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Started By
Message
re: It’s over. Biden has a 71% chance of winning
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:01 am to Ted2010
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:01 am to Ted2010
quote:
But Clinton had only a small advantage in most surveys —
This is the problem we have today....people ignoring facts and just rewriting history to fit a narrative or push an agenda.
What Fn survey or poll had Hillary within the margin of error? It was constantly +10...some had +20
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 10:11 am
0
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:02 am to Ted2010
pedictit moved toward Biden this morning. I guess the gamblers liked the Harris pick
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:02 am to Ted2010
quote:
Biden has a 71% chance of winning
Then he has an even less chance than Hillary did and look how that turned out...
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:04 am to SCLibertarian
That’s a face that never loses!
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:05 am to Ted2010
Based on those maps it seems like everything comes down to Florida. Trump doesn't have a path without FL.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:05 am to timdonaghyswhistle
quote:
This is the thread where we learn a 71% chance of winning is stronger than a 98% chance of winning, kids.
Yep. The cuck has all kinds of excuses
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:06 am to Ted2010
I saw this earlier and it made me laugh. They learned absolutely nothing from 2016.
Many people, especially now, are terrified to voice their support of Trump so they won't answer these polls truthfully.
Many people, especially now, are terrified to voice their support of Trump so they won't answer these polls truthfully.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:06 am to beastieboys
quote:
Based on those maps it seems like everything comes down to Florida
Florida has to be in Trump's column, but even with FLA he needs help. Election will come down to holding AZ and winning 1 of PA/MI/WI/MN imo.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:08 am to LNCHBOX
quote:
That's some serious revisionist history spin.
Hillary ahead by 22 points and with a 98% chance of winning was within the margin of error?
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:10 am to Ted2010
Have they polled the people that refuse to say who they’re voting for in fear of backlash?
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:11 am to Prominentwon
quote:
Have they polled the people that refuse to say who they’re voting for in fear of backlash?
I really wish they would report the numbers in these polls of people who refused to participate and/or hung up...
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:13 am to The Maj
quote:
Then he has an even less chance than Hillary did and look how that turned out...
It's actually exactly the same percentage chance he gave Hillary in his final estimate in 2016.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:17 am to TigerDoc
Not sure why this board is attacking silver here. 30% is way higher then other models
Give him, and even Nate says the unique volatility of current times makes it fluid
Give him, and even Nate says the unique volatility of current times makes it fluid
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:20 am to Ted2010
There is zero chance Biden has more support than Clinton at this time.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:20 am to LNCHBOX
quote:
Is it? Take a look at the RCP averages from ‘16 [ LINK ]
The polls were closing up quickly in ‘16. By the end, Trump was well within the MOE in almost every state he won, with the sole exception of Wisconsin.
The media narrative did not match the actual polling evidence.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:21 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I agree. He's less a believer in large-scale effects of the shy/silent Trump voter or polling-sabotage thesis than your average TD baw and those who put a lot of stock in that evidedently think he's still underestimating Trump's support.
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 10:22 am
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:23 am to oogabooga68
quote:
Absent blatant fraud,
The democrats have already started. It's called Vote-by-Mail.
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 10:26 am
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:24 am to Gatorbait2008
quote:Clinton is one of the most despised major candidates in modern US history, if not all of US history. People hated her with a passion. People may not be thrilled about Joe, but the widespread hatred for him is not anything like Clinton.
There is zero chance Biden has more support than Clinton at this time.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:26 am to Ted2010
quote:
Biden also enjoys more overall support than Clinton.
Are you fricking kidding?
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:26 am to udtiger
This is terrible news. Nate was so accurate in 2016:
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