re: Clancy trial verdict predictions

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Judge should lose his seat for not sequestering. Either deliberate jury corruption or an absolute dumbass.

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IIRC it's pretty rare for a jury, in a trial this long, to be sequestered. Should they have been? Probably but doing so curtails your jury pool even more because the majority of people can't be away from their families and kids for 3+ weeks.

With that said this was always going to be a hung jury because of the young women on the jury and the state did a horrible job up until the closing statement. In a retrial hopefully the state does a better job and narrows the focus a bit.

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IIRC it's pretty rare for a jury, in a trial this long, to be sequestered. Should they have been? Probably but doing so curtails your jury pool even more because the majority of people can't be away from their families and kids for 3+ weeks.

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Some juries are sequestered only during deliberations

Seems like a great way to get 12 people to reach a decision

jury making demands too & wanna leave early

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I guess it my kid has a woman teacher from now on I need to ask if she has had a kid in the past year. If so, I'll get her moved to another classroom.

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If she gets off, this is going to set women's rights back to the stone age. Employers will be able to use hormones as a valid reason to not hire a women that just had a kid and use this case as a precedent.

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Would have been the best outcome for all parties. No trial and no hormonal defense sees the light of day.

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Lol 100% chance that he would be arrested, tried (and probably convicted) of the murder of the kids as well in that case.

My guess is murder 1 is off the table and murder 2 probably is

Maybe they get manslaughter but my guess is a hung jury

If any one thinks she was insane, or might have been insane, they are not going to sign off on any charge.

Jury still hung. Court TV says "jurors look frustrated as Tuey-Rodriguez charge read." Judge sent them back to deliberate further.

Yup. You have at least 3 people not budging one way or the other.

It might be awhile.

But I firmly believe that the Prosecution will learn some lessons from this one and all the things they fricked up

The prosecution is more likely to obtain a conviction if the case actually goes to a second jury trial, though most hung-jury cases never reach a full retrial.

The best available data comes from the National Center for State Courts study Are Hung Juries a Problem? (Hannaford-Agor et al., 2002), which has been repeatedly cited in later legal scholarship.

After a hung jury:
• Only about 32% of cases were refiled for another jury trial.
• Roughly 32% ended in a guilty plea.
• About 22% were dismissed.

Of the cases that did go to a second jury trial:
• ~69–70% ended in conviction
• ~19% ended in acquittal
• ~8% hung again
• ~4% ended in another type of mistrial

Among retrials that produced a verdict, the conviction rate was therefore around 78%.