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re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.

Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:19 am to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Over, but it tops out around 30K by June.
Except it would take a drastic change for us to not hit that within the next couple of weeks.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 10:20 am
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:19 am to
I think over.
I think we’d be over if we had zero new cases starting next week.

But the trends are generally looking positive.
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
14813 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:21 am to
Over
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
27798 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:24 am to
Over
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35374 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:25 am to
Over.
Posted by Tecate
Member since Nov 2012
1000 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:26 am to
over

Time frame?
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 10:27 am
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
7999 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:27 am to
We'll be in the 50,000 - 70,000 range by June.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 10:29 am
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
11797 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:29 am to
seeing as flu this past season was over that, COVID-19 will also be over that......
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162209 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:29 am to
quote:

Out of thin air, truth be known.

Was my gut belief 3 weeks ago.

You wouldn't want to revise that based on the data we have from the last 3 weeks?
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11354 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:30 am to
A question was asked.

I gave an honest answer.

Nothing more, nothing less.

I guess I underestimated the co-morbidity of NOLA.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11354 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:33 am to
I'll stay with my 20k and it is a solid number as I assumed two things:

Proven treatments wouldn't have been held hostage, and

As we are learning venting is not a real good pathway
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35374 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:37 am to
quote:

I'll stay with my 20k and it is a solid number as I assumed two things:

Proven treatments wouldn't have been held hostage, and

As we are learning venting is not a real good pathway
Yeah, let's stop using vents and see what happens to the death rates when people are unable to breathe on their own.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11354 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:42 am to
Pissy bunch in this crowd.

Believe as you wish but watch the science in the days ahead as we do retrospective reviews. We did what we thought was best and sometimes we miss the mark. Nothing about playing tag you are it with proven medicine? How come I am not surprised!!!
Posted by laxtonto
Member since Mar 2011
1912 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:44 am to
Over 20, under 40, with the vast majority being over 55 with 2 or more underlying conditions.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111507 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Yeah, let's stop using vents and see what happens to the death rates when people are unable to breathe on their own.


You shouldn’t post about stuff you don’t understand.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80765 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:50 am to
over
Posted by Upperaltiger06
North Alabama
Member since Feb 2012
3944 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 11:12 am to
Under. Especially if able to discriminate the ofs vs withs.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110709 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 11:26 am to
quote:

Currently at around 12,000 if I recall correctly, so I will say slightly over.

The curve hasn't technically flattened yet, and it doesn't really go from peak to no cases THAT quickly.

We'll likely surpass 25k in 1 week or so, and go way pass 25k.

But yes, we are trending in the right direction to keep this wayyyy under the doomsday projections.
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27890 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 11:44 am to
Way under

But they will pad everything they can to get close
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54203 posts
Posted on 4/7/20 at 11:47 am to
Between now and when? By the end of the summer I say under, barely.
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