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Registered on:8/18/2004
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re: What is the learning curve on trading futures? - GeneralLee
Don’t trade futures unless you want to be “on call” 24/7. Amateurs lose money probably 95%+ of the time in these markets, especially Forex....
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re: What is the thought on TELL - GeneralLee
It's a lotto play... I'd say 75% chance no deal happens and they go bankrupt. 25% chance a deal happens with a big player like Petronet and they get to FID and you're looking at $5-10/share. So.... 75% odds * 0 plus 25% odds * $7.5/share = expected value of ~$1.88/share, compared to ~$1/share toda...
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re: It’s over. Biden has a 71% chance of winning - GeneralLee
[quote]Based on those maps it seems like everything comes down to Florida[/quote] Florida has to be in Trump's column, but even with FLA he needs help. Election will come down to holding AZ and winning 1 of PA/MI/WI/MN imo....
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re: Stocks on your watch list - GeneralLee
[quote]Anyone pick up AYX while it is down? I don't know much about it or if it will recover well.[/quote] Added some at $109 this morning....
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re: Stocks on your watch list - GeneralLee
TELL up 10%. Still holding on for my lotto play in case Petronet signs a deal with them. That would probably still be a five bagger from these levels....
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re: stock tip...FSLY - GeneralLee
Got out of FSLY with my Roth IRA shares at $88 this morning. Will be loading up the trucks to the brim if it dips back to the ~$60 range....
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re: Stocks on your watch list - GeneralLee
[quote]I'm looking for a hot tip on something low priced that few people are seeing right now. I will probably spend the rest of the afternoon digging around.[/quote] I have some lotto tickets in TELL. Probably 70% chance it goes bankrupt, 30% chance it's a $5-$10/share stock a year from now. T...
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re: stock tip...FSLY - GeneralLee
[quote]Been buying this morning. I officially have enough of my money in this stock to be nervous but I have faith.[/quote] Yep, deciding here whether to buy more today, but then it will be more than 20% of my portfolio when it's above 100 again shortly. Choices, choices......
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re: Stocks on your watch list - GeneralLee
the fact that LVGO management released the merger news, then had the blowout earnings is especially infuriating. They could have easily been at $170+ per share after that earnings report. ~10-20% easy was left off the table on the merger price. And to have it floating with TDOC valuation from now ...
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re: Stocks on your watch list - GeneralLee
really pissed that two of my winners TDOC and LVGO are bogged down with this merger. I think there's a high change LVGO shareholders don't approve it and then both companies get bogged down in litigation....
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re: What’s your confidence level Trump wins re-election - GeneralLee
[quote]Trump won swing states by narrow margins and many were due to low Dem turnout rather than increasing GOP voters. He will have a hard time getting more voters and Dems will turn out this time because they hate Trump that much and won’t get caught with their pants down again. [/quote] This i...
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re: What will Trump's first action be after reelection - GeneralLee
win or lose, I imagine he will pardon/commute a few people that were indicted in the witch hunt like Manafort, Flynn, etc. On more substantive front, hopefully he returns more to a MAGA policy position as opposed to playing to the middle for election year politics....
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re: What’s your confidence level Trump wins re-election - GeneralLee
Literally 50/50 right now.... I think it comes down to AZ & PA, and will be within probably a percentage point in both those states (if election was today)....
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re: If mail in voting is widespread, early returns could be Trump friendly. - GeneralLee
[quote]Remind me why people can’t vote normally[/quote] No reason, but the wheels are already being set in motion. See Nevada....
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If mail in voting is widespread, early returns could be Trump friendly. - GeneralLee
Think about it, let's say a lot of swing states have mail in ballots along with normal in person voting. The in person votes will be tabulated by the end of election night, while the mail in ballots could take weeks to count. It's been documented pretty extensively that the vote in person crowd is...
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re: LVGO deal- talk to me like I’m 6 - GeneralLee
I think it was borderline negligence on LVGO's board to agree to a deal that was based on a floating price of TDOC shares. Devil will be in the details I suppose....
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re: LVGO deal- talk to me like I’m 6 - GeneralLee
The deal doesn't appear to be set fixed at the $18.5B but is floating instead based on TDOC's price. So how TDOC pays for the deal (debt or dilution) could impact how much you get for your LVGO shares. ...
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TDOC to buy LVGO - GeneralLee
At about a 10 % premium to yesterday’s closing price. A bit pissed as now two of my portfolio winners become one, so may have to sell some shares to diversify now....
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re: Is Trump the cleanest rich guy/Billionaire of all time? - GeneralLee
Have fun with your Biden vote in NYC. Will just max out lib tears when Trump loses PV but has another EC landslide victory....
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re: Michigan report...Just got back from Michigan vacation... - GeneralLee
It’s not a theory, it’s in the Constitution pertaining to how President gets elected in event of EC tie. Each state House delegation gets one vote. So CA gets one vote, MT gets one vote, etc. Libs being concentrated in fewer, more populous states works to their disadvantage....
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