2024 NCAA Baseball Tournament Projections From Baseball America

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Knoxville, Tenn. Regional:
1. (1) Tennessee^*
2. UConn*
3. Indiana
4. Wright State*

Santa Barbara, Calif. Regional:
1. (16) UC Santa Barbara^*
2. Oregon State
3. LSU
4. Grand Canyon*

* denotes automatic bid
^ denotes regional host

The SEC has 11 bids in this projection. That would set a record and be a controversial decision. But as it stands on Thursday morning, all 11 teams won 13 SEC games and are in the top 30 of RPI and the top 25 of KPI. I believe that the committee did not go through the trouble of adding KPI and tweaking the quadrant system only to ignore it on Selection Monday. This is a potentially unprecedented season, with the SEC so powerful in every metric.

The selection committee is also being presented a situation where five teams tied in the standings with a 13-17 record. In the past, when one of those teams has been left out, it’s been easier to justify as a team that finished off the pace. This year, these teams represent the middle tier of the SEC.

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