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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:22 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:22 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
I've been very hesitant to post about that one, but the GFS continues to get more and more and more interesting.
Here's a hint: Western gulf now and strong.
Here's a hint: Western gulf now and strong.
2
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:24 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
If I am in a flood prone area of W NC/E TN, flash or otherwise, I am considering evacing just as if I was on the coast for this one. This is a catastrophic flooding event in the making
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:24 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
I've been very hesitant to post about that one, but the GFS continues to get more and more and more interesting.
Here's a hint: Western gulf now and strong.
But it sits for a while and it also has not been consistent. Some runs it forms, others its non existant.
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:24 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:25 pm to LegendInMyMind
Some dude just held a Trump flag up in front of that Cedar Key live cam. TWC quickly took it off the screen.
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:25 pm to Duke
12z gfs has that next system enter the Gulf as a tropical storm and sit stationary in the Bay of Campeche for 8 days and bottom out at 928 mb. 
*Not posted for accuracy
*Not posted for accuracy
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:25 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
do they really have to wait 3 outs to upgrade it to a major officially?
no. its just that the advisories are 3 hours apart, so the fact its probably a 3 right now, but wasnt 30 mins ago is inconvenient. Woulda be better to have it released on the 2pm et Advisory
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Gonna be a fun night on the radar in Jacksonville.
I’m just south of Jax in St. John’s county. My biggest fear is a overnight spinner!
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:26 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
If you or someone you know is a Florida resident in the path of the hurricane and for some reason can't or shouldn't be driving and needs to get to a shelter, Uber will take you to a shelter for free. Put in the code HELENE RELIEF
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:26 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
I've been very hesitant to post about that one, but the GFS continues to get more and more and more interesting.
Here's a hint: Western gulf now and strong.
Woah.. I just looked.. and yeah that is interesting.. but that needs to wait until next week..
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:26 pm to shallowminded
I just got a weather update that it's a cat 3 with 120 winds
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:27 pm to GEAUXT
quote:
I just got a weather update that it's a cat 3 with 120 winds
that's possible for sure.. recon found 955 I believe, so pressure is dropping somewhat quick right now
eta: it looks like the eyewall might be open again however
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 1:29 pm
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:28 pm to GEAUXT
quote:
I just got a weather update that it's a cat 3 with 120 winds
10 mph increase in 45 minutes... maybe it can still get up to 135+-140mph... Atl may get low low end cat 1 winds in a defined area.
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:28 pm to The Boat
quote:
12z gfs has that next system enter the Gulf as a tropical storm and sit stationary in the Bay of Campeche for 8 days and bottom out at 928 mb
Sure you didnt mean 18z?
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:28 pm to GEAUXT
quote:
I just got a weather update that it's a cat 3 with 120 winds
From who?
if this is Delta using his CTFSH model, then it doesn't count.
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:28 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
If you or someone you know is a Florida resident in the path of the hurricane and for some reason can't or shouldn't be driving and needs to get to a shelter, Uber will take you to a shelter for free. Put in the code HELENE RELIEF
This guy does good work tracking down and mapping public shelters. He's been working on the Helene impact area. The link opens to a Google Maps layer with shelter locations.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 1:29 pm
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:28 pm to Duke
what's happening w eye wall in latest satellite images?
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:29 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:29 pm to Duke
quote:
quote: 12z gfs has that next system enter the Gulf as a tropical storm and sit stationary in the Bay of Campeche for 8 days and bottom out at 928 mb Sure you didnt mean 18z?
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:30 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
what's happening w eye wall in latest satellite images?
Its buried under convection.
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