Duke

Security theater. A pain in the arse designed to make people feel like it's safer. ...

[quote]So, weathermen screw up forecasts in Ohio, too? [/quote] This was a hard forecast, especially on the snow/rain line placement. I saw a couple of mets call the south/east sides ending up with more rain last night but that's a hard forecast to run out. Call for snow and you get rain, it's an...

:lol:...

[quote]Next to nothing here. [/quote] It wouldn't be shocking if Boston gets next to no snow. South and east sides got warmed up. I95 gets little snow or ice, interior New England gets a foot or two. Really hard forecast. More of a giant frontal boundry than anything. ...

[quote]Rds is clutch on OT weather threads, obviously, but he's hilarious on the PT IMO. [/quote] There are a lot of smart people out there with, let's say, entertaining political views. ...

[quote]Do our [b]gurus[/b] here think this will pan out this way??? [/quote] To be clear, I just play one on here. So on the cold, the weather watchers have been waiting on a cold outbreak in the east since like late December. We had what's known as a sudden stratospheric warming event (SSW)...

Mid 20s in Flordia. Looking negative for Huntsville. That would be an incredible cold snap. And if you see my last edit, happy hour GFS rolling down a 1060+ high out of Canada. It's coming toward a deep cold snap too. ...

I saw that but didn't share (well I did share the sounding). If that cold for the end of the month keeps showing up, there are going to be some crazy looking model runs being shared. The words "polar vortex" going to be everywhere. [img]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/201...

The Euro going with "Ice Age" for next weekend. [img]http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2019011812/216/850tw.conus.png[/img] Baton Rouge at like 15 degrees about 5000 feet up. At this range, take a healthy grain of salt with it....

12z GFS is pretty close to ideal with the low set up. Running across the gulf, we're on the nice north colder side. But it's even close to cold enough. :lol: [img]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019011812/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_24.png[/img] [img]https://www.tropicalt...

Euro coming on board with the little backside snow band gives us a little more validity to the same notion the GFS has been hinting at. Going to comb through the details in a bit. ...

If you go to college and don't dabble in a little LSD, anarchocapitalism, Marx, and buddhism then you're doing it wrong. ...

I mean, slight chance of rain and snow isn't exactly a slam dunk. Still notable to see it at all on the tail end of the forecast package. The afternoon discussion should touch on the scenario at least. Euro didn't look snowy to me and hasn't yet, though I've seen someone at stormcast mention a h...

[quote]There just isn't a good source region of truly cold air to tap into at the moment. We need some cross polar flow to set up and pull that cold over from Siberia. The temps up in Canada just aren't anything extreme enough to bring us really cold air. We will be lucky to just see a freeze or two...

I seent it, but it's a case of cold chasing precip. That typically dries out before it's cold enough to snow. Low pressure center has raced well north by that point. Not a set up I'd bet on. I'll note there keep being hits on the globals, which potentially says the right ingredients can be in pla...

[quote]In the winter, i check the weather online like 4 times s day. I just like hearing the different up to date interpretations from various professionals[/quote] I understand that. Winter weather is tough to forecast well, especially concerning timing. If you do the Twitter thing, consider...

Where are you at exactly? Chicago? Generally speaking, you probably miss the snow tomorrow. South of there should get a little. Friday, looks like morning rush would be clear but probably starting to snow for the evening commute and pretty solid snowfall over Friday night. Exact timing is alw...

[quote]They don’t update it very often. The last update they had for norther Illinois for long term forecast was 8 hours ago. [/quote] They pull from the NWS, who typically update those every 12 hours unless there's some big impact event coming. ...

[link=(https://www.weather.gov/)]NWS[/link] They update regularly, with the same forecast your news people end up using anyway. Not sure what local variables you might be missing. Use a free radar app to see if it's about to rain in real time. You ought to be good to go....

[img]https://media.giphy.com/media/3ohs7UMDCN7VHf0Bl6/giphy.gif[/img] Wife, BIL, and I binged both seasons this past weekend. Loved it. Wolf is one of my favorite characters in a long time. ...