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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:31 pm to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14281 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:31 pm to
It's official...Cat 3

quote:

941
WTNT64 KNHC 261825
TCUAT4

Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024
225 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND HELENE A MAJOR HURRICANE...

The Air Force Hurricane Hunters found that the maximum sustained
winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h). This makes
Helene a dangerous category 3 major hurricane. Additional
strengthening is expected before Helene makes landfall in the
Florida Big Bend this evening.

SUMMARY OF 225 PM EDT...1825 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 84.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...280 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Berg/Brown
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177296 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Sure you didnt mean 18z?


18z isn't out for 3 hours and I'm not running gfs from my mom's basement
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
20230 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

what's happening w eye wall in latest satellite images?

that's a good question, but I think you meant E eyewall..

also, I can't remember too many MH's without a better eyewall.. anyone know a good comp?

woah - the next frame however looks like the eyewall is okay and shrinking..
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 1:33 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33490 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:32 pm to
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30512 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Its buried under convection.


It's about to be unburdened by what has been
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

18z isn't out for 3 hours and I'm not running gfs from my mom's basement


It's a Happy Hour GFS joke
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177296 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

It's a Happy Hour GFS joke


No time for jokes this close to landfall

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75112 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

18z isn't out for 3 hours and I'm not running gfs from my mom's basement

Happy Hour joke, baw.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93621 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

18z isn't out for 3 hours and I'm not running gfs from my mom's basement


Allegedly...
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14281 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:35 pm to
If the deeper convection (colder could tops - purple below) on the east and west sides completely wraps around the center over the next few hours, then it could go toward a 4.

Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
39453 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:35 pm to
Posted by holdmuh keystonelite
Member since Oct 2020
4645 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

what's happening w eye wall in latest satellite images?


Eyewall looks fine. Strong Convection is completely surrounding it now.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95625 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:35 pm to
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
20230 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:37 pm to
food for thought.. she has gone from 80 mph this morning at 2:00 am to 120 mph this afternoon at 2:00 pm..

that's quite a bit of strengthening without an eyewall closed off.. she still has about 8 hours until landfall..
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93621 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:39 pm to
Timmer is such a tool.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
39453 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

Timmer is such a tool.



Total douche canoe.
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42475 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:42 pm to
He’s actually a cool dude. Lives in Norman and have bumped in to him several times. Very nerdy, but has like a frat boy who struggled to grow up front. He’d double for a lot of posters on this site if you swapped weather for CFB.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6654 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:44 pm to
He lives in Golden.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75112 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

Timmer is such a tool.

There is probably not another person on the planet living the "do what you love" mantra better than him. He's earned every bit of success he's gotten.
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 1:45 pm
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
20230 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

He’s actually a cool dude. Lives in Norman and have bumped in to him several times. Very nerdy, but has like a frat boy who struggled to grow up front. He’d double for a lot of posters on this site if you swapped weather for CFB.

He's a pretty big OU fan from what I can tell, I wouldn't be surprised if he posts here or does at some point..

He's a crazy SOB, but I live vicariously through that guy at times..
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