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Registered on:8/18/2004
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Now they are making huge ***es out of themselves and will likely kill any momentum Trump had in Congress. There were much more mature ways to handle this breakup.

re: LSU 4 @ Little Rock 10 Final

Posted by GeneralLee on 6/1/25 at 8:45 pm
You gotta sit Jones for the super and Omaha at this rate….

re: ASTS, meme stock or real stock?

Posted by GeneralLee on 5/8/25 at 5:20 pm
The reviews so far on Starlink's D2C service are pretty terrible, and AT&T and many other major mobile carriers seem to be more tied to ASTS with the strategic investments they made. The exception is T-Mobile which has the JV with SpaceX. I think ASTS has 2-3 years to grab market share before SpaceX can deliver a superior product (SpaceX will need Starship to be fully commercialized to do that, in my opinion).

re: ASTS, meme stock or real stock?

Posted by GeneralLee on 5/8/25 at 8:30 am
I've run a DCF model on it and get to a value of about $60/share (this is capping any growth post 2030 and baking in a fair amount of government contract revenue). I think a lot of the upside, given today's known facts, is already baked into the current price and there's a lot that could go wrong as space is hard. On the upside case, I think that significant government contracts for things like the Golden Dome could be a huge revenue generator for ASTS. So, upside case, I see $100-200 within a few years. Downside case is $5-20 assuming further launch delays, unforeseen tech issues, etc. I think they will have further launch delays for their Block 2 constellation given their heavy reliance on Blue Origin to get those birds up in space. The hardcore bulls talking about $1,000/share in a few years are probably not being realistic, as that would imply a market cap of like $300B, making it one of the most valuable telecom companies in the world (T-Mobile has a market cap of $300B as a comp).

re: National Gasoline Average Falls

Posted by GeneralLee on 4/14/25 at 4:26 pm
Price is like $3.30 here in Illinois which is BS considering how low oil prices are right now. Should be closer to $2.25.
So tech bros get their products excluded while small mom and pop businesses still get hit for the non tech goods? Not a good look for Trump.
This would be how i would wind my way from Milan to Rome...

Day 1: land in Milan, just see the Duomo and last supper. Nothing else to see there.
Day 2-3: Florence (get a rental car on your way out from Florence, you'll need it for these smaller towns in Tuscany/Umbria)
Day 4: Volterra area
Day 5-6: Siena area (go see Brolio castle and Meleto Castle in Chianti region)
Day 7-8: Montepulciano area (make sure you see Pienza, Monticchiello, and Castiglioncello del Trinoro)
Day 9: Orvieto
Day 10-12: Todi area (Todi is the GOAT, I'm moving there someday. Go visit Montefalco, Assisi, Spello, Bevagna and Deruta as well)
Day 13: Pitigliano area (visit Civita de Bagnoregio too)
Day 14-16: Return rental car, then visit Rome by train/cab

We're saying drop the whole itinerary and do smaller towns instead.

Unless his wife loves big cities and hates the countryside, a much more slower paced trip to Tuscany/Umbria is the way to go.

Rushing through Italy, wasting 1/3rd to 1/2 your time in transit, is a very American thing to do. Italy demands that you slow down.
Agreed 100%. Orvieto, Siena, Todi, Cortona, and Volterra are towns that will be a much more enjoyable spot than the major cities that will be swamped with tourists during the OP's travel dates. Orviet, Siena, and Todi aren't that far off the A1 between Florence and Rome, while Volterra and Cortona would be a detour.
Those cities will be swamped with tourists that time of year. You should go off the beaten path a bit and see small to mid sized towns in Tuscany and Umbria provinces, seeing Volterra, Siena, Cortona, Assisi, Gubbio, Todi, Orvieto, Montepulciano, Pienza, and Pitigliano, Civita de Bagnoregio, Castiglioncello del Trinoro, and Monticchiello.
Nah, I'm all for lifting the other tariffs, but we should keep the tariffs on China and force our supply chain to be weaned off them.
This is the way... free trade with the rest of the world and box out China.
Spend 1-2 nights in Florence and then spent the rest of the trip in: Volterra, Siena, Orvieto, and Todi. Way less tourists and a lot more authentic.
Hopefully this shows the end game.... massive trade war with China where we force our supply chain off of them, and then relatively free trade with the rest of the world.
Nope. I have my kids 529 plans all in money markets , my parents investments are >80% money markets, and my investments are >80% money markets as well. Personally I hope the S&P drops 90%+ so I can reinvest and obtain generational wealth once the market recovers, but no way Trump survives with political capital if that happens so this is bigger than me.
How much more will the markets have to drop before y'all admit these tariffs weren't very well thought out? There is no way the economy will be roaring and turn back around before midterms.... it's very likely we lose the Senate in 2026 now so Alito and Thomas better retire before then.

It's going to collapse in the coming months until the tariffs are restructured significantly.

re: Meanwhile on the Poli Board

Posted by GeneralLee on 4/4/25 at 11:57 am
Some true cultists over there. I'm MAGA but this tariff rollout was a disaster. Should have just given countries "X" days to lift their existing tariffs on U.S. goods or face consequences. The formula they used to calculate the reciprocal tariff % is idiotic and blasted countries like Vietnam and Israel that already had made concessions to try to maintain free trade. Trump is finished if he can't get his way out of this pickle he's put himself in.