player here. The hope was that there would be more land interaction to slow development and strengthening. There wasn't, unfortunately.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:06 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
It wasn't. The Yucatan was a big player here. The hope was that there would be more land interaction to slow development and strengthening. There wasn't, unfortunately.
I know there was hope but most of the tracks did not have it making any landfall there.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:06 pm to alphaandomega
Abbeville, Louisiana.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:08 pm to DVinBR
Hurricane models don’t do well over land
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:10 pm to back9Tiger
Damn they upped the surge for east of the center to 12 to 18 feet.
quote:
STORM SURGE: The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and
the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded
by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Carrabelle, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...12-18 ft
Apalachicola, FL to Carrabelle, FL...8-12 ft
Chassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL...8-12 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Apalachicola, FL...6-9 ft
Anclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL...5-8 ft
Tampa Bay...5-8 ft
Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL...4-7 ft
Englewood, FL to Flamingo, FL...3-5 ft
Charlotte Harbor...3-5 ft
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:11 pm to sicboy
quote:
They announced a mandatory evacuation for zone A in the Tampa Bay area. The airport and anything to the SW of that is in that zone. It's straight up storm surge concerns.
FWIW from a government evacuation standpoint for Hurricanes its almost always about surge. Surge kills a lot more people than wind does.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:13 pm to NorthEndZone
I think we're going to see some of the most widespread evacuation orders that we've seen in a long time with this one. The big problem is that there just isn't much time.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:15 pm to baldona
quote:
Surge kills a lot more people than wind does
What do you think causes the surge?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:19 pm to sledgehammer
quote:
Help is on the way. I passed 20+ utility trucks headed east on i10 this morning between Jennings and Lake Charles.
Cleco had a pile of trucks getting on 12E earlier in Mandeville
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:20 pm to MrLSU
quote:
MrLSU
What is this 3rd grade garbage you're posting?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:21 pm to glassman
quote:
Macon, we have a problem.
You put a 944 through all those pines from the FL/GA line north through central GA and a lot more than Macon is about to have power problems.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:21 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Surge kills a lot more people than wind does
What do you think causes the surge?
I mean you aren't wrong, lol. But they don't look at wind speeds specifically they look at surge heights. There's definitely some places that could have mild winds but high surge, and vice versa.
Its also about timing, surge can happen first as the storm winds are blowing the water in.
Most importantly, I was stating that I've personally talked to multiple county officials of different counties and everyone uses surge height predictions to issue evacuations. Take that however you want.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:21 pm to NorthEndZone
18 ft is absurd
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:22 pm to redneck
Some lonely Atlanta housewives are about to meet the linemen of their dreams
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 1:22 pm
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