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re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by Chromdome35 on 4/7/20 at 10:04 am to Gaston
Too early to tell yet...could be under and could be over. IF the current trend continues and we don't see any additional flare-ups or hot spots emerge, I think it will be under or just at.
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by baybeefeetz on 4/7/20 at 10:06 am to Gaston
According to my calculations a while back, it will be about 52k.
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by BayBengal9 on 4/7/20 at 10:09 am to Gaston
Over how long? By end of April, under... by end of June? Over.
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re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by wfallstiger on 4/7/20 at 10:10 am to Gaston
Under at 20k, max
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by buckeye_vol on 4/7/20 at 10:13 am to Gaston
quote:We’ll likely cross 25,000 sometime next week.
O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by Powerman on 4/7/20 at 10:13 am to wfallstiger
quote:
Under at 20k, max
Just curious where you're coming up with this number. We've been losing over a thousand a day the last several days. Even if we're at peak that's a very optimistic number.
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by wfallstiger on 4/7/20 at 10:15 am to Powerman
Out of thin air, truth be known.
Was my gut belief 3 weeks ago.
Was my gut belief 3 weeks ago.
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by Wally Sparks on 4/7/20 at 10:16 am to Gaston
Over, but it tops out around 30K by June.
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by baybeefeetz on 4/7/20 at 10:17 am to wfallstiger
We did the math in another thread. At this point you look at attack rate, death rate, and now you you can factor in daily new case growth rate.
This isn't that complicated if everything holds (in terms of social distancing) for like a month or two.
This isn't that complicated if everything holds (in terms of social distancing) for like a month or two.
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by buckeye_vol on 4/7/20 at 10:17 am to wfallstiger
quote:We’re likely to be approaching close to 3,000 deaths daily next week (902 already today) and we’ll be we’ll be well over 12,000 by the end of the day today.
Out of thin air, truth be known.
Was my gut belief 3 weeks ago.
And you think we’ll max out as 20,000?
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.Posted by Dr Rosenrosen on 4/7/20 at 10:18 am to Gaston
Over.
I think we top out somewhere between 40-60K by August.
I think we top out somewhere between 40-60K by August.
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