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Democrats are so confident they think it’s just a matter of how big their victory will be

Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:21 pm
Posted by Monahans
Member since Sep 2019
2355 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:21 pm
Buddy of mine is a campaign consultant, mostly on the state level. He’s run over 20 campaigns.

He says dems absolutely believe Kamala is trouncing Trump and that Allred has a serious chance.

He’s confused because everything out there tells him it’s gonna be a big day for Trump and that he expects GOP to control both house and senate. Said he’s never seen anything like it.



Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
24717 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:22 pm to
The cheat is gonna have to be awfully large.
Posted by Monahans
Member since Sep 2019
2355 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

The cheat is gonna have to be awfully large.

Yea but somebody is lying about current numbers. Dems should be completely freaking out right now and they aren’t.
Posted by catfish 62
Atlanta
Member since Mar 2010
5704 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:23 pm to
Democrat political consultant here in Atlanta said he’s the only one sounding the alarm (in a bad way) for the democrats he deals with. They all seem to think they have it wrapped up.
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
13558 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:23 pm to
We are going to see an epic meltdown tomorrow night. It’s either going to be on this board or MSM. Dems think they are winning Iowa and Texas and Reps think they are taking NH and Virginia. Somebody is very wrong.

I’m pretty surprised the Dems are so confident with polling so much closer than 2016 and 2020 but they have really bought this Republican crossover and Indy abortion wave narrative.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
104043 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:24 pm to
Koolade stock has to be through the roof.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
14464 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:24 pm to
Confirmation bias is strong.
Posted by sidewalkside
rent free in yo head
Member since Sep 2021
4608 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:25 pm to
Same thing could be said on our side too though
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476831 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Buddy of mine is a campaign consultant, mostly on the state level. He’s run over 20 campaigns.

He says dems absolutely believe Kamala is trouncing Trump and that Allred has a serious chance.


Your buddy just exposed himself not being in the actual loop.
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
998 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:25 pm to
Ask him a logical question.

Why are his fellow Dems confident they're going to win when "everything out there" tells him he's going to lose?

How can he personally reconcile this unless the Dems know their cheating mechanism will not fail?

Seriously... ask him and get back to us with his answer.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
24430 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:26 pm to
Banking on crossovers and abortion seems like a stupid strategy vs immigration and economy
Posted by DesScorp
Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
10308 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Dems should be completely freaking out right now and they aren’t.


The ones outside of the MSNBC and Democrat Underground bubbles ate quite worried, because they've seen real internals, or know those that have, and it doesn't bode well for them. The dem echo chambers are getting high on their own supply. That farcical Iowa poll is also fueling their delirium.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
24430 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:32 pm to
That fake Iowa pole has caused some here to melt and it’s going to cause a massive melt tomorrow for Dems
This post was edited on 11/4/24 at 1:32 pm
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24844 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:35 pm to
Your friend must not understand how to read data.


Digging into the numbers on the early voting side has me down right giddy.

Women are way, way down in swing states.


Urban votes are way, way down in swing states.


Republicans have gotten a ton of low propensity voters to vote early.


Intention to vote on Election Day favors Trump by 16+ points.


Tomorrow should be the most fun republicans have had in a while.


If Trump has any coattails at all it could be an R senate in the 53 to 55 seat range. The House could be solidly R by 240ish seats.


Ds are in for a very long day tomorrow.
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
20515 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

Allred has a serious chance


The one thing that concerns me is the "suburban women" demographic. His ads have been pushing "concerns" about our strict abortion laws (mainly, the lack of a rape/incest exception), which may convince women that "Cruz is putting their healthcare in danger".

We know the sluts will vote for him (they want sex without consequence or responsibility), it's the ones who aren't but fear not having an option if they're a crime victim or their pregnancy puts them in danger of death.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

They all seem to think they have it wrapped up.

Because they all live in their CNN, MSNBC, D.U. bubble.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
26277 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:39 pm to
The Dems only need to ballot harvest in 4 counties to get Kamala to 270. Four big vote drops late into the night could swing the entire election.
Posted by DaBike
Member since Jan 2008
10554 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:40 pm to
Well they stopped the red wave somehow. We will see
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8685 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

Banking on crossovers and abortion seems like a stupid strategy vs immigration and economy


Never question the ignorance of a Democrat. They'll exceed every time.
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
24920 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Dems should be completely freaking out right now and they aren’t.


Here is why.



This post was edited on 11/4/24 at 1:44 pm
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