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re: Nate silver: the slowdown in CV19 cases in NOLA is unlike anything we have seen elsewhere
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:46 pm to TigerstuckinMS
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:46 pm to TigerstuckinMS
Now that’s a hot take.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:46 pm to Korkstand
quote:
How much money are we talking? And what is "significant"?
You're gonna collect from this dummy and Mr. Perfect. COVID gonna fund your retirement
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:47 pm to WaydownSouth
quote:
The real stats will be to look at deaths per month this year compared to last year, and I’d bet a lot of money there won’t be a significant difference
What's your number? I'm in to take your money.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:47 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
t’s almost like this is a typical flu virus.
Remind me the last time we locked down an entire major American city because of influenz
Yea and remind me the last time the flu killed 1000 ppl in LA in March/April. If it wasn't for shutting everything down, this would have been horrible and all you pussies bitching about staying at home would be bitching about not being told to stay at home.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:47 pm to WaydownSouth
quote:
The real stats will be to look at deaths per month this year compared to last year, and I’d bet a lot of money there won’t be a significant difference
Actually will likely be lower during COVID months.
People aren't getting sick or injured from anything else because of this. Steep decline in trauma incidents and even steeper in non-COVID communicable disease.
It is nuts when you look at hospital data how healthy our population looks outside of COVID compared to same months in prior years.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:48 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
most people in NOLA already got over the Wu-Flu by mid March
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 12:48 pm
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:48 pm to SloaneRanger
quote:
I can remember when this was the big news item of the day. What a simpler time it was.
I remember it like it was 48 days ago.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:49 pm to WaydownSouth
quote:
The real stats will be to look at deaths per month this year compared to last year, and I’d bet a lot of money there won’t be a significant difference
Correct. There seems to be some skewing of data going on to rubber stamp as many deaths as possible with "Corona Virus", but overall I have my doubts as to whether this will even be a blip on the radar.
In 2018 we had about 7,800 deaths per day in the US. The reported CV deaths per day have been hovering around 1500 - 2000...so we would expect to see a ~%20 increase in total deaths for the months of March and April. Not holding my breath.
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 12:51 pm
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:50 pm to cable
quote:
Now that’s a hot take.
Thanks! It's so hard to come up with them this late in the game.
This post was edited on 4/13/20 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:50 pm to VolsOut4Harambe
quote:
LaToya is Ghana take credit for this.
Well she sure takes shite when things go wrong, so I'd say she deserves a bit of credit.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:51 pm to LNCHBOX
quote:
You're gonna collect from this dummy and Mr. Perfect. COVID gonna fund your retirement
I give them every chance to backtrack too.
If anything, though, I'll just ask for proof of a donation to a charity of my choice in the amounts of the bets.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:52 pm to SECdragonmaster
quote:
It’s almost like this is a typical flu virus.

Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:52 pm to Russ337
quote:
Maybe the shelter in place actually worked...
It helped but I think it shows these hot spots have a higher percentage of asymptomatic carriers/mild cases compared to other areas so you reach this certain level of local herd immunity. It'll be interesting to see if NYC starts to see a similar trend.
Unfortunately I think the places that locked down with very little cases are going to see explosions pop up as restrictions are loosened.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:52 pm to Odysseus32
quote:
so I'd say she deserves a bit of credit.
she's still an idiot at the end of the day
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:52 pm to CptRusty
quote:
In 2018 we had about 7,800 deaths per day in the US. The reported CV deaths per day have been hovering around 1500 - 2000...so we would expect to see a ~%20 increase in total deaths for the months of March and April. Not holding my breath.
but you are not factoring in overlap deaths, decrease in vehicle accidents, and other deaths that have been mitigated by the shut downs
it will more than likely be a wash
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:53 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
false, we're literally hours behind Italy.
please send Federal funds so we can cover up the frick ups we've previously made and provide even more handouts to those who don't pay taxes. k, thanks.

please send Federal funds so we can cover up the frick ups we've previously made and provide even more handouts to those who don't pay taxes. k, thanks.

Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:53 pm to SECdragonmaster
quote:
Wow.
It’s almost like this is a typical flu virus.
You're a smooth brain.
I've been waiting to use that. Thanks for coming off as a dumdum.
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:54 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
Remind me the last time we locked down an entire major American city because of influenza.
I think that's his point (right or wrong)
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:55 pm to Klark Kent
We need 1.4 million ventilators in New Orleans
Posted on 4/13/20 at 12:55 pm to Pandy Fackler
quote:
You're a smooth brain.
I don't think there's supposed to be a space. Just one word: smoothbrain.
It is one of my favorite insults, too, because smoothbrains won't understand it.
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