rds dc

[quote]Enter a virus that is deadly to old people and leaves most young people unscathed. [/quote] Even in older populations, it isn't deadly enough to control population. Another thought, it's a precursor infection and they will eventually release another virus that is extremely deadly in people...

Looks at those little hooks along the Bama-Georgia line [img]https://i.ibb.co/yy35VFf/CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-EOX-N0-Q-20210619-1757-24-100.gif[/img]...

[quote]quote: Tropical Storm Claudette :rolleyes:[/quote] From the discussion [quote]While the organization is not classical by any means[/quote]...

[img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E4Ob9jPVEAA_tDj?format=jpg&name=medium[/img]...

[img]https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/images/mcd0346.gif[/img] Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0346 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1248 PM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021 Areas affected...southeastern Louisiana and coastal areas of Mississippi Concerning...Heavy rainfall......

[img]https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/Three_ero.gif[/img]...

[quote]This will probably get a name in the Gulf but it's likely going to struggle as the upper level environment looks pretty hostile up through landfall. The exiting trough leaves an upper low over Texas and the system looks to stay tangled up with all of that. [/quote] Really no change but th...

[quote]I’m told that possible named storm status / tropical storm coming later today. Claudette.[/quote] NHC has been trying to will that into existence for a couple of days now :lol:...

06z HWRF, which did really well last season, has this weak and moving over BR tomorrow morning. [img]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hwrf/2021061806/hwrf_ref_03L_9.png[/img] HMON is weaker and more disorganized. [img]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hmon/2021...

[quote]We looking at any kind of a wind field? Wondering because the D becomes an S for about a day.[/quote] Potential Tropical Cyclone Three Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021 400 PM CDT Thu Jun 17 2021 Visible satellite images show that the cloud pa...

[img]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT03/refresh/AL032021_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/203516_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png[/img]...

[quote] Why are the spaghetti models so different from the operational models right now? No defined center? The TVCN has this thing going almost to Brownsville[/quote] I don't really look at them but some ensemble trackers are picking up on a vort in the BOC that tracks inland and towards the P...

Not much change in thinking with models showing 4-6"+ of rain for areas eaat of the "track" [img]https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/eromap/cwamaps/LIX_Day2.png[/img] This will probably get a name in the Gulf but it's likely going to struggle as the upper level environment looks pretty hos...

Models in pretty good agreement on a late season cool front. [img]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2021061612/gfs_T850a_us_28.png[/img] Also, not much change in thinking on 92L with a sloppy system coming north with rainfall displaced off to the east of the track. ...

Models so far today are trending a bit farther west & slower. The SE ridge is coming in stronger and that is trend that we sometimes see in the models. ...

[quote]That 7” contour runs from south-central Louisiana to NW Florida with a 10” peak![/quote] While these are certainly high totals they are not what we typically associate with devastating flood potential. As far back as a few weeks ago, this time frame was highlighted as having potential majo...

[quote]12z GFS[/quote] Relatively quick hitter as models are starting to pickup on some northern stream s/w that can pull the system out. ...

[quote]I read your post like it was new information.[/quote] My response to you was sarcasm. It's technically been 92L since 18z on Saturday, that may have been posted but I didn't scroll through the thread to check. ...

[quote]I thought it had been 92L?[/quote] It's always been 92L. ...

The area in the Gulf is now 92L. [img]https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/92L_tracks_latest.png[/img] ...