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re: Still waiting for an arrest

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/21/26 at 11:17 pm to
quote:

comes across like you're hoping for the worst.


I don't think it's the just hoping for the best/worst. It's the oracular dot-connecting vs.not.

re: Still waiting for an arrest

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/21/26 at 11:13 pm to
Nah, different folks cope with that in different ways.

re: Still waiting for an arrest

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/21/26 at 10:50 pm to
At least the Millerites were so good as to predict the exact date of Christ's return, so the "Great Disappointment" could birth adventism, but alas, we may not ever get a proper religion out of these baws.

re: Still waiting for an arrest

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/21/26 at 10:39 pm to
How could he ever know if he lost the bet?

re: What happened to MAHA?

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/21/26 at 1:01 pm to


It wasn't an accident. :lol:

(there are more products than just this that were recalled, btw)

quote:

Company Announcement
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 02/252026-McKinney, Texas, Lockout Supplements is voluntarily recalling all lots of Boner Bears Chocolate Syrup. This product has been found to contain sildenafil not listed on the product label.

Sildenafil is the active ingredient in the FDA-approved prescription drug Viagra, used to treat erectile dysfunction. FDA approval of Viagra is restricted to use under the supervision of a licensed health care professional. This undeclared ingredient may interact with nitrates found in some prescription drugs, such as nitroglycerin, and may lower blood pressure to dangerous levels. People with diabetes, high blood pressure, high cholesterol or heart disease often take nitrates. Lockout has not received any reports of adverse events related to this recall to date.


FDA
Hugo Chavez has still got it. *nods*
quote:

by quadrant


speaking of quadrants, bottom right is a wasteland. No irreligious conservative majors at all.
These seem to mostly match experience/intuition. But some are a little puzzling - why are classics non-religious and archaeology religious?

re: Candace Owens' entire act explained

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/16/26 at 11:40 pm to
She could be right about any particular issue and OP's point would still stand. The question is whether her method leaves any possible outcome that counts against her.
Good question, but it looks like national miscarriage counts aren’t as clean as you’d expect/want because most states don’t require fetal-death reporting before 20 weeks. But you can get at the causal question through big health-system datasets by comparing pregnancies that miscarried with ongoing pregnancies and then ask whether recent vaccination was more common in one of the two groups. That’s actually been done.
It was recently brought up again, but it was all the same stuff back in summer '21. Steve Kirsch, Bret Weinstein, Ian Smith, among others all hyped it. Here's a fact-check from July of that year:

LINK

And here's Bret Weinstein 3 days ago reminding us of his conversation with Steve Kirsch about it in June 2021:

LINK
If only there were ways to actually reasonably infer the cause and effect relationships of pathogens and preventative public health interventions.
quote:

You think MDs are all retiring on the big vaccine cash they’re raking in?


a good point. Treatment of preventable illnesses are way more lucrative than vaccines preventing preventable illnesses.
quote:

I have a toddler and he's only had a handful of vaccinations. Where are y'all getting this 65 number?


I think the number is 13 by age 2. 65 is an exaggeration and the real number includes 18 annual flu shots, which obviously lots of people don't get.

re: FDA approves new mRNA vaccine

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/6/26 at 2:47 pm to
yes, all the same old options are still on the market. This just gives another option for people 50+.

re: FDA approves new mRNA vaccine

Posted by TigerDoc on 8/6/26 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

I'm pretty sure the flu shot is almost always ineffective.

"Whoops, turns out we really boofed those virus strains this year."


The nice thing about the platform is that it can tighten the feedback loop between what strains are observed to be circulating and what antigens actually go into people's arms (at least in the ideal case - manufacturing is only part of the pipeline and this doesn't improve other parts like logistics, purchasing, & insurance and other things that also take time to get a vaccine to clinic.
I think that was the twitter source, not RFK, but RFK is definitely barking up that sort of tree. He doesn't really believe in germ theory and so I'd expect him to prefer historical explanations that aren't spillover events if he was pressed on it.

ETA: he brought up Lyme in that clip & RSV and those are illnesses that have been isolated from sick/deceased people from far longer ago than bioengineering such things was conceivable.
I think Wildcat and you are pointing toward the real problem with that statement in OP: “gain of function” can describe a very broad group of biological manipulations, while the thing people are actually worried about is a much narrower type involving dangerous enhancement of pathogens.

If RFK means “no good has ever come from research that risks creating more dangerous potential pandemic pathogens”, that's at least a proposition you can evaluate. But “no good thing has ever come from gain-of-function research” is a much bigger claim. It seems worth figuring out exactly what he wants to ban.
quote:

things like that could cause a spontaneous mutation in a virus.


that doesn't cause spontaneous mutation, but more proximity to animals that are reservoirs for flu can increase the chance of spillover should a mutation occur.