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quote:

That was an important air base when we were neck-deep in the war on terror... now Niger is lining up to be a troublemaker in the region, itself.

Let the Russians spread their military thin...


All well and good, but much like Afghanistan how you achieve that end goal matters. We look weak and stupid. We’re “fighting” the Russians in Ukraine and simultaneously being kicked out of our base by the Russians in Africa. Looks great


For fricks sake.

Not a sky is falling Russia is taking over post, but ffs we look so weak in many areas. We just keep emboldening the same behavior we’re throwing hundreds of billions against. Same with Israel, we support Israel and simultaneously spend $320 million on a port for Gaza aid we know is held hostage by Hamas and not helping any suffering citizens. I won’t get on the domestic bs with Palestinian support
Appears the FO in the FAFO equation is pretty extensive this time. Keep seeing new areas of Iran hit when I check Twitter. I hope what they dropped took the nukes out for all this.
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So is WWIII beginning NOW?


We may look back and see this as another front of it opening. Imo were already in what will be considered WWIII that began with Ukraine.
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Today is equally a testament to Israeli failure to support Ukraine. When Iran fired Shaheds at Ukraine, Israel had the opportunity to provide significant support to Ukraine to defend against these weapons, and they chose to instead abstain from doing so in the fear of upsetting Russia.


I think Israel’s calculus on aid is a bit different than say France far removed from their enemy and/or geopolitical threat. Certainly we don’t expect Taiwan to send a bunch of air defense etc to anyone with China sitting across from them waiting to pounce. No different here.
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Russia doesn't give two shits about the land itself, or at least not the entirety of it. Ukraine can be its own country, they just want it to be pro Russia. A worse but similar deal to what they have now, with a different master.


This is all to secure incursion into Russia from that direction, ie for the land. Ukraine obviously won’t cooperate to be Belarus 2.0 therefore Putin invaded, to secure the land and what goes on on it.

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Do you honestly think Russia wants the headache of decades of local resistance in central and eastern Ukraine, with no real strategic benefit? All that does is put NATO right on their doorstep.


Nothing new for them.

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I think Russia enjoys Ukraine being a buffer just as much as NATO does, they just want that buffer to be pro-Kremlin instead of pro-Washington. They don't need the land for any other reason than some Alexander the Great cosplay fantasy people project onto Putin, which is IMO a misread of who he is. He is a murderous thug who wants to bang gymnasts on his yacht, I don't think he is a murderous thug who wants to conquer the world, or even re-unite the old Soviet Union whether he says that publicly or not.


He’s likened his own self to Peter the Great. He wants to restore the Russian empire, not the Soviet Union.
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I was told this is what sending all the money and guns to Ukraine was for?


Correct, my comments are in the conversation on if Russia were to succeed in Ukraine. The next logical roadblock is Poland as an individual nation.
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I feel like nato was not created to hinge on our participation. Maybe I'm wrong. Just thought it was a group effort


Whether that is the case or not does not changed the current state of affairs and the current state of affairs is where decision making is required, not back 70 years ago.

That said, I agree with what I believe is your general premise. The rest of NATO should be expected to follow Polands path. Frankly I think Germany is treating Poland as they historically have - the middle ground/buffer between they and Russia. Poland could be used to buy some time for Germany to get serious, but at that point it’s not enough time, potentially. Current state, IMO, Poland is the second most important member to NATO security. They’re serving as a roadblock and first line protection to the rest of Europe.
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That is the case with small nations. However, there are a number of them. Only one has expeditionary capability, France.


Germany isn’t a small country though. Poland to their credit have significantly ramped up in size and equipment.

Even though France has the expeditionary capability, their force in manpower is relatively small to Russia albeit much better trained and equipped. Also, to be fair, it would take QUITE a while to get to France. My point there is really France doesn’t have 100k+ men to send cross continent immediately either.
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That said, to keep giving at the level we have been or to increase it you MUST be convinced that Putin is a threat to NATO countries, and both myself and apparently our government doesn't see it that way. I think the "threat to Europe" argument is just a lazy cop out reason to send more aid from people who can't explain why we should be giving such large amounts to a country that isn't nearly as important to us as it is Russia.


The main issue with this is how small European armed forces have become outside of a few countries. From a numbers perspective this is a deficit that could be exploited early. NATO security hinges on our commitment and abilities.
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Back that up with data. Tell us exactly how you quantify that.


Naval tonnage is certainly down
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Theyre pushing the same propaganda that told them two years ago that Russia was a mess and would fold quickly.


1. They are a mess relative to a modern and well trained military, always have been. Also as they always have been, they’re more than willing to sacrifice more men and equipment than anyone else, which is why we’re still where we are with the war.

2. They folded quite quickly from Kiev and then again from Kherson, but I don’t recall anyone really saying they’d fold altogether very quickly because of #1.
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Serbia wanting to get frisky again?


Either that or Vucic has been made aware of some sort of threat in the next 24-36 hours or so based on his comment, which given the subject could also just be an excuse to get frisky.
Anyone else watching this mysterious chatter from Serbia? Seems to be relative to Kosovo, but that’s just things seen on Twitter after Vucic’s comment.
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LOL at all the primitive people in here who think that America was better off when lynching was common.

The rule of law is the most basic foundation of a free society.

That's why the right to an attorney, the right to a fair trial, the legal presumption of innocence, and the prohibition against cruel and unusual punishment are constitutional rights.

And some of you who have just rejected the Bill of Rights in this very thread will turn right around and pretend to be great patriots.

Pathetic.


No one said anything about lynching and it’s interesting that’s the example run to with the obvious connotations. There’s also a distinction between run of the mill, albeit violent, crime from citizens and non-citizen terrorist attacks. On the domestic front, any violent crime should have trials expedited greatly from present and no life in prison. Frick em. Stop this shite.

Convicted of rape, cut their dick off. Murder? Kill ‘em back. Problem solved.
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Taking this particular incident out of the context of Russia or Ukraine or Muslim vs Christian or anything else.

If someone deliberately murdered my family. Like in a terrorist incident they shot down my daughters in a shopping mall or whatever. If given the opportunity I would personally torture them to death on live television. And wouldn't care what anyone did to me afterwards.

And I think there needs to be more of that. If more Muslims saw us chopping off their dicks, cutting their throats, and throwing them into a pit of rotting pig carcasses, then maybe they would think twice about taking the express elevator to heaven.


Biggest fact of the entire thread. This is part of why a lot of the right align so much with Russia presently, not that it makes it right but this is part of why. Contrast this with our border and the domestic violence from one particular group of people and you see. They’re out of control with it, it’s not related to Ukraine, but it’s there.
Well this has been an interesting week in the war.
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Anyone who thinks this ends in Ukraine is fooling themselves.


This seems to objectively be becoming reality. We can talk about how much more advanced and skilled our military is, the strength of NATO, on and on. Doesn’t change that foolish decisions in war are made all through history and Russia is not unaligned, whether for mutual gain or lopsided to their partner’s favor, but they are there.

As we learned prior to WWII, it is better to nip this aggression in the bud than to appease hoping for peace, I’m afraid we’re going to learn it is better to completely and swiftly nip it in the bud when you decide to.
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Just for clarity, Macron isn't talking about French troops openly engaging Russian forces.

He's talking about support, training, logistics, maintenance and repair, etc. There are a tremendous number of ways that French troops could help without directly fighting.

The risk, of course, is what happens when an Iskander missile hits a backline group of French troops. That's the escalation risk.


Correct, and we’ve already had stuff land in Poland, etc. Risk will go up substantially with assets actually in country, even if away from the front.
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Macron said, "Maybe we'll send French soldiers to Ukraine" and Putin lost his shite.


Been an interesting few days on this front. Macron seems to be back on a quest to position France as the leader of Europe, just this time with force vs all out attempts to bring Vlad to the peace table.

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Putin seemed really mad at French soldiers in Ukraine. I wonder why?


I know this is rhetorical, but still want to say “because they’re competent and would expose the Russians further.”
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Trump is the closest thing to a Manchurian candidate I have ever seen in my lifetime. He will do whatever Putin tells him to do period


So the guy who’s lived his life and built a fortune and status over doing what he wants, his way, and already had a term where he did the exact opposite of what the majority of world leaders wanted, is going to just do what Putin wants?

Makes sense
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Speaking of make believe, tell me what authority Biden is lacking today that is necessary to secure the border. Spell it out. I’ll wait.


None, that’s why any border bill talk is nothing but grandstanding for votes of simpletons.
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Seriously, why doesn't the GOP just say:

"No money for highways until the border is fixed."

Why?


Because they’re not serious people, seriously.
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The border is needs to stand on its own. If the Republicans can’t demonstrate to the voting public that it is a public welfare issue that our borders are secure.

Look around at the drugs, the criminals, the homeless, and the overall decay of our public institutions largely because they are getting overwhelmed. People across tge nation can see this.

I am pro Ukraine too, but there are legitimate arguments about Ukraine. Discussing America’s involvement in foreign affairs began under George Washington.

Border security is a way bigger issue and it should be by itself.


They problem is they won’t, they dgaf about what’s right or logical, and we won’t do a damn thing about it. Our choices are to force their hand using their rules or go do something about it directly. Option 2 clearly isn’t happening.
Using Russia as a scapegoat is new? We’ve heard it for 7 years at minimum. That’s my only point. My post history in this thread will easily show I’ve been supportive of Ukraine effort, western aid, etc.

The timing is a bit on the head is the point. I guess we’ll see if anything is declassed, what that looks like, and if it seems logical. Not like they haven’t faked intelligence related to Russia for their own gain before.
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A U.S. Intelligence Official has reportedly told CNN that the National Security Threat is a “Highly Concerning and Destabilizing” Capability established by the Russian Armed Forces.


I’ve been supportive of Ukraine from the start, but given the current battle on funding and a recent public media acknowledgment of the spying effort on Trump in the Russia collusion scandal, this feels a bit on the nose vs real threat.
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Putin is very smart. But that was a huge propaganda piece/win by him. It was fascinating to watch. Historical even. Putin left a lot of historical details/facts out of his history lesson though. In Putin's propaganda, Russia is never at fault and is always the victim.


I did notice he wasn’t very kind to really any of the Soviet leaders which brings us back to his goal not being the USSR, it’s the reformation of the peak Russian empire.
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There's a faction on the left and right who long for a man on a horse to come and fix everything-and just as important, punish those they don't like. Putin fits that bill for the faction on the right, and a few hard core leninists on the left. IDK if that image brandiñg wàs accidental or deliberate at first, but once they saw it was working, they cultivated it.


I think this is largely the answer, but an answer born from our own perceived weakness and disarray. I think a large section of America has been very frustrated for quite a while, pre-Biden, and Putin’s presentation and stated reasoning for things resonates with what they long for. We had it in a democratic manner in the past, it’s gone, and this segment of America wants it back.

I’m not saying it’s based in reality if you do your own fact checking of Putin so to speak, but I think that’s the answer. 99% of people aren’t going to do basic fact checking much less have followed the war enough to know things he said, like Russia agreeing to pull back from Kiev when they thought they had a peace agreement, is complete bs.

I understand Putin’s appeal based on his presentation and what he says he stands for etc. What he says largely is reasonable, he just doesn’t actually follow it. Family, Christianity, anti-Nazism, even the US being corrupt and currently disorganized are all in the lane of the majority of Americans imo. This majority doesn’t burn things down all the time so it’s not mainstream. They’d rather someone like a Trump, or in this case Putin, do the cultural fighting for them.
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No. Iran had very little influence in Iraq until the ISIS invasion captured Mosul.


Wouldn’t have happened if Saddam were left alone.

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The reason that Iran has such a grip on Iraq today is because Obama listened to people like you. Obama proclaimed that Assad's use of chemical weapons was a "red line," and then he did almost nothing when that line was crossed. He encourage people to rebel against Assad and then refused to help them.


This is further evidence it wouldn’t have happened if Saddam were left alone because Obama was weak and didn’t enforce his own redline. He’d have left Saddam alone too and you’d have multiple similarly enough powered countries in the ME not like eachother, but most likely not start a regional war over it.

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The chaos in Syria led to the rise of ISIS, and then Obama refused to do anything when ISIS invaded Iraq and captured Mosul. He eventually listened and prevented ISIS from reaching Erbil and completing its genocide against the Yezidis, but not before Iran volunteered to organize militias inside Iraq to oppose ISIS.


Obama and Clinton funded and armed ISIS. It happened because they wanted it to.

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The instability in Iraq today, and the reason that the country has turned against America, is because Iran has a significant military control over the country through the militias.

And those militias exist, because Obama didn't want the US to intervene.


Also likely doesn’t happen with Saddam still in power.
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You seem to have confused stability with morality.

It was more stable because of Saddams brutality.


Correct