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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/31/20 12PM CT Update: 5,237 Cases - 38,967 tested - 239 dead

Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:26 pm to
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49580 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Deaths, hospitalized and ventilator increases....all not great.


Anyone that thought any of those figures would go down is setting themselves up for disappointment. We are on the upslope right now. All figures will continue to increase for the next 12-24 days before we peak.

Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
26349 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:26 pm to
But the Poli Board MDs are telling me all this COVID news is total bullshite
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88351 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:27 pm to
Finishing the week under 600 deaths would be a huge win.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Those are not very good numbers.


They will get worse until we peak in mid-April. This is known.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Anyone that thought any of those figures would go down is setting themselves up for disappointment. We are on the upslope right now. All figures will continue to increase for the next 12-24 days before we peak.


Yes. Why is this so confusing for people?
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
29167 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

But the Poli Board MDs are telling me all this COVID news is total bullshite


To them everything is about Trump. That’s a strange lens through which to view the world.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49580 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Why is this so confusing for people?


The vast majority of people struggle to understand statistics and scale.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
46612 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:29 pm to
That peak y’all keep referencing is constantly getting moved back
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
14616 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

They will get worse until we peak in mid-April. This is known.

I doubt many were expecting a 1200+ case increase and 50+ death increase.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56853 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:31 pm to
Y’all need to push the issue even if it is 1 visit
There is no reason why a non Covid hospice patient should have to die alone

This is my biggest fear with my Grandpa in a nursing home
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
26349 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:32 pm to
As of now (obviously the numbers are changing) only NY has more deaths than LA

LINK
This post was edited on 3/31/20 at 1:41 pm
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49580 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

That peak y’all keep referencing is constantly getting moved back


We will see when they update the models after these numbers. The current model had the peak at April 10th but that is basically the median of the peak range.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41706 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

My wife’s grandmother is in her 90’s and in a nursing home and they called in Hospice yesterday. They’re giving her a week to live. None corona related but it sucks bc the family isn’t allowed to see her and say goodbye and they won’t be able to have a funeral. It’s really sad.


Can they send her home with hospice care? At least that way the family can be there?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79884 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Finishing the week under 600 deaths would be a huge win.


Friday or Sunday?
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86740 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:33 pm to
I've always read the peak as early April

and if you believe these projections, that is still the case, as our projected peak is next Friday

LINK

Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Y’all need to push the issue even if it is 1 visit
There is no reason why a non Covid hospice patient should have to die alone

This is my biggest fear with my Grandpa in a nursing home


They said no and not really sure what else we can do....she has 3 sons, one who is FIL that can all be there in a drop of a dime....to make matters even worse, my sister in law had a baby yesterday and none of the family was able to be there or see the baby..not even in the waiting room.
This post was edited on 3/31/20 at 12:41 pm
Posted by BillyBobfan24_7
R.I.P. SGT Nelson
Member since May 2004
18663 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

I can't specifically speak to the LA labs but many labs use Sunday to clean, QA/QC, calibration, etc. A new 2-min test was approved today to go with a 5-min test, soon most testing will be done onsite and not sent off to labs.


If they can do it in 2 min why would they also be looking at one that does it in 5 minutes?

ETA: we just had a facility test someone positive and they said their test only takes 15 minutes.
This post was edited on 3/31/20 at 12:35 pm
Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
118616 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:34 pm to
Thanks Dom, Frog, and 08.
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
9291 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:35 pm to
Only bc people who didn’t understand the time frames we were working with kept spouting off timeframes that were too short.

You need three weeks minimum before you see the effects of shelter in place. Really closer to a month.

People have been ranting and raving in Italy threads for the past two weeks about how quarantines don’t work bc their numbers kept increasing and then not decreasing. Those of us who understood how this works have consistently said you have to wait about a month.

Italy went into lockdown on March 8, at least in the Lombardy region. It’s been almost a month. Only in the past couple of days have you seen their numbers consistently decline across the board. That’s the timeframe. Louisiana has about two more weeks to go
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36242 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

AFTER the delivery
The father wasn’t allowed in the delivery room? What hospital was this?
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