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Favorite team: | New Mexico |
Location: | |
Biography: | |
Interests: | |
Occupation: | |
Number of Posts: | 20286 |
Registered on: | 6/19/2008 |
Online Status: | Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Think About the Week Kamala Just Had
Posted by rds dc on 10/19/24 at 1:11 pm
[embed]https://x.com/HayekAndKeynes/status/1847629073016664213[/embed]...
re: MSNBC- Men are in crisis and need therapy
Posted by rds dc on 10/19/24 at 10:46 am
Odd, they attack Rogan at this point? I mean, what could he be about to do? ...
re: Nevada Poll: Trump +2
Posted by rds dc on 10/19/24 at 9:38 am
[img]https://i.ibb.co/9W4nYPt/1019.png[/img]...
re: Democrats now think the polls are fake
Posted by rds dc on 10/18/24 at 7:47 pm
Nate Solid Gold already debunked this claim by running his model without the supposedly trash R polls :lol:...
re: Et tu FiveThirtyEight?
Posted by rds dc on 10/18/24 at 4:29 pm
Wow, the current 538 model is trash compared to when Nate ran the show. Things must be really bad for Trump to take the lead in the current clown show version of 538. ...
re: What happened to the Jack smith “October surprise” that was set to come this morning ?
Posted by rds dc on 10/18/24 at 1:40 pm
It's been released, but nobody cares
[img]https://y.yarn.co/7b8fa996-2dde-483a-b172-8bf66ffabb00_text.gif[/img]...
re: Nate Silver admits polling movement is real & not “statistical noise” + Model Update
Posted by rds dc on 10/18/24 at 12:29 pm
[quote]
It took Nate Bronze 2 weeks to see what everyone else saw. But he is the expert [/quote]
It was comical last week when he tried to argue that there was no momentum toward Trump in the polls and his model. ...
re: CBS Arizona poll: Trump +3
Posted by rds dc on 10/17/24 at 4:18 pm
What was their last AZ poll?...
re: Trump has taken the lead in Nate Silver's model!
Posted by rds dc on 10/17/24 at 12:58 pm
A couple of favorable polls released today out of Michigan should give Trump another bump in this model tomorrow. ...
This is Why I can't Vote Trump - He has been Running for Office
Posted by rds dc on 10/16/24 at 9:06 pm
I'm glad the record has been set straight.
[embed]https://x.com/redsteeze/status/1846719322892141044[/embed]...
re: Frank Luntz: "Prepare your viewers that we won't know results for DAYS"
Posted by rds dc on 10/14/24 at 10:17 am
Unpopular take, election will be called before midnight. ...
re: Georgia Poll: Trump +3
Posted by rds dc on 10/14/24 at 8:58 am
GA, NC, & AZ looking good for Trump. The VPs path to 270 getting more complicated. ...
re: NBC National Poll
Posted by rds dc on 10/13/24 at 9:18 am
ABC and CBS also released polls today. The avg 2-way race change across the 3 polls - Trump +2 & Harris -1.3. ...
The Hill Election Model Might Need an Update
Posted by rds dc on 10/12/24 at 9:40 am
If they don't tweak this model soon, Trump is likely to flip it within the next week.
[img]https://i.postimg.cc/Vvjw62p0/Flip.png[/img]
[link=(https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/)]LINK[/link]...
re: Michigan Poll: Insider Advantage
Posted by rds dc on 10/10/24 at 5:24 pm
What is the change since their last poll? ...
re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted by rds dc on 10/8/24 at 4:38 pm
[quote]I thought this window might have a higher ceiling than yesterday.[/quote]
Yeah, it still hasn't hit the warmest SSTs yet. On sat, the northern outflow channel is really starting to rip. The only thing that would stop it is another ERC. ...
re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted by rds dc on 10/8/24 at 4:34 pm
[quote]
It's close to its strongest point yesterday at 897. Thinking it'll go past that now.[/quote]
Good timing by recon today. They may have missed the lowest pressure yesterday by an hour or two. ...
re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted by rds dc on 10/8/24 at 4:33 pm
[quote]Recon found extrapolated pressure of 902[/quote]
NHC went with 905. This means the 12z hurricane models were anywhere from 15-20mb too high for a 9 hr forecast! Crazy RI again. ...
re: WSJ: Dems internal polls shows Trump up 3
Posted by rds dc on 10/8/24 at 8:06 am
Who is this dude? Only has 40k followers, but is now all over the Poli board b/c he has a constant stream of positive Trump news. ...
re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted by rds dc on 10/7/24 at 9:53 pm
[quote]Question for you hurricane smart folk. Does a tropical system weaken over land only when its actual eye is over land or when any of its ‘core’ is over land? i.e. does this brush with Mexico even affect it intensity wise? Sorry if already discussed but I’m not reading 105 pages[/quote]
The ...
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