bayoubengals88

On schedule for MSFT (NJ location) :dude:

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.

Or you could take the fib extension view.
A near perfect retrace.

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.

Or, you can say that none of it matters, but I think computers trade on this shite don’t probably does.

Still holding 3 $260 calls for November.
Let’s ride :dude:

Nice work! :lol:

Sold 100 at a loss for tax purposes yesterday in the brokerage.
Wanted to get the highest lots off my books.

Bought 2028 calls ($50 strike) in that account with the proceeds.
Now I'll have to hold them long since I don't want any more cap gains.

What an encouraging bounce today!

quote:

---

Buy it back sir

---

No sir! This is the sacrifice that I'm making for you all!

If he’s right, this is key.

quote:

---

AI Capex will still continue because:
1. If American Labs stop training capex, then Chinese models will also stop improving. AI progress will have stopped. American companies have never given up just because Chinese are trying to copy them.
2. Chinese model still consume alot of compute/GPUs for inference. Inference demand will outstrip training demand anyways.

---

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.

So this is what’s happening?
I hope we’re done with it by tomorrow!

When people talk about over-leverage crushing high-growth stocks like Nebius, they are usually referring to a toxic mix of both margin and options. Both tools allow traders to control a massive amount of stock with very little of their own money.
Here is how each one works, and why they turn minor dips into absolute bloodbaths.
HOW MARGIN WORKS
Margin is simply borrowing money from your broker to buy more shares.
* The setup: If you have $10,000, your broker might let you buy $20,000 worth of stock by lending you an extra $10,000.
* The catch: The broker uses your shares as collateral. If the stock goes up, you make double the gains. But if the stock starts dropping, the value of your collateral shrinks.
* The crash: To protect their own money, the broker issues a margin call. They demand you deposit more cash immediately. If you cannot, the broker does not wait; they automatically sell your shares at the current market price to get their loan back. When thousands of traders get margin-called at the same time, it triggers a massive wave of forced selling.
HOW OPTIONS WORK
Options are contracts that let you bet on stock movements for a small fee, called a premium.
* The setup: Instead of buying 100 shares of a stock for $17,000, you might buy a call option for $1,000 that lets you profit if the stock rises.
* The market maker: The large institution that sold you that option is taking on a massive risk if the stock rockets up. To protect themselves, they buy actual shares of the stock as a hedge.
* The crash: If the stock price starts falling, the option becomes less likely to be profitable, and the institution needs less of a hedge. They immediately dump the shares they bought to protect themselves. This institutional selling drives the stock down even faster.
THE SNOWBALL EFFECT
When a high-growth stock drops slightly, it triggers a rapid chain reaction:
* As the price dips, institutions dump the shares they were holding to hedge options.
* This sudden drop triggers margin calls for regular traders.
* Brokers automatically liquidate those traders' shares, driving the price lower.
* The further drop triggers even more margin calls and option unwinding.
This is why growth stock sell-offs feel so incredibly violent. It is rarely just people choosing to sell; it is automated systems forcing them to sell.

Good little list here. I like the move.

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.

My word!!! UGLY!!!!!

quote:

---

As open models keep closing the intelligence gap with closed ones, more of that decision tips toward self hosting.

This is the mechanism that actually drives Nebius's revenue.

Nebius does not need to win the model race but rather needs open models to keep getting good enough that enterprises choose to rent compute instead of buying API tokens from a closed provider and every release like Kimi K3 makes that case stronger.

---

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.