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re: Nate silver: the slowdown in CV19 cases in NOLA is unlike anything we have seen elsewhere

Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:32 pm to
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16221 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:32 pm to
For the most part people in NOLA are staying home or away from others. I think the initial massive numbers scared the shite out of people. With no tourists, no restaurants, or bars places to gather are limited.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:33 pm to
Does this mean we can have tandem floats again?
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Maybe the shelter in place actually worked...


It likely helped. But it is clear as day that this virus attacks those already in high-risk health situations.

I'm not trying to play the "muh underlying conditions" card, but the hospitalization/death rate of those who are even moderately healthy is damn near close to zero.

Seems like this thing gets into the community, attacks the weak, then moves on.
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

quote:
It’s almost like this is a typical flu virus.




Remind me the last time we locked down an entire major American city because of influenza.


Didn't you know the entire world has mistaken a regular flu for something worse? Only the spectacular geniuses of the OT brain trust knows the real truth.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
14344 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Does this mean we can have tandem floats again?



I can remember when this was the big news item of the day. What a simpler time it was.
Posted by Dustydubs
Member since Mar 2020
494 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:34 pm to
Considering the tales of being clamped to a bed and a tubes shoved down your throat with absolutely no relatives being able to be there. I’d choose to die at home too.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

This is a much sharper slowdown in New Orleans than we've seen elsewhere and it doesn't *appear* to be a reflection of changes in testing alone. Louisiana-wide, the percentage of new tests reporting positive has declined a lot.


Thats terrific and it's excatly what I was trying to expalin to Chad504Boy yesterday..but for some reason he wanted to argue...these are his post

quote:

Comparing timelines of virus waves to different parishes w different social metrics and dynamics is silliness.



someone posted that NOLA is doing way better than the rest of the state.

and this was his reply

quote:

So much to argue here but not worth the time
Posted by PCRammer
1725 Slough Avenue in Scranton, PA
Member since Jan 2014
1979 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Maybe the shelter in place actually worked..

The flubros will say it wasn't needed and didn't do anything to help. The coronabros will say its totally 100% the fact we stayed at home is why we're beating it.

The truth lies somewhere between these 2 morainic lines of thought.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108752 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:37 pm to
Maybe the tests are faulty!
Posted by NorthshoreTiger76
Pelicans, Saints, & LSU Fan
Member since May 2009
84339 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:38 pm to
open it back up! I want to go to a casino buffet!
Posted by fitz
Member since Dec 2019
666 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

It’s almost like this is a typical flu virus.
quote:




Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41925 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

SECdragonmaster


Oh no. It's retarded
Posted by Ssubba
Member since Oct 2014
7543 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:40 pm to
Praying that by the 20th we see this across the nation. We need to open up May 1.
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
49487 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:41 pm to
Well..Anyone that argues about how distancing doesnt stop the spread of disease in a population is a moron.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Well..Anyone that argues about how distancing doesnt stop the spread of disease in a population is a moron.




You havent met this moron yet
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61810 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:43 pm to
I know the dummies in here keep bringing up that Nola is ignoring the shutdown because the videos about the st Patrick’s day fiasco are still floating around, but we got an A in the states score card for doing the right thing
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:45 pm to
I mean, in the petri dish that is New Orleans, is it out of the realm of possibility it mutated to a less dangerous strain? That's not an uncommon occurrence with diseases. Less infectious/virulent strains get selected for because we quit taking extreme measures to stop their spread if they don't burn through us like wildfire or kill us until we are dead.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29134 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

The real stats will be to look at deaths per month this year compared to last year, and I’d bet a lot of money there won’t be a significant difference
How much money are we talking? And what is "significant"?

Before you get too crazy, in a population the size of Orleans parish, we would expect about 280 deaths per month on average using the overall US death rate. Orleans parish has thus far reported 244 covid-related deaths. So in order for it to not be a significant difference, there would have to be some MAJOR misreporting going on.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40269 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:46 pm to
Louder for JBE please.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Latoya getting 8 more years

Bitch needs to be getting 5 to 10 for tax evasion.
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