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Started By
Message
re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:22 pm to RummelTiger
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:22 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
What is this 3rd grade garbage you're posting?
It all looked so wonderfully quaint and nostalgic to me.
0
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:23 pm to baldona
I was just pulling your puddin.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:24 pm to back9Tiger
quote:
Port St. Joe and Cape San Blas
I’d rather be there tomorrow than St George Island or Steinhatchee due to storm surge.
That east wall water is gonna get pushed right in with nowhere to go.
At least PSJ will be on the back side and out of the bend taking the surge issues they had for Michael largely off the table.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:25 pm to LegendInMyMind
Yeah. And there has NEVER (since records started in 1850) been a major hurricane landfall between where Michael made landfall and where Idalia made landfall. Cat 2 Kate in 1985 was only a few miles down the coast (east) of Michael near Port St. Joe. The next one before that was Cat 2 Alma 1966 near St. Marks.
Basically if you are under 65 years old (accounting for young children not knowing what happened) in that area and have not lived anywhere else in hurricane areas, you have never seen anything like what is probably coming.
Just hope everyone gets out of there.
Basically if you are under 65 years old (accounting for young children not knowing what happened) in that area and have not lived anywhere else in hurricane areas, you have never seen anything like what is probably coming.
Just hope everyone gets out of there.
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 1:27 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:26 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
quote:
18 ft is absurd
Does anyone know if landfall going to be at high tide or low?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:26 pm to rds dc
was sitting outside just now eating lunch when a thought struck me
its a beautiful day here (Pcola), 85 degrees, puffy white clouds dotting blue skies, plenty of sunshine
indications are its pretty similar weather along the Big Bend area right now
imagine something like this happening 100 years or so ago, where in the span of <30 hours you would go from a tranquil fall day to 130 mph winds and 18 foot storm surges with absolutely no warning
its a beautiful day here (Pcola), 85 degrees, puffy white clouds dotting blue skies, plenty of sunshine
indications are its pretty similar weather along the Big Bend area right now
imagine something like this happening 100 years or so ago, where in the span of <30 hours you would go from a tranquil fall day to 130 mph winds and 18 foot storm surges with absolutely no warning
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 1:28 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:30 pm to alphaandomega
quote:
Does anyone know if landfall going to be at high tide or low?
Close to low tide.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:31 pm to alphaandomega
quote:
Does anyone know if landfall going to be at high tide or low?
For Alligator Point...looks like low/regular.
Tomorrow Thursday, 26th of September of 2024, the sun will rise in Alligator Point (St. James Island) at 7:28:34 am and sunset will be at 7:28:52 pm. In the high tide and low tide chart, we can see that the first low tide will be at 2:21 am and the next low tide at 5:45 pm. The only high tide of the day will be at 8:22 am.
LINK
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:31 pm to OysterPoBoy
The tide is high but I'm holdin on...
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:32 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:millibars. Might suck the Earth right out of orbit.
Is that showing 256 mph? Or is that in kilograms?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:32 pm to tokenBoiler
quote:
millibars. Might suck the Earth right out of orbit.
It's German so it would be kilobars.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:33 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Yeah. And there has NEVER (since records started in 1850) been a major hurricane landfall between where Michael made landfall and where Idalia made landfall. Cat 2 Kate in 1985 was only a few miles down the coast (east) of Michael near Port St. Joe. The next one before that was Cat 2 Alma 1966 near St. Marks.
Here's a decent analog, maybe the closest, if you want to look into it. Of course, it was an entirely different world then.
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Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:33 pm to FearlessFreep
quote:
imagine something like this happening 100 years or so ago, where in the span of <30 hours you would go from a tranquil fall day to 130 mph winds and 18 foot storm surges with absolutely no warning
I imagine at some point your body would feel that big pressure drop, but by then it’s too late of a warning to react to it.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:34 pm to alphaandomega
quote:
Does anyone know if landfall going to be at high tide or low?
If I'm reading it right, low tide will be at 5:48 pm at Cedar Key, FL, so water will be rising at landfall around 7:00 pm and keep rising until 12:24 am when high tide happens..
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 1:39 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:38 pm to BigBro
Crazy that the bands are already pounding Florida and the hurricane hasn't even fully entered the gulf yet. I am on the Atlantic coast on the Eastern side and I am seeing winds already kicking up. This hurricane is huge.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:42 pm to FLBooGoTigs1
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 1:44 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:45 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
Hurricane models don’t do well over land
They always overpredict the intensity far inland.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:51 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
They always overpredict the intensity far inland.
Not with Laura.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:54 pm to LegendInMyMind
how in the world do we have accurate information of storms from 1896? that's pretty amazing.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 1:56 pm to rds dc
Don't know if it's been mentioned yet
And I get it with what Helene is predicted to do
But for us Louisiana baws, this is the long range models for Saturday, October 6 @ 1pm
Tropical Tidbits - Long Range GFS
And I get it with what Helene is predicted to do
But for us Louisiana baws, this is the long range models for Saturday, October 6 @ 1pm
Tropical Tidbits - Long Range GFS
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