re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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No, I wasn’t a pilot in desert storm. I was Marine infantryman in the Iraq war and now I fly ISR as a contractor.

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My apologizes for getting you confused with another poster.

ISW Update

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The Ukrainian General Staff made no mention of Izyum in its 1800 situational report on August 9, nor did other prominent Ukrainian sources despite Western sources’ claims of an ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive in this area.

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The Russian Defense Ministry claimed that several aircraft munitions detonated in the storage areas of the Saky airbase due to poor fire protocol, rejecting reports that Ukrainian strikes or sabotage at the military facility caused the explosions.

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The Kremlin has little incentive to accuse Ukraine of conducting strikes that caused the damage since such strikes would demonstrate the ineffectiveness of Russian air defense systems, which the Ukrainian sinking of the Moskva had already revealed

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Russia launched an Iranian satellite into orbit on August 9 that could be used to provide military intelligence on Ukraine

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Key Takeaways

Russian forces conducted ground attacks to the southeast of Siversk and around Bakhmut.

Russian forces conducted ground attacks north of Donetsk City and southwest of Donetsk City near the Zaporizhia-Donetsk Oblast border.

Several large explosions hit Russian positions near Sevastopol and north of Crimea, but Russia did not blame Ukraine for them and Ukraine has not taken credit for them.

Russia launched a surveillance satellite for Iran.

Western media has reported that a Ukrainian counteroffensive is underway near Izyum, but the Ukrainian General Staff was notably completely silent about the area in its evening report.
Russian sources suggested that recently-formed volunteer battalions are responsible for much of the Izyum sector.

Ukrainian officials claimed that Russian forces continued to fire artillery systems from the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.

Russian officials are continuing to take prominent roles in preparing for the sham referenda in Russian-occupied regions despite Kremlin claims that Russia is not conducting the referenda.

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The Kremlin has little incentive to accuse Ukraine of conducting strikes that caused the damage since such strikes would demonstrate the ineffectiveness of Russian air defense systems, which the Ukrainian sinking of the Moskva had already revealed


Because rolling this out for the 72nd time is better:

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The Russian Defense Ministry claimed that several aircraft munitions detonated in the storage areas of the Saky airbase due to poor fire protocol, rejecting reports that Ukrainian strikes or sabotage at the military facility caused the explosions.

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Thanks. Interesting to see explosions shaking the camera in video taken by Russians vacationing at the beach.

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I fly ISR as a contractor.

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-8s?

It’s impossible to tell for sure how many fighter aircraft either side has in country right now but there’s no doubt that the Russians have more but haven’t been able to gain air dominance with their superior numbers over a small but brave group of Ukrainian pilots. If I had to put a number on it I’d say Ukraine has between 60-75 fighters able to fly, mostly of the MIG-29 variety with the rest being SU-27’s and maybe a handful of older SU-24’d thrown in. They probably have around 20 SU-25 ground attack aircraft also so all in they probably have 100 aircraft. Russia most likely has around 300-400 aircraft of all varieties in the general vicinity of around 50% of that number being ground attack aircraft like the SU-24 and SU-25. The SU-25’s have been particularly vulnerable to ground fire from MANPADS. Russia could put more aircraft to the fight but their terrible logistics won’t allow it right now as poor as they are plus the sheer amount of fuel to keep a large fleet in the air is massive ad they don’t have the in air refueling capabilities that we do so they would need to be based relatively close to be effective. I would think we will continue seeing the majority of Russia’s air power coming from helicopters and older ground attack panes with a few fighters thrown in. Russia’s diminished anti-air defenses and Ukraine’s ability to hit further and further behind the lines will only push the Russian Air Force back and make things that much harder to stay combat effective. The quickest way to neutralize air power is to attack it’s munitions and fuel dumps and it’s very clear Ukraine understands this .

Is there a way to make this thread more truthful? If you only read this thread you would assume Ukraine is destroying Russia but if you do other research you find out it's the complete opposite. Ukraine has lost nearly half it's troops and the majority of their leadership in the military. Why do we keep sending money to a losing cause?

British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 10 August 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

Russian commanders highly likely continue to be faced with the competing operational priorities of
reinforcing the Donbas offensive, and strengthening defences against anticipated Ukrainian counter attacks in the south.

To support the Ukraine operation, Russia has almost certainly established a major new ground forces formation, 3rd Army Corps (3 AC), based out of Mulino, in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast east of Moscow Russia likely plans to resource a large proportion of 3 AC from newly formed volunteer' battalions, which are being raised across the country, and which group together recruits from the same areas.

Russian regional politicians have confirmed that potential 3 AC recruits are being offered lucrative cash bonuses once they deploy to Ukraine. Recruitment is open to men up to 50 years old and with only middle-school education. A Russian army corps typically consists of 15-20,000 troops, but it will probably be difficult for Russia to bring 3 AC up to this strength, given very limited levels of popular enthusiasm for volunteering for combat in Ukraine. 3 AC's effect is unlikely to be decisive to the campaign.

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Is there a way to make this thread more truthful? If you only read this thread you would assume Ukraine is destroying Russia but if you do other research you find out it's the complete opposite. Ukraine has lost nearly half it's troops and the majority of their leadership in the military. Why do we keep sending money to a losing cause?

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You are more than welcome to provide such information.

Explosions in Crimea: Ukrainian Air Forces told what military equipment occupiers kept in Saky
Wednesday, 10 August 2022, 09:55

The Air Forces of Ukraine assume that as a result of explosions on 9 August, at the airfield in the Russia-occupied Crimea, a warehouse of aviation weapons and about a dozen aircraft were destroyed.

Source: Yuriy Ihnat, Air Force Command spokesman on the air of the national telethon on 10 August

Details: Ihnat said that "Saki" is a military airfield in the Ukrainian Crimea, where the occupiers stationed Su-30SM, Su-24, IL-76 and other aircraft.

They took off from the airfield every day. 24/7 occupier’s aviation patrols the airspace near Ukraine. The whole area of the Black Sea is constantly patrolled by Russians, without reaching the Zmiinyi (Snake) Island, changing only planes and crews, said the spokesman of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

In general, there are 5 airfields in Crimea that the Russian Federation can use to take off planes and launch missile strikes around Ukraine, and this poses a serious threat, in addition to dozens of airfields in Belarus and Russia itself, Ihnat added.

Quote from Ihnat: "According to the explosion, which we observed in the video footage, it is clear that the aircraft weapons depot was hit. Because the detonation was serious. And if additionally a dozen planes are destroyed there, it will be a real small victory."

Ukrainska Pravda