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re: Tornado! - Bassfield, MS rated EF-4 w/ 63 Mile Track, Peak Winds 170 mph

Posted on 4/11/20 at 10:54 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21539 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 10:54 pm to
Supposedly from the Del Rio storm

Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
19013 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 10:56 pm to
Good grief.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 10:57 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21539 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

Christ...that is ridiculous!


We had hail up this way a few years ago that punched holes in house roofs! I didn't even think that was possible.
Posted by tigercraig
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
3823 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 11:04 pm to
quote:

We had hail up this way a few years ago that punched holes in house roofs


Saw that in OKC around 2011-2012

Hail went through the shingles, through the plywood, and landed in people’s living rooms
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33509 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 11:11 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 11:53 pm to
When hail is exceptionally large, what percentage of the hail that is falling at that moment and place is those giant pieces?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21539 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 12:30 am to
High Risk or does SPC wait for the morning update?
Posted by Zappas Stache
Utility Muffin Research Kitchen
Member since Apr 2009
43145 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 12:38 am to
quote:


We had hail up this way a few years ago that punched holes in house roofs! I didn't even think that was possible.





I watched softball sized hail literally bounce 6' off my concrete driveway a few years ago.
Posted by ElOsoBlanco7
225
Member since Feb 2019
472 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 12:39 am to
quote:

High Risk or does SPC wait for the morning update?


My money is on them waiting until the morning. It'll give them a little more time to see what's happening in Texas/Oklahoma.
Posted by ElOsoBlanco7
225
Member since Feb 2019
472 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 12:54 am to
The 04z HRRR run is looking pretty grim. The soundings behind that string of supercells is still showing PDS readings too, so that would suggest multiple rounds. Really hoping this is an outlier.


Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15751 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 1:02 am to
quote:

Off the chart or close to it...


The largest officially recognized hailstone on record to have been ‘captured’ in the U.S. near Vivian, South Dakota on July 23rd, 2010. It measured 8.0” in diameter, 18 ½” in circumference, and weighed in at 1.9375 pounds.

Mr. Lee Scott, who collected, the monster stone originally planned to make daiquiris out of the hailstone but fortunately thought better and placed it in a freezer before turning it over to the National Weather Service for certification.

Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24012 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 1:08 am to
quote:

The 04z HRRR run is looking pretty grim.

Oh, I love the spring! It's better here in East Texas than it was in Oklahoma where I came from. I learned to recognize tornado paths through the countryside in Oklahoma. Since I've been back in Texas I've seen five tornado paths here in east Texas. Two for the unlucky souls who live in Alto, Texas.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 1:14 am to
Didn't pull trigger on high

Hail Probs
Wind Probs
Tornado Probs
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15761 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 2:13 am to
can someone explain the sig severe area and how it differs from the percent areas? why does the sig severe extend between 2 different percent areas?
Posted by ElOsoBlanco7
225
Member since Feb 2019
472 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 2:21 am to
quote:

can someone explain the sig severe area and how it differs from the percent areas? why does the sig severe extend between 2 different percent areas?

The probabilities remain the same, but there’s a chance in the hatched area for EF2+ tornados, 75mph+ winds or 2in+ diameter hail. Not to say those wouldn’t happen in the unhatched areas, but the ingredients line up better if those storms were to form there.
Posted by BregmansWheelbarrow
Member since Mar 2020
3267 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 2:38 am to
It’s crazy we’re on a tornado probability chart for a singular event that includes West Virginia, Virginia and Ohio.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43450 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 5:00 am to
Whelp looks like those models weren’t wrong
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64517 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 5:44 am to
The convection over MS seems sort of messy? But there are definitely breaks for the sun to shine through so I’m guessing that could be enough to cause problems
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 4/12/20 at 5:51 am to
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