re: Harris now the comfortable betting favorite on all sites; wtf is going on?

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All Kamala has to do is smile and waive and read teleprompters.

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If Americans are this dumb, the country is fricked regardless of who wins

You’re mistaken. However, after 2020,
I complexly gave up on the GOP. I don’t recognize it anymore. It’s not the part of Reagan or his predecessors.
I’ll acknowledge that I’ve never been a hardcore doctrinaire right winger. Especially in the so-called Culture War. I’ve always tended centrist, and it gets me into arguments with friends on both ends of the spectrum.

I was talking with an old political operative on the state level this past weekend who was explaining the surge in the Harris campaign. He said a few things that were very interesting about both Harris and Trump:

Trump can solidly rely on about a 43% turnout for him in a general. The other 7-8% is not as reliable due to a number of factors. 1) Trump himself. These folks look at Trump and his spectacles and it gives them pause. These are the solid middle class to upper middle class voters who are educated. They object to Trump as a person moreso than any policy he may advocate. Like it or not, fair or not, even reasonable or logically, the person and his personify do influence. 2) His MAGA supporters.....this could be #1. If they see Trump as a spiteful individual, they see the MAGA brigades, especially the Freedom Caucus types as almost dangerous....guys like Gaetz, Johnson , MTG and others in the House Tom Cotton in the Senate and to a lesser extent Ted Cruz , Hawley and some guy out of Oklahoma who wants to fight people. Sane Republican voters look at them and it gives them pause. They dislike Democrats very much but the MAGA Freedom guys make them stop and rethink their support for the current crop of Republicans.

Harris is not liked. She is not liked by the Democrats or the Power structure of Democrats like Pelosi or Obama or even Schumer. She's not even all that well liked by CA Democrats like Newsom or Schiff. But she knows how to play the game as well as any of them. Newsom in particular does not like her, because she keeps getting rewarded for just being there. However, she does not rub people the wrong way. She's not particularly intellectually bright....but she's smart enough, and for some on the fence the fact that she's not Trump means everything. There is about 12% of the electorate that is just tired of Trump and his never ending soap operas and petty disputes, etc.

My friend us well known as a political operative in Louisiana and he works mostly for Republican candidates. But he also does a lot of polling and analytics.

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You’re on a political board attacking Trump but yet you don’t vote?

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You support a candidate who says democracy is a joke. That there exists a deep state shadow government who has rigged the voting machines and stuffed the ballot boxes and that election outcomes are all predetermined.

And you still vote?

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Kamala may as well just be an AI-generated UN/FedGov candidate .

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Shes a low info gold digger.

I'd trust some rando on the street to lead better than her. She's despised by everyone who comes in touch with her.

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She is out campaigning, talking about issues, being direct with the people

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Imagine actually believing this.

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You’re mistaken. However, after 2020,
I complexly gave up on the GOP. I don’t recognize it anymore

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Tax cuts, border security, addressing crime and boosting energy production are unrecognizable platform issues for the GOP?

Are betting odds based on polls?

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He's left of me, but a much better choice than kamala.

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I live in Louisiana so I don’t have to care. Trump will take this state and I’m neither angry nor thrilled.

I’ll vote in State and Local elections and it’s almost always for the fiscal conservative candidate who I feel will improve my life.