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re: Tornado! Watches for Portions of N. Louisiana and Mississippi

Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:29 pm to
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19443 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

Make plans now

Wtf am I supposed to drive to California for the weekend or something?
This post was edited on 3/5/19 at 9:30 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147977 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

Looks like a big white nutsack draped over the south

mother nature teabagging Dixie
Posted by Jackie Chan
Japan?
Member since Sep 2012
4935 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:32 pm to
Don't like the severe weather, but I prefer it on the weekend. That way my car can be in the garage, and my arse can be in the house.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21668 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:33 pm to
quote:


Wtf am I supposed to drive to California for the weekend or something?


Cali is a no go! They are under attack by lightning tonight

Posted by ezride25
Constitutional Republic
Member since Nov 2008
26800 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:35 pm to
Ever been to the grocery in LA ahead of impending severe weather? Looks like everyone is going to a party. fricking love this state.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147977 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

Cali is a no go! They are under attack by lightning tonight

they've just been getting hammered by rainmaker after rainmaker after rainmaker
Posted by Flavius Belisarius
Member since Feb 2016
990 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 9:58 pm to
rds dc

This post was edited on 3/5/19 at 9:59 pm
Posted by AA77
Member since Jan 2016
3870 posts
Posted on 3/5/19 at 10:02 pm to
I hope they don’t cancel the catalina wine mixer.
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82754 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 9:05 am to
What's the latest
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38222 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 9:38 am to
well so far the "experts" have changed their forecasts daily. Nice of you to try and get everyone wound up, but its still 3 days away and I'm confident nothing will be the same Saturday as it is today.
Posted by Mudminnow
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2004
34216 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 9:43 am to
Thanks for the heads up. Hope all the Baws in Louisiana and Houston stay safe
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51941 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 10:29 am to
Severe weather outlook for Saturday. 15% chance of severe weather within 25 miles of a given point. Tomorrow we will be within 3 days so they will actually do the risk categories (moderate, slight, enhanced, etc).

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51941 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Wtf am I supposed to drive to California for the weekend or something?

No, but you can know where you’re going to be, have a plan for seeking shelter should you go under a tornado warning, and have a way to get warnings.
Posted by Ghost Hog
Earth
Member since May 2015
495 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 10:59 am to
That severe risk bubble includes areas in 13 states.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88410 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 11:02 am to
quote:

You can still put the sticker on your car.
Half stickers are gay. 140.6 or nothing.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43522 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 11:07 am to
RDS the new GFS isnt really showing anything severe, what am I needing to look at??
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19443 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 9:42 pm to
Just saw video from L.A. last night. Yikes that offshore lightning was crazy.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
60075 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 9:46 pm to
why is new orleans where baton rouge should be on that map?


is the weather gonna blow it away?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66984 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 9:49 pm to
Just do take note that the EF4 that popped up in South East Alabama this past Sunday was not fully predicted in that strength until a few hours before it hit.
Not saying this or any future forecast a few days out will underestimate the power of any storm, just saying don't take these lightly.
Have your plan NOW of what to do, where to go.
If you find out a tornado is heading your way, you'll have maybe 20 minutes to do what you need to do.
He'll, it would take me 10 minutes just to get everyone rounded up and back out of the driveway.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102437 posts
Posted on 3/6/19 at 10:30 pm to
From NWS Shreveport forecast discussion earlier today

quote:

Moderate instability (SB CAPE 1500- 2500 J/kg) and strong shear (0-6km bulk shear 50-60 kts) will develop across the area ahead of the front in the warm sector when the best forcing related to the trough crosses the area.

With this in mind, the Storm Prediction Center continues to highlight our entire area with a 15% probability for severe weather in day 4. The biggest limiting factor could be instability that becomes limited due to more widespread convective development with this system upstream. We will need to continue to monitor this closely, as unlike the severe systems on March 3rd and February 22nd, this system appears to cross much of area during peak heating hours on Saturday.


I've only got a very very basic knowledge of exactly what these things mean but that doesn't seem great.
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