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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 1, 2020 Update: 60,178 cases - 3,130 deaths - 752,088 tested

Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:14 pm to
Posted by lsuhunt555
Teakwood Village Breh
Member since Nov 2008
38416 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:14 pm to

Get back in line Sheep
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
20254 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:14 pm to
Look forward to tailgating again in 2021
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29316 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

because increase in cases lead to increases in Deaths and Hospitalizations


This latest spike absolutely didn't have that effect on deaths or hospitalizations.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

cases started increasing 18 days ago

Where is the death spike? It ain’t happening anywhere, hoss



Deaths probably lag farther than that
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 12:15 pm
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2475 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

10-14 days AFTER this spike in cases -- when people actually start dying?


We are 10-14 days since the spike. The state reports cases on average 7-10 days after collection. Deaths are in about 3 days after death.
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 12:20 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95925 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Deaths probably lag farther than that

Show me

Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126965 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Monday dump spread out to two days
That happens to me almost every time I eat red beans and rice...
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43305 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:16 pm to
Yes it's looking more and more like we're just catching the majority of infected now, and we are potentially seeing a bit of an increase in spread (%positive creep) but not terribly fast. I think the numbers right now point to an incredible spread in the first round that hit the majority of the most vulnerable already, and a resurgence now may not mean much more than a bad cold for most people, unless immunity is non-existent (unlikely) or short. I really hope we can get more data on immunity soon .. it's astounding how little we know about that yet.

I don't like seeing hospitalizations increase on a personal level but thinking of it as a population metric, our hospitals are still in really good shape.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
23828 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

because increase in cases lead to increases in Deaths and Hospitalizations....any more questions?


Not necessarily.
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
4315 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:17 pm to
Phase 3 fricked
Posted by Bonkers119
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2015
10198 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:17 pm to
I'd be impressed if you could actually learn how to refute an argument, rather than just post one liners. That's probably harder for you though, since you have such limited brain capacity.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29316 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Deaths probably lag farther than that


Probably so....it could lag 2, 3, 4, etc years or however long it takes for the Rona to kill somebody of a car accident.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95925 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

I'd be impressed if you could actually learn how to refute an argument, rather than just post one liners. That's probably harder for you though, since you have such limited brain capacity.

Keep ignoring me
Posted by Brummy
Central, LA
Member since Oct 2009
4513 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Positive percentage still at 8.8%


7.4% over the past 7 days
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37582 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:19 pm to
Why do you ignore the 4 posters actually refuting you but address the one guy calling you names?
Posted by 610man
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
7359 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:19 pm to
Y'all can say what you want, we are fricked. No matter what is said here, the message will be different to the general public. We are fricked, I fully expect more restrictions and starting to look less and less likely for fall sports. I do not agree with either, but we all know, that all negative aspects of this will get spewed out, nothing positive
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95925 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:19 pm to
quote:


7.4% over the past 7 days

Like I thought. No real spike here
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
15613 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:21 pm to
8% positive rate. Antibody rate gotta be approaching 15+%
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
116321 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:22 pm to
I just went and looked at the death and new case charts in Az And FL. Not much correlation in recent months especially in Florida.

The thing is we are testing more people now that have mild or no symptoms, we are protecting nursing homes, and we know how to treat this more effectively.

A spike in cases just doesn’t matter if people aren’t being hospitalized or dying.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6589 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

Umm, look at the chart. Where was that “lag” and gap with the first spike?


sorry, I treated the case line as New Cases instead of a rolling average

JBE sucks.
Carry on.
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