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re: It’s over. Biden has a 71% chance of winning
Posted on 8/12/20 at 11:28 am to Lithium
Posted on 8/12/20 at 11:28 am to Lithium
quote:
Clemson had a 72 percent chance of winning the 2020 NCG. How'd that work out?
Anything between 20% and 80% is completely meaningless.
Actually it is anything between 1 and 99 but I felt charitable.
0
Posted on 8/12/20 at 11:29 am to AnyonebutSteelers
quote:Appalachian State was not a creation of leftist loons plying their propagandist trade.
Appalachian State beat the odds and scored a historic upset. But that doesn't mean that Appalachian State is favored to win the rematch when the two teams meet again.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 11:51 am to westide
quote:
How did that work out?
It worked out great for us!
Posted on 8/12/20 at 12:00 pm to gthog61
quote:Trump has had clear net negative momentum since 2016, so not sure what you are talking about.
They would have been if they had been allowed to play other big schools afterward and beat the shite out of all of them and had there team coming back.
you know, like Trump
Posted on 8/12/20 at 12:02 pm to Ted2010
Well Hillary had a 98% chance so this must mean a Trump landslide
Posted on 8/12/20 at 12:04 pm to jatilen
quote:
This is terrible news. Nate was so accurate in 2016:
I'm sure you are looking at the top percentage numbers, but if you look at the map, it's actually almost spot on.
The popular vote broke almost exactly as predicted
He missed on 4 states, but they were arguably the 4 biggest: WI,NC,FL,PA
Of the 4 he missed, NC and FL where shaded the lightest blue, which indicated basically a 50/50 tossup to Hillary
From an EC standpoint the victory was a landslide in 2016, but that came with razor thin margins in some key states
Posted on 8/12/20 at 12:15 pm to OldManRiver
quote:
From an EC standpoint the victory was a landslide in 2016
It wasn't, though - Trump only beat Hillary by a mere 74 electors. That's historically a very narrow outcome. Bush Sr., Clinton and Obama all won their elections by a considerably greater margin than that. Reagan won his two elections by margins of over 400+ and 500+ electors, respectively.
Posted on 8/12/20 at 12:35 pm to Ted2010
quote:
In other words, there’s a genuine difference between Biden’s position now and Clinton’s four years ago.
Yes 4 years ago Trump was an unknown politically and Conservatives didn't know if they could trust him, plus TDS was as yet an undiagnosed phenomenon so would be Trump voters had know way to know that all the hate and vitriol coming from the press/left was simply a symptom of an apparently incurable disease.
Now we know.
MAGA(A)
Posted on 8/12/20 at 1:44 pm to oogabooga68
Won’t have to burn down these animals are doing now
Posted on 8/12/20 at 2:07 pm to Ted2010
I love that "snake chart" they included. I really gives a clear picture of which states are really in play, and even with their polling, it shows how few states would have to flip for Trump to win re-election.
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