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Is Texas really in danger of flipping to dems?

Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:04 am
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
61441 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:04 am
TX folks, how's it looking out there?


quote:

In 2022, Siena’s September Texas poll had Abbott leading Beto, 50-43, and their October poll had Abbott 52-43. He won, 55-44.

Beto led in just one public poll of that race, in November 2021, and never polled higher than 46 percent.
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
13700 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:05 am to
When you look at how many Illegal Immigrants, Muslims, and Indians are in Texas now why is this surprising? It’s like people are oblivious to what all that will eventually cause.
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
6664 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:07 am to
You blaming immigrants vs the clearly crap candidate?
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
59257 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:13 am to
They have been working on Texas for years and frankly, Texas has not produced a great Republican candidate since Cruz. Some of the Noem showboating ICE raids probably turned off a number of Hispanics as well.

Abbot is a bit of a surprise but I wonder if Paxton isn't dragging down the ticket.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
8206 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:15 am to
Both candidates are trash that fire up absolutely no one from their base..

Meanwhile the Democrats couldn't care less who the candidate is. ANY win in Texas is like a wrecking ball to GOP headquarters
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22492 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:17 am to
Well when you have Abbott and Paxton, two extremely unlikable people, you are putting yourself at a disadvantage. Not to mention how they hitched their wagon to Trump and the midterm is a referendum on him…
Posted by FluffyBunnyFeet
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2014
4110 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Is Texas really in danger of flipping to dems?

It's been in danger of flipping to dems for about 15 years at this point.
Posted by Pedropatterstine
Member since Aug 2026
1103 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:21 am to
Yes

But not just immigrants.....there has been a mass exodus of liberals from California that have gone to Texas, for a purpose. Say what you want about the progressive filth, they plan for down the road. This started years back. Combine the illegals, with this group of liberals, as well as other minorities pouring into the area.....at some point it will turn. BUT, it ain't turning this election. Some of you continue to get fooled by clearly liberal and incorrect polls. It has only been going on forever, yet, you still fall for it.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
30232 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:21 am to
No.

Especially not Governor. That poll is bunk.
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
33223 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:21 am to
With these two candidates it’s a coin toss. Cornyn would have been a much better general election candidate.
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
9707 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:27 am to
Yes. It will eventually flip. If not this time, then soon. It’s demographics. And once it flips, this country is pretty much done for, if it isn’t already. Republicans will have no viable path to the White House.
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
72096 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:27 am to
Abbott isn't losing. Much less by four points. This actually leads me to believe a lot of the Talarico hype isn't as legitimate as we are being led to believe.
Posted by biscuitsngravy
Tejas, north America
Member since Jan 2011
4063 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:28 am to
a serious post for once...

Most of the true believer boot lickers will disregard and downvote, but, i'm in atx. a close friend, a FISCAL conservative, is a senior attorney in the texas ag office. he was not part of the whistleblower crew that lead to paxton's impeachment. but, he despises Paxton. Says the bribes for legal opinions, the favors for his side girlfriend, the attempt to use ag funds to pay his 3mm securities fraud settlement, stealing the guys mont blanc pen, are all true.

there is a difference between politicians that make promises they can't deliver, another to nominate an actual immoral, unethical person.



Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
40288 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:32 am to
Democratic Socialism is on the rise, because significant inflation is. They call it "affordability", and like that saying "it's all about the economy, stupid", people in a (supposed) Democracy will vote their wallets. Subsidized lazies or hard-working folk who are slammed.

Marxist/Transnational Progressive ideological hegemony via Academia also factors in.

Trump's gambit re taking out the nuclear-armed Islamist and their 40 year troublemaking is like our Tigers vs Rebs. A lot can happen when strong passions and physical competition determines victory or defeat.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24904 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:36 am to
quote:

that fire up absolutely no one from their base

These are the worst types of candidates. That base is worth about 40% at best. That's not enough.

That base chose Paxton instead of Cornyn. And now that base is in danger of not being able to pull him over the finish line. Increasingly hispanics will take away republican votes. How about a good republican hispanic running?
This post was edited on 9/17/26 at 9:38 am
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
21244 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:39 am to
Always the "well he is a poor candidate". What is a "good" candidate?

Good looking, great speaker, lots of experience? Congrats you just endorsed Newsom
Posted by blueboy
Member since Apr 2006
67322 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:43 am to
It's not about dems and reps. It's the fact that the reps in these races are fricking worthless.
Posted by Doctor B
Member since Jul 2024
2112 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:44 am to
quote:

That base chose Paxton instead of Cornyn.

What exactly does Cornyn do besides make deals to 'work across the aisle' and find common ground with Dems and his handful of political friends?
People say Paxton is an opportunist who looks out for himself at the expense of others, etc.
What is Cornyn? I'll hang up and listen.....
Posted by Gunny Hartman
Member since Jan 2021
1487 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:50 am to
Every election the media tries to bullshite a Dem candidate across the finish line but it never works. The polls and the election day results never match. That said, we made things hard on ourselves by picking such a crappy candidate in Paxton. Abbott is an adequate governor with no charisma. Sadly, shallow voters need charisma and undervalue competence.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24904 posts
Posted on 9/17/26 at 9:51 am to
quote:

What is Cornyn? I'll hang up and listen.....

A retiring senator whose seat could go to the democrats because the base chose Paxton instead of Cornyn or Hunt. Hell, Jasmine Crockett may have been able to beat Paxton.
This post was edited on 9/17/26 at 9:53 am
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