re: What is your record prediction for football this year?

There are 4 games on the schedule that could be losses for a Brian Kelly coaches team so the floor is 8-4.

The four potential losses are as follows:
9/3 Florida State
9/30 Ole Miss (away)
11/4 Alabama (away)
11/25 Texas A&M

Here's my view on least likely to most likely of these potential losses

9/30 at Ole Miss. This is set up to be a trap game, especially if we beat Florida State. Ole Miss has a great running game and some weapons. If Dart takes a step up (and I think he will), it could be a dangerous offense ready to test our secondary. That said, we would have to bring our B- or C+ game (hence why it's a trap). I'd say there's a 20% chance.

11/25 Texas A&M. After last season's debacle, a lot of people are writing the Aggies off. But what if things go right this season for them. What is Weigman continues to blossom as a top rate QB? What if the Petrino experiment works? They have a nasty defense front. Stacked with talent. The Aggies could have a redemptive season. I wouldn't bet on it but it also would not shock me (also wouldn't shock me if they lose week 2 to Miami and the wheels come off again). Plus, this is late season and the health of both squads could dictate the outcome. 30% chance.

9/3 Florida State ("neutral"). I think we're the better team but Florida State is talented. If we lose it will be because Travis and his giraffe WRs torch our brand new secondary. 40%

11/4 at Alabama. Alabama doesn't have a QB right now(which is why they lose week 2 to Texas) but I think Saban will figure it out come week 10 when we play them. This is the only team with a more talented roster than we have. It will be a dog fight to win. 50/50.

So the floor is 8-4, the ceiling is 12-0. Based on the percentages, I'm leaning 11-1.

Too many variables to say what happens in the SEC championship game. Are we healthy? Is Georgia? So I'm only predicting the regular season.

Before the scrimmage that just took place, I would have said 10-2, or 11-1. Offense didn’t seem overwhelmingly impressive like I thought they would. Now, I’d say 10-2, 9-3.

quote:

---

11-1 at worst

---

9-3

I love Kelly and I love this team and the movement but I think next year is the year

9-3. We will lose to someone we shouldn't. Maybe twice. This team should be mature enough for a 10-2 floor but only time will tell.

quote:

---

There are 4 games on the schedule that could be losses for a Brian Kelly coaches team so the floor is 8-4.

The four potential losses are as follows: 9/3 Florida State
9/30 Ole Miss (away)
11/4 Alabama (away)
11/25 Texas A&M

---

I mean if you’re gonna consider Ole Miss a potential loss, then you’d have to consider Arkansas & Auburn as well.

Personally I think we should win those 3 games easily as well as Florida. Florida is the biggest trap game, coming the week after what I assume will be a big win in Tuscaloosa

If we stayed on the same trajectory last year I’d feel great. But the A&M performance makes me less optimistic. 10-2

I was bullish at the start of camp but the depth issues, especially in the secondary are a major concern. The schedule is tough as nails with many trap games.

10-2 or 9-3 are realistic expectations. I think we get a little DiNardo magic- beat the unbeatables and lose to a few chumps. MS ST scares the shite out of me.

11-1