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Message
re: The mystery of skyrocketing home prices has been solved
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:06 pm to SlowFlowPro
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:06 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
I don't disagree, but the premise in OP is based on national data
*ETA: that's possibly a bigger issue with the report's findings than the 20% and 30% figures being "envelope math"
The article is clickbait trash
Nothing close to the data I share here that people fail to grasp and just resort to saying I am cheering for another 2008.
0
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:11 pm to SlowFlowPro
May. There were 675k repatriations/deportations under Trump in 2025. In 2023, Biden deported/repatriated over a million (1.09 million).
Two things are significant with those numbers. One, democrats did not care when Biden was deporting, but when Trump deported it was an ethical travesty. Two, Trump’s not even deporting at the same rate as Biden did; notwithstanding promises of massive increase in deportations. In other words, Democrats and Republicans are hypocrites and liars. Who knew?!?
But, you cannot possibly believe the government would be able to release housing data in realtime or even with a one year delay.
This post was edited on 7/5/26 at 8:14 pm
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:15 pm to go ta hell ole miss
quote:
Biden deported/repatriated over a million (
This has been proven false time and time again
They were counting the times they turned people away at the border as deportations.
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:17 pm to go ta hell ole miss
quote:
Democrats and Republicans are hypocrites and liars. Who knew?!?
i did... that's why i'm a proud independent
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:17 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
We have had 1.5 years of mass deportations, detentions, and self-deportations. Have we seen a correlative drop in housing prices?
And another predictable comment from our house contrarian…
What a loser.
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:19 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
SlowFlowPro
Is this what they call “crashing out”
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:20 pm to Darth_Vader
Doesn't explain the skyrocketing prices in Ireland and the UK. As well as other places in the world...
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:20 pm to Gifman
quote:
Is this what they call “crashing out”
Crashing out? What?
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:22 pm to Marco Esquandolas
quote:
And another predictable comment from our house contrarian…
If a NYP article dishonestly reporting questionable findings in a Fed report doesn't deserve correction, what does?
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:27 pm to Darth_Vader
No mention of billionaires (eg, Jeff Bezos) diversifying their portfolios into real estate these last 5 years?
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:30 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
I'd love to see what the other 70% of the increase was.
Fake covid BS
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:32 pm to SlowFlowPro
BTW, credit tightening has begun. This is the real snowball at the top of the mountain.
Pimco Warns Investors ‘Credit Loss Cycle Is Upon Us
Pimco Warns Investors ‘Credit Loss Cycle Is Upon Us
quote:
Global investment management firm Pimco said it is warning fixed-income investors to stay away from lower-quality credit, but it sees plenty of opportunities in high-quality assets.
Newport Beach, California-based PIMCO (Pacific Investment Management Co.) manages over $2.27 trillion in assets across public and private markets for central banks, pension funds, corporations, and individual investors.
The global asset manager said in its 2026 outlook that the “credit loss cycle is upon us.”
“After years of effortless returns, the default cycle is reasserting itself, and we expect significantly higher losses in lower-quality credit such as leveraged and private direct lending,” said the report, authored by Global Economic Advisor Richard Clarida, Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income Andrew Balls and Chief Investment Officer Dan Ivascyn.
“We view this as the beginning of a secular trend where quality and credit selection will matter more than ever,” Pimco said.
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:46 pm to Dr RC
quote:
all the fricking housing and rental properties were being bought up en masse giant arse private equity funded companies
What percentage of the market do you think they own?
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:53 pm to Barneyrb
Google’s pretty easy.
2021~$1,580/month+14.5%Beginning of post-pandemic housing surge.
2022~$1,980/month+25.3%Rents peaked mid-year at all-time highs.
2023~$2,010/month+1.5%Growth cooled significantly as new supply entered the market.
2024~$1,950/month-3.0%Prices softened, offering minor relief for renters.
2025~$1900/month -2.5% prices softened
2021~$1,580/month+14.5%Beginning of post-pandemic housing surge.
2022~$1,980/month+25.3%Rents peaked mid-year at all-time highs.
2023~$2,010/month+1.5%Growth cooled significantly as new supply entered the market.
2024~$1,950/month-3.0%Prices softened, offering minor relief for renters.
2025~$1900/month -2.5% prices softened
This post was edited on 7/5/26 at 8:57 pm
Posted on 7/5/26 at 8:58 pm to Darth_Vader
Good article. Thanks for sharing.
Posted on 7/5/26 at 9:14 pm to YNWA
quote:
Doesn't explain the skyrocketing prices in Ireland and the UK. As well as other places in the world..
You mean the places currently under middle eastern invasion?
Geez what could possibly be increasing housing demand there I wonder?
Posted on 7/5/26 at 9:19 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
We have had 1.5 years of mass deportations
SFP, the libertarian, has previously criticized the deportation effort on this site by saying that we shouldnt be putting as much deportation effort into blue areas. now he is trying to convince people that deportations in 1.5 years quantitatively cancel the 10s of millions of illegals allowed ‘21-‘25.
Edit:
Exactly why (ICE) should focus (deportation enforcement) on cooperative red areas
This post was edited on 7/5/26 at 9:28 pm
Posted on 7/5/26 at 9:32 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
We've had about 2.5M either be deported or self-deport since Jan 2025.
we're assuming 30M illegals (which is on the high end), that means 8.3% are gone.
Have we seen a correlative decrease in housing prices since January 2025?
Why would housing come down 8% if 8% of new illegals are gone? (Making some leaps with these numbers, but we will go with them for the sake of argument)
30mm is 8% of the population.
2.5mm is less than 1% of the population.
This post was edited on 7/5/26 at 9:35 pm
Posted on 7/5/26 at 9:34 pm to Darth_Vader
Darth citing an article with multiple spelling and grammatical errors and not knowing how to properly use a money sign as definitive authority is so on brand 
Posted on 7/5/26 at 9:42 pm to CPA Yung Boi
Yall should be ashamed picking on a retard
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