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Started By
Message
It’s over. Biden has a 71% chance of winning
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:48 am
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:48 am
538 speaks. Now with built in excuses! They got him now! Nate is never wrong...right?
LINK
quote:
But wait! Should you even trust the polls? Hillary Clinton led in the polls in 2016, right? Yes. But Clinton had only a small advantage in most surveys — Trump’s win was well within the range of normal polling error. As elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley wrote last week, Biden’s lead over Trump has already topped Clinton’s post-convention peak. Biden also enjoys more overall support than Clinton. In other words, there’s a genuine difference between Biden’s position now and Clinton’s four years ago.
LINK
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 9:50 am
32
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:50 am to Ted2010
quote:
But Clinton had only a small advantage in most surveys
That's some serious revisionist history spin.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:50 am to Ted2010
I'm not giving that homo clicks
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:50 am to Ted2010
glad you cleared that up for me
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:51 am to LNCHBOX
quote:
That's some serious revisionist history spin.
That’s what I thought when I read it. She was up well over the margin in most polls.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:51 am to Ted2010
RCP average August 12th 2016 - 6.4%
RCP average august 12th 2020 - 6.9%
but 2016 was post convention bump....
RCP average august 12th 2020 - 6.9%
but 2016 was post convention bump....
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:51 am to Ted2010
Bullzhit.
Absent blatant fraud, Trump wins this one going away.
If Biden is GIVEN the Presidency via fraud, Conservatives should burn the country to the ground.
Absent blatant fraud, Trump wins this one going away.
If Biden is GIVEN the Presidency via fraud, Conservatives should burn the country to the ground.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:52 am to Tigerbait2323
quote:
glad you cleared that up for me
This same guy had Hillary with a 89% chance of winning in 2016. Nate is a Cuck’s Cuck!Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:52 am to Ted2010
Only when Biden reaches a 98% chance of winning will I feel completely confident Trump will emerge victorious
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:53 am to Ted2010
quote:
Biden’s lead over Trump has already topped Clinton’s post-convention peak
I don’t know what the 538 percentages were post-convention 2016, but at one point 538 had Clinton with a 96% chance of winning.
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 9:54 am
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:54 am to Ted2010
Thought this was a Cuckgician2 thread at first.
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 9:54 am
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:54 am to Ted2010
Nate Lead has spoken....they didn't tell you Nate's other headline....538 says it's way too early to count Trump out
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:54 am to oogabooga68
quote:
Absent blatant fraud, Trump wins this one going away.
I hope so!
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:55 am to Ted2010
Nate Silver is addicted to his own failure.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:57 am to Ted2010
everyone knows Biden will get a VP bump
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:57 am to Ted2010
Now this is a face you can trust!
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:59 am to Ted2010
The frick. I think ol Nate had hillbitch with a 90%+ chance of winning, at one point.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:59 am to Ted2010
This is the thread where we learn a 71% chance of winning is stronger than a 98% chance of winning, kids.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:01 am to Ted2010
And even the night of the election...
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:01 am to Ted2010
I put $500 on predictit Sunday.
Doubling the money with MAGA.
Doubling the money with MAGA.
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