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re: It seems COVID has cured heart disease, cancer, strokes, etc

Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:11 am to
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26628 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:11 am to
Every normal day, thousands of Americans go to their doctor for unusual symptoms that worry them. Most ultimately get sent for test and many get diagnosed with something awful - like breast cancer or heart disease. It's often caught before it becomes fatal because access to health care and testing infrastructure is so easy in this country.

Today, those people are not getting the early testing and care that they need because their hospitals have slowed or even stopped a lot of function beyond Covid treatment. There will be human a cost to shutting down all of these hospitals to anything but Covid, and I'm not even getting into the health crisis that will come from an economic downturn.

It's time to restart the economy and get people back to work - especially our health care system.
This post was edited on 5/1/20 at 9:14 am
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42795 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:12 am to
Scruffy pointed this out very early on in April that the experts doubled up the predicted people in the hospital because they assumed all of the other numbers would stay the same. Shocker, they didn’t.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184716 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:12 am to
No one is arguing overall deaths aren't up, Johnny Killjoy.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184716 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:13 am to
quote:

There will be human a cost to shutting down all of these hospitals to anything but Covid, and I'm not even getting into the health crisis that will come from an economic downturn.


To put it simply, the solution will end up being worse than the cause.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46761 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:14 am to
I always trust charts that leave off numbers indicating the scale used on the Y axis in order to make the charts scarier.



Posted by MapGuy
I was born,I grew older,I'm here
Member since May 2010
37458 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:14 am to
it's like trying to teach a cat how to fetch
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

I truly believe of the ~65k deaths in the us only ~20 are actually real covid actual.


This was always going to be the next talking point.

First, it was that there would be no or minimal deaths here. Then, people start dying and then they are fake deaths. You will go to any lengths to rationalize it.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88352 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

if you can't find the flaws in this graph then there's nothing that can help you. we aren't shutting down the fricking world for that miniscule bump.
let's try to stay on topic. Just because someone points something out regarding a specific aspect of this doesn't mean they support the shutdown.
Idk what the typical yoy increase in deaths is for that area, so without accounting for that that's a 28% increase in death in the same period. That's not a "small bump."
Obviously everything that's even borderline, they'll include it in the stat to pump the number. Plus everyone in that area and their moms are infected, so every death is going to be COVID.
However, this graph also captures the impact of COVID, which was my initial point.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41936 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

No one is arguing overall deaths aren't up, Johnny Killjoy.



The charts show that the covid deaths are actually an undercount baw.

quote:

From March 8 to April 11, 2020, there were 15,100 more total deaths than average in New York state over the same period over the past five years, according to the CDC. According to The New York Times, 12,686 deaths from coronavirus were reported in NYS over those five weeks — a difference of more than 3,400 people.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86747 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:15 am to
I can only find up to 2018 mortality rates on the CDC website for NY

can you post the links to where you gathered this data?

thanks
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26628 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:17 am to
quote:

To put it simply, the solution will end up being worse than the cause.


It already is. The way my state is handling this is fricking insane.

Almost all of our new cases are in nursing homes. The second highest group of people with infections are the health care workers themselves. We haven't done enough to protect those vulnerable patients or their caregivers, but we've gone overboard with locking healthy and less vulnerable people down, ensuring economic collapse and reduced access to healthcare for "elective" procedures - which in my area, includes cancer screenings.

fricking Lowe's and Home Depot are up and running, but a 45 year old woman has to jump through hoops to get a fricking mammogram.

To add insult to injury, Wal Mart, Target, and Whole Foods are all open....while a lot of smaller, independent stores and restaurants are not allowed to operate to even half capacity, if at all. It's absolute bullshite, and I don't think it's legal.
This post was edited on 5/1/20 at 9:21 am
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:17 am to

Did some hospitals just not receive the COVID cause of death memo?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
67026 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:18 am to
Your chart isn't matching up with the OPs chart.
In OP, it states the deaths in NY for 2019 to be 12,500 for a month and 16,000 for a month in 2020.
Yours is claiming about 25,000 in 2020.

Is yours a forecast?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41936 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Your chart isn't matching up with the OPs chart.
In OP, it states the deaths in NY for 2019 to be 12,500 for a month and 16,000 for a month in 2020.
Yours is claiming about 25,000 in 2020.

Is yours a forecast?
quote:

The 2020 lines in the charts are provisional data through April 11. The end of the first week of each month is labeled.
LINK
This post was edited on 5/1/20 at 9:20 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481226 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:20 am to
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9753 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:22 am to
That graph you posted was done 4/14 and much of the data takes at least a couple of weeks to be collected from coroners etc. It is missing a lot of data.

The most recent stats for only NYC from March 8 to April 11, 2020:

New York City had around 325% more deaths than normal during the period you discuss. So there's plenty of room for heart attacks.

NYC had 11,900 deaths in excess of normal during this period and only 10,261 have been attributed to Covid.

Based on that, NYC is still 1,600+ deaths over normal even after all the Covid deaths counted so far.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/28/us/coronavirus-death-toll-total.html
This post was edited on 5/1/20 at 9:38 am
Posted by LSUfanGuy13
Member since Mar 2017
432 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:24 am to
quote:

It's in the chart, dummy. I didn't photoshop it out or anything.


That's kind of the fricking point, retard.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91874 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Meh, still shows overall ~3,500 more deaths in that one month period.


The data isn't as useful in the middle of the spike.

A) More COVID-19 deaths to come

B) Far more important - how many current COVID-19 deaths were future heart disease, cancer, etc deaths that were pulled forward?

You have to evaluate excess deaths over a longer period of time - a year or so at a minimum.
Posted by Moonlight
Florence, Italy
Member since Jan 2007
1171 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:27 am to
Sounds like Covid has been a great American success story.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
14352 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:27 am to
quote:

The data isn't as useful in the middle of the spike.

A) More COVID-19 deaths to come

B) Far more important - how many current COVID-19 deaths were future heart disease, cancer, etc deaths that were pulled forward?

You have to evaluate excess deaths over a longer period of time - a year or so at a minimum.




Bingo. When all is said and done, there will be increased mortality. But not nearly as much as some people think. A huge number of the Covid deaths were already knocking on death's door for totally unrelated reasons.
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