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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:12 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:12 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Here we go…
0
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:20 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I started a thread or two when it looked like rain would impact one of our games. What’s your point?
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:29 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Lightning strikes going near the center
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:45 pm to Zapps4Life
quote:
And Leon’s getting larger!
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:48 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Looks like it’s getting it’s act together quick.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:50 pm to ellessuuuu
Patience.
Its progressing tonight but I dont think we're seeing a rapid pace of intensification. Lot of organizing left to go before it can fully tap the heat available to it.
Its progressing tonight but I dont think we're seeing a rapid pace of intensification. Lot of organizing left to go before it can fully tap the heat available to it.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:57 pm to Duke
...IDALIA STRENGTHENING QUICKLY... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...
10:00 PM CDT Sun Aug 27
Location: 19.8°N 85.3°W
Moving: Stationary
Min pressure: 992 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
10:00 PM CDT Sun Aug 27
Location: 19.8°N 85.3°W
Moving: Stationary
Min pressure: 992 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:58 pm to Duke
10pm CDT advisory coming out now. Max sustained are up to 60mph now. Still waiting on the new cone.
Tropical Storm Idalia Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
1000 PM CDT Sun Aug 27 2023
...IDALIA STRENGTHENING QUICKLY...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL
RIO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 85.3W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
Tropical Storm Idalia Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
1000 PM CDT Sun Aug 27 2023
...IDALIA STRENGTHENING QUICKLY...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL
RIO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 85.3W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
Posted on 8/27/23 at 9:58 pm to Duke
Franklin also looking very impressive in the last few hours. I forget the name of it but I believe there is a known intensification in the evening/night for tropical systems.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:00 pm to lsuman25
love when that happens. 
Still has work to do but ahead of schedule (and a few mb lower than my expectation). Not the best news.
Still has work to do but ahead of schedule (and a few mb lower than my expectation). Not the best news.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:00 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
NHC is now calling for Idalia to reach 110 mph sustained winds in their forecast discussion.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/0300Z 19.8N 85.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 20.7N 85.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 22.2N 85.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 24.2N 84.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 26.8N 84.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 30/1200Z 29.6N 82.8W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
72H 31/0000Z 32.0N 80.1W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
96H 01/0000Z 34.3N 73.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 02/0000Z 34.4N 67.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/0300Z 19.8N 85.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 20.7N 85.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 22.2N 85.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 24.2N 84.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 26.8N 84.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 30/1200Z 29.6N 82.8W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
72H 31/0000Z 32.0N 80.1W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
96H 01/0000Z 34.3N 73.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 02/0000Z 34.4N 67.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:01 pm to slackster
quote:
I forget the name of it but I believe there is a known intensification in the evening/night for tropical systems.
Diurnal Maximum, or DMax among cloud nerds
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:01 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
10:00 PM CDT cone:
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:02 pm to lsuman25
From the discussion...oh boy...Florida needs to be preparing as soon as possible tomorrow.
quote:
Idalia is sitting over very warm waters of about 30 degrees
Celsius, and when it moves northward, it will be over the even
deeper warm waters of the Loop Current in 24-36 hours. Although
the trough over the Gulf could impart some shear over the system,
this is likely to be offset by upper-level diffluence. Idalia has
already strengthened more than anticipated, and the environment
looks ripe for additional intensification, possibly rapid. The NHC
intensity forecast has been increased and lies at the upper bound of
the guidance. The new prediction now shows a 95-kt hurricane over
the eastern Gulf of Mexico at 48 hours, but it should be stressed
that additional strengthening to major hurricane strength is
becoming increasingly likely before Idalia reaches the Gulf coast
of Florida. Interests within the storm surge and hurricane watch
areas are urged to prepare for possible significant impacts and
monitor future updates to the forecast.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:05 pm to NorthEndZone
It being this ahead of schedule really increases the chances of it getting to a major (or potentially making it quite a bit farther).
Easier to fight the shear.
Hopefully the deeping will let it take in some of the dry air lurking NW, but this aint what I wanted to see tonight.
Easier to fight the shear.
Hopefully the deeping will let it take in some of the dry air lurking NW, but this aint what I wanted to see tonight.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:06 pm to NorthEndZone
Those on the Florida Gulf coast from the Big Bend down through Tampa Bay need to start preparing. There won’t be a big preparation window, unfortunately, and the possibility of major hurricane is certainly increasing.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:08 pm to Duke
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:10 pm to Duke
quote:
Its progressing tonight but I dont think we're seeing a rapid pace of intensification. Lot of organizing left to go before it can fully tap the heat available to it.
Landfall is getting later. Not liking that.
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:12 pm to slackster
I had to do that, Duke is one of the best in these!
Posted on 8/27/23 at 10:12 pm to slackster
I really want to get into the semantics game of what I meant by rapid.
but Ill just take the L.
Not editing either, so everyone can enjoy.
I laughed.
A little too much weed, too little actually checking the damn recon.
but Ill just take the L.
Not editing either, so everyone can enjoy.
quote:
I had to do that
I laughed.
A little too much weed, too little actually checking the damn recon.
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 10:14 pm
Page 63 of 139
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