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re: A Detailed Look at LSU with and without Xavier Pinson
Posted on 2/7/22 at 12:06 am to Madking
Posted on 2/7/22 at 12:06 am to Madking
We don’t have the depth to lose players like pinson. We lost cook, smart, Thomas, and manning. Gaines is our only guard left. Miller and pinson are great replacements, but it really isn’t fair to expect Williams to carry any real load as a pg, especially considering he didn’t even play until conference. This team doesn’t have the offensive talent to be missing any starter other than Reid. I really don’t think he is that much better than his replacement at this point.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 1:09 am to Mats86
Excellent post, tadelatt. It is not possible to overstate the importance of Pinson's minutes in our offense and in our player rotation.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 7:34 am to tadelatt
quote:
how many things have changed
No one should think losing Pinson wasn't a big deal. What's very frustrating is the team has seemingly regressed every game since then. The HC and staff haven't figured out a way to scheme or adjust in manners that put the team in better positions to be successful.
They've gotten worse every week. That's on Wade.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 7:36 am to tadelatt
Lmao. I didn't read all that, but considering how part of this board thinks he would completely turn us around, I'm guessing he would have been a unanimous 1st team all American...possibly player of the year.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 7:46 am to tadelatt
Look i completely agree with the point your making, but the stats just don't mean much at all to me as you portrayed them.
You can tout the OOC schedule ranking all you want, but we played a pretty weak OOC schedule in reality. Good on paper, not so good in actuality. Wake Forest was the only true game we played against an opponent worth a shite, while a few others may have been ok, most were at home against mid majors.
Do the stats again and do it pre injury but only against Wake, PSU, LaTech, GaTech, Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee.
You can tout the OOC schedule ranking all you want, but we played a pretty weak OOC schedule in reality. Good on paper, not so good in actuality. Wake Forest was the only true game we played against an opponent worth a shite, while a few others may have been ok, most were at home against mid majors.
Do the stats again and do it pre injury but only against Wake, PSU, LaTech, GaTech, Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:03 am to StAugFLTiger
you’re up there for worst poster on this board.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:23 am to GEAUX5
The one position on this team that we couldn't afford to lose was PG. Miller getting hurt and then Pinson was killer.
Gaines may end up being a decent PG, but he's not there yet. He's too helter skelter.
Pinson wasn't great, but he was very good at keeping this team composed.
Anyone who has watched this team since Pinson went down can easily see he was the driver of the team.
Sure this team has some other issues, but losing Pinson is why this team has played so badly of late. We simply don't have a replacement for what he brought to this team.
IF he can come back relatively healthy in the next few games, I think you will be able to see the difference.
Gaines may end up being a decent PG, but he's not there yet. He's too helter skelter.
Pinson wasn't great, but he was very good at keeping this team composed.
Anyone who has watched this team since Pinson went down can easily see he was the driver of the team.
Sure this team has some other issues, but losing Pinson is why this team has played so badly of late. We simply don't have a replacement for what he brought to this team.
IF he can come back relatively healthy in the next few games, I think you will be able to see the difference.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:35 am to Meauxjeaux
quote:yes, PGs are very important, but don't coaches have a plan B -- in case their star PG gets in foul trouble, gets hurt, etc?
PGs make the world go round. If you ain’t got one ur fricked.
You can't just say we lost our PG, so now we're dead.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:39 am to atltiger6487
But, with Miller getting hurt we didn't have a good replacement for Pinson being out.
We could manage foul trouble, not him being out multiple games.
Yes, WW shares blame for this.
We could manage foul trouble, not him being out multiple games.
Yes, WW shares blame for this.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:40 am to UnluckyTiger
quote:
And we saw what Auburn looked like without their starting PG this weekend.
And yet the found a way to win. That’s what good teams do.
Meanwhile we’ve lost 6 of 7 including two games against two of the worst teams in the SEC.
Pinson or not, we have no business getting run out of the gym by Ole Miss and Vandy. That is unacceptable.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:41 am to tadelatt
I think it is silly to think his loss hasn't had an impact on the team. But it is also silly to think him being out is the sole reason this team is in a tail spin and that his return (if he returns) would solve all of LSU's problems and transform them from a team currently playing their way out of the NCAAT to one that is a Final Four contender.
LSU offense was struggling before his injury. IIRC, it was in the 70's in terms of offensive efficiency (and trending downward). Turnovers were a big reason for that (still are) and Pinson was really struggling in that department. In the 3 SEC games alone he had 6 (Auburn), 4 (Kentucky) and 4 (Tennessee). He was operating at roughly a 1:1 Assist/turnover ratio prior to his injury. That's not great for your PG. In the first 3 games of SEC play he was shooting 27% from 3 (roughly 31% or so overall). Even at the time of his injury his offensive +/- (if you are into advanced stats) was the lowest since his freshman year at Missouri (though his defensive +/- was far and away the best in his career to that point)
The unfortunate thing is his injury came in the Tennessee game which was arguably LSU's best offensive game of the season. Was the team starting to click at that point? Or was it just an anomaly relative to the first 14 games of the season? Unfortunately, we can never know the answer to that.
So the bottom line is that while his loss was NO DOUBT a huge blow, it is hard for me to say that alone was the difference between LSU ultimately being a top 10 team vs a team not fighting to get back on track to make the NCAAT. This team was one that was probably overachieving a bit vs. relatively weak competition (Yes, the OOC schedule wasn't great...the current SOS ranking of 188 reflects that) that was due for a bit of a regression once SEC play started. Unfortunately, their PG was hurt which has aided in that regression probably being sharper that anyone would have hoped.
This LSU team has always been a solid, but very unbalanced team (just like they were the last two seasons, just with opposite strengths/weaknesses). However, their defense was so good they were able to win games even though the offense was struggling. The defense now has either been figured out or is simply falling apart...which has made them powerless vs. ANY team they play. They only had one avenue to success this season (before and after the Pinson injury), great defense. Now that avenue looks to be closed and you are seeing the results. That is not "negativity". It's just objective reality. The recent results are speaking for themselves
LSU offense was struggling before his injury. IIRC, it was in the 70's in terms of offensive efficiency (and trending downward). Turnovers were a big reason for that (still are) and Pinson was really struggling in that department. In the 3 SEC games alone he had 6 (Auburn), 4 (Kentucky) and 4 (Tennessee). He was operating at roughly a 1:1 Assist/turnover ratio prior to his injury. That's not great for your PG. In the first 3 games of SEC play he was shooting 27% from 3 (roughly 31% or so overall). Even at the time of his injury his offensive +/- (if you are into advanced stats) was the lowest since his freshman year at Missouri (though his defensive +/- was far and away the best in his career to that point)
The unfortunate thing is his injury came in the Tennessee game which was arguably LSU's best offensive game of the season. Was the team starting to click at that point? Or was it just an anomaly relative to the first 14 games of the season? Unfortunately, we can never know the answer to that.
So the bottom line is that while his loss was NO DOUBT a huge blow, it is hard for me to say that alone was the difference between LSU ultimately being a top 10 team vs a team not fighting to get back on track to make the NCAAT. This team was one that was probably overachieving a bit vs. relatively weak competition (Yes, the OOC schedule wasn't great...the current SOS ranking of 188 reflects that) that was due for a bit of a regression once SEC play started. Unfortunately, their PG was hurt which has aided in that regression probably being sharper that anyone would have hoped.
This LSU team has always been a solid, but very unbalanced team (just like they were the last two seasons, just with opposite strengths/weaknesses). However, their defense was so good they were able to win games even though the offense was struggling. The defense now has either been figured out or is simply falling apart...which has made them powerless vs. ANY team they play. They only had one avenue to success this season (before and after the Pinson injury), great defense. Now that avenue looks to be closed and you are seeing the results. That is not "negativity". It's just objective reality. The recent results are speaking for themselves
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:45 am to tygerphan
quote:
No one should think losing Pinson wasn't a big deal. What's very frustrating is the team has seemingly regressed every game since then. The HC and staff haven't figured out a way to scheme or adjust in manners that put the team in better positions to be successful.
They've gotten worse every week. That's on Wade
Exactly.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 8:45 am to GeorgeWest
quote:
Excellent post, tadelatt. It is not possible to overstate the importance of Pinson's minutes in our offense and in our player rotation.
True, now explain why we are getting twenty plus points behind against below average SEC and Big 12 teams. That’s the biggest problem, our pour defense.
Pinson being out doesn’t completely explain our defensive woes.
Something else is going on and that’s what we need to fix.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 9:23 am to tadelatt
You can throw in all the stats you want, but Pinson is not a “floor general”.
I love these stat heads that dig and dig hours to find something to fit their argument.
Ok, I’ll play your little stat game. X has played 17 games this year. Let’s take a look at his stats vs SEC opponents.
Games: 4
FG%: 37.9
3Pt%: 25%
FT%: 66.7%
Points: 8.8
Rebounds: 2.8
Assists: 3.8
Turnovers: 4.2
Yeah, keep lying to these people trying to convince them he’s a gamechanger.
I love these stat heads that dig and dig hours to find something to fit their argument.
Ok, I’ll play your little stat game. X has played 17 games this year. Let’s take a look at his stats vs SEC opponents.
Games: 4
FG%: 37.9
3Pt%: 25%
FT%: 66.7%
Points: 8.8
Rebounds: 2.8
Assists: 3.8
Turnovers: 4.2
Yeah, keep lying to these people trying to convince them he’s a gamechanger.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 9:44 am to JWill409
quote:
You can throw in all the stats you want, but Pinson is not a “floor general”. I love these stat heads that dig and dig hours to find something to fit their argument. Ok, I’ll play your little stat game. X has played 17 games this year. Let’s take a look at his stats vs SEC opponents. Games: 4 FG%: 37.9 3Pt%: 25% FT%: 66.7% Points: 8.8 Rebounds: 2.8 Assists: 3.8 Turnovers: 4.2 Yeah, keep lying to these people trying to convince them he’s a gamechanger.
Just watch the game, Pinson is clearly a game changer, the team plays much different with him out there.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 9:50 am to tygerphan
quote:
No one should think losing Pinson wasn't a big deal. What's very frustrating is the team has seemingly regressed every game since then. The HC and staff haven't figured out a way to scheme or adjust in manners that put the team in better positions to be successful.
They've gotten worse every week. That's on Wade.
This. The adjustments that Wade has made have made the team worse.
With Gaines starting, the team was down a sparkplug off the bench. To "fix" the offense, Wade put Eason in the starting lineup, which made our bench even weaker. To compound things, he plays O'Neal, our best energy guy off the bench, very sparingly.
Defensively we seem to be trying to protect Gaines, often resulting in a player like Reid guarding the leading scorer alone at the top of the 3 point line. The last 2 games we have sagged more resulting in wide open 3 point shots.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 9:59 am to tadelatt
With Pinson on the floor at PG his teammates rely on his direction which allows them to play more freely and confident. So, not only has your starting PG been out but most of the starters are battling through their own injuries and game by game Wade is trying to manage minutes taking everything into consideration.
There’s people on this board who will never be a fan of Wade for reasons we can’t understand and asking them to put the last 3 weeks into perspective is a complete waste of time.
It’s been a rough 3 weeks for this team and most teams go through their own tough stretches like LSU is currently enduring. Sure Wade deserves some criticism for how it unfolded but the insanity calling for Wades firing is asinine. We also have to deal with all of the “Wade sucks at game day coaching & Wade is a terrible X’s And O’s coach” threads that litter the first 3 pages of this board.
There’s people on this board who will never be a fan of Wade for reasons we can’t understand and asking them to put the last 3 weeks into perspective is a complete waste of time.
It’s been a rough 3 weeks for this team and most teams go through their own tough stretches like LSU is currently enduring. Sure Wade deserves some criticism for how it unfolded but the insanity calling for Wades firing is asinine. We also have to deal with all of the “Wade sucks at game day coaching & Wade is a terrible X’s And O’s coach” threads that litter the first 3 pages of this board.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 10:03 am to rutiger
quote:
Just watch the game, Pinson is clearly a game changer, the team plays much different with him out there.
I never thought of Pinson as a game changer, a go to guy, or someone our opponents have to fear. He was definitely an important guy, a cog in the machine and someone we needed, however.
The O has missed what he brings to the table. He was the starting PG after all. When you play the better teams we need him at 100%.
But it’s not just offense that had slipped. Our D has cratered. We went from SEC best to SEC poor. We are allowing average and below average offensive teams to score. Pinson missing doesn’t explain this completely. Some perhaps, but not everything.
Wade commented that in the first half against Vandy we did not have an offensive rebound. Pinson missing doesn’t explain that.
We need to adapt to the situation. We can’t cry about Pinson being hurt. We have to adjust the best we can. Wade needs to rethink things and get us back on track. No, we probably won’t beat the top teams, but we have to compete better on the bottom teams.
Posted on 2/7/22 at 10:12 am to GEAUX5
Thanks. And when you realize I'm right, you will hate me even more.
Doesn't take a genius to figure out this is a poorly coached team, injuries or not.
Doesn't take a genius to figure out this is a poorly coached team, injuries or not.
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