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Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:22 am to shaquilleoatmeal
For those thinking of leaving, I just checked the Hilton and IHG (Holiday Inn) websites. Monroe, Alexandria, and I-10 until Houston are pretty much sold out. I-10 heading east and I-59 north similar to at least Alabama. Jackson has a lot of availability at the moment, but I'd have her make a reservation soon after leaving if you bug out soon.
My biggest concern would be finding an open gas station, but Jackson is probably the best bet for that. Checking the maps all day, it didn't seem like near as many people heading that way.
And it seems the trip time estimates on Google Maps are crap if there is heavy traffic over a long distance. Seems like it kept factoring in congestion would disappear by the time you got to current sections an hour or more away. You could see red all along a route, but the further stuff would disappear once you did a route estimate.
Man, if I were leaving, I'd skip the sleep and leave in the next hour or two. Really worried about what may happen tomorrow if too many wait then flee at the last minute.
Good luck to all.
My biggest concern would be finding an open gas station, but Jackson is probably the best bet for that. Checking the maps all day, it didn't seem like near as many people heading that way.
And it seems the trip time estimates on Google Maps are crap if there is heavy traffic over a long distance. Seems like it kept factoring in congestion would disappear by the time you got to current sections an hour or more away. You could see red all along a route, but the further stuff would disappear once you did a route estimate.
Man, if I were leaving, I'd skip the sleep and leave in the next hour or two. Really worried about what may happen tomorrow if too many wait then flee at the last minute.
Good luck to all.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:22 am to Nguyener
Current recon data. They haven’t even got to the strongest NE quad yet. Impressive wind field probably 130+ miles from center from tropical force winds
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:23 am to Tex Longhorn
This bitch has got a mean southeast quadrant
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:23 am to Tigerbait357
I want to see the winds to the Northeast.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:23 am to tunechi
quote:
Goodnight from Washington parish fellas. See y’all on the other side
Hopefully it’s not that bad for us tomorrow night, especially on the Western side of the parish but I’m more concerned now than I was 24 hours ago.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:23 am to Tigerbait357
quote:
That is pretty rapid intensification
Not even in the NE eyewall yet,. she is even stronger than that.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:23 am to RockChalkTiger
quote:
pressure may be a better indicator of damage
Makes sense. A low pressure is either super intense or has a gigantic wind field. Katrina and Ike are great examples.
Gonna bookmark that study for later.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:23 am to otowntiger
On that first pass, the wind field for a wind speeds above 64kt was 116 nautical miles wide (might have been wider but the plane turned to make a NE to SW pass)
NHC Distance Calculator
NHC Distance Calculator
This post was edited on 8/29/21 at 12:26 am
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:24 am to RummelTiger
quote:
Yeah...
But, they didn't have recon plane data. Now they do.
True, not knocking them but that 10:00 pm report is huge.
Not everyone tracks these things like those here do.
They get the news and go to bed. Many got the wrong impression.
These reports need to be right. Unfortunately thus one probably was not.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:24 am to Tex Longhorn
I had one booked in Jackson but I canceled that one. It was the Hilton in downtown. I guess nobody wants to go to Jackson and who would blame them. 
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:24 am to otowntiger
quote:
The eye is definitely tracking south or west of the forecast track now. Been like that for a few frames so I’m wondering if it’s going to be a trend or not.
This was what I thought, and I believed it would be worse for Louisiana. I thought it would make landfall between Lake Charles and Lafayette. I know they are inland, but I thought that would be the coastal marks. Now I believe it’s Lafayette down to the coast
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:24 am to BigBro
How do those recon charts and stuff work? With the little flags in them?
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:25 am to doubleb
quote:
True, not knocking them but that 10:00 pm report is huge.
Not everyone tracks these things like those here do.
They get the news and go to bed. Many got the wrong impression
I wholly agree.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:25 am to doubleb
quote:
These reports need to be right. Unfortunately thus one probably was not.
You're right. What sucks is that this was an avoidable issue. It isn't on the NHC, though. They used the best info they had.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:25 am to Duke
quote:
I know you know, because you made the post.
We're just at the point Im going to be correcting basic points for the lukers.
I actually didn’t make the original post about the 3 per hour.. but I understand your point.
The reality is this: This storm is going to be really bad and anyone in the path needs to plan for worst case scenario right now.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:26 am to shaquilleoatmeal
quote:
Can you STFU? Giving people WRONG information is so beyond irresponsible. BR will absolutely be in the thick of it & I would bet this is 10x worse than Gustav.
I’m replying back to the guy talking about reported gusts only being up to 70 MPH gusts in BR. I’m sorry if the facts and current predictions bother you, but it’s not “wrong information” to say it’s likely to be less destructive than Gustav with 20 MPH less high gusts.
Calm yourself.
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:26 am to busbeepbeep
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/18/21 at 9:33 am
Posted on 8/29/21 at 12:27 am to jlovel7
quote:
How do those recon charts and stuff work? With the little flags in them?
How to read wind barbs
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