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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread

Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:02 pm to
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11899 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:02 pm to
Can they salvage the gas or diesel from the Citgo mixtures?
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11114 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:06 pm to
Just a wobble and a RI from being the worst-case scenario for Tampa. They’ve dodged one for a long time!
Posted by SmackDaniels
Gulf Breeze, FL
Member since Mar 2007
15491 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:08 pm to
Saw some cones that it shifted west today? The op hasn’t updated since this morning
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40297 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:08 pm to
Tampa folks still feel like they have an invincibility shield. Let’s see if anyone’s learned from Ian. Tomorrow they have to prepare.
Posted by pjk481
Member since Sep 2011
699 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:08 pm to
What do y’all think the impacts will be to coastal South Carolina? Like the Kiawah area? Supposed to be up there Wednesday to Sunday.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12627 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

Just a wobble and a RI from being the worst-case scenario for Tampa. They’ve dodged one for a long time!


If it hits a major metro area as a cat 3 or higher, I don’t think there will be any insurance companies writing any more coastal wind policies if they survive those losses.

And if it turns in to a surge event, hopefully everyone has flood insurance.
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 11:16 pm
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11114 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

Kiawah area

Shitty Wednesday. Lovely after!
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 11:21 pm
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11114 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:14 pm to
quote:

insurance companies

I have USAA and my premium has tripled in ten years in northern Alabama. If it smacks Tampa, they may go under, with all the active-duty and retired military there. Michael & Tyndall hit them a pretty good lick!
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11114 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:20 pm to
quote:

it should be stressed that additional strengthening to major hurricane strength is becoming increasingly likely before Idalia reaches the Gulf coast of Florida.


Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75019 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

Saw some cones that it shifted west today? The op hasn’t updated since this morning

The OP updates automatically with each updated NHC track. That one updated at 10pm.
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 11:24 pm
Posted by gizmothepug
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2015
8657 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:24 pm to
quote:

insurance companies


Louisiana and Florida can become Eskimo brothers.

Maybe Eskimo sisters, because both states have been fricked hard and put up wet when it comes to home owners insurance.
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 11:29 pm
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93585 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

The op hasn’t updated since this morning


lulz…
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:33 pm to
Probably going to stay up for a bit of the 00z runs.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84294 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 11:36 pm to
Will Tampa Bay's good fortune continue?

Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11114 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:08 am to
quote:

Tampa Bay's good fortune

Nothing lasts forever.

For those keeping score at home:
2016-Baton Rouge floods—tropical depression
2017-Harvey
2018-Michael
2019-Imelda
2020-Laura
2021-Ida
2022-Ian
2023-?
Somewhere on the Gulf Coast.
Every. fricking. Year.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 12:34 am to
Been a lot of severe storms associated around the heat dome breaking down the past week. I even got rain yesterday that hailed on me for 30 minutes.

That's actually the bad thing about the massive heat dome breaking down is it's giving energy to make the storms stronger around it.
This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 12:36 am
Posted by jfan244888
Soda City, SC
Member since Jul 2021
1129 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 1:17 am to
If I read the latest GFS run right looks like Tampa might be spared a direct hit right now.

957 MB at landfall - Cat 3.

It'll be further further up the coast. Closer to Big Bend.
This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 1:19 am
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:21 am to
Right now the path is showing the eye 60-70 miles west of Tampa as a cat 2. They have said for years that this would put 14' of water in downtown Tampa. It is still showing just above Cedar Key for landfall, as a cat 2.



This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 3:24 am
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13663 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:38 am to
All things considered, geography, storm trajectory, etc. Tampa might play hell with it just skirting by.
Posted by Tvilletiger
PVB
Member since Oct 2015
5990 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 4:03 am to
Looking like a cat 3 projection now
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