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Started By
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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 1, 2020 Update: 60,178 cases - 3,130 deaths - 752,088 tested
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:41 pm to Bonkers119
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:41 pm to Bonkers119
Yeah except what you just typed there about deaths is not true. Perhaps you should actually look at the numbers before you open your mouth and just spread more hysteria. More testing, younger people getting tested, and elderly people taking better precautions to protect themselves are just a few of the reasons why we will not see the spike in deaths we saw at the beginning.
1
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:42 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Show me
when did we first start testing?
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:44 pm to geaux1976
Number of cases is driving the hysteria, I fully expect more restrictions to be put in place. No matter what is most important or not, case number is all that is fueling anyones fire. Today at 2:30 will be interesting, we are fricked
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:44 pm to TigersSEC2010
3,326 cases and 55,977 tests the last 3 days puts you @ 5.9% positive rate. Not bad.
The number of tests the last 3 days is staggering.
ETA: just for perspective, there have been roughly the same amount of test in the last 3 days as there were in the first 4 weeks of all of this.
The number of tests the last 3 days is staggering.
ETA: just for perspective, there have been roughly the same amount of test in the last 3 days as there were in the first 4 weeks of all of this.
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 12:48 pm
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:47 pm to Mattgobear
quote:
What's the percentage that goes back to June 13th?
247,705 tests
13,895 new cases
5.6%
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:48 pm to burdman
quote:
The number of tests the last 3 days is staggering.
Wasn't JBE worried about only having 250k before he would move to phase 1?
At this pace we are over 500k a month.
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:48 pm to Weekend Warrior79
quote:
247,705 tests
13,895 new cases
5.6%
Now take out all the duplicates.
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:49 pm to Weekend Warrior79
quote:We are kicking covids arse in LA, but JBE and his media pimps will lie lie lie
247,705 tests
13,895 new cases
5.6%
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:49 pm to TBoy
quote:
Region 4 is looking at their surge plan again in the event that the hospitalization numbers keep rising, but there is no plan to put it in effect at this time. Just heard this mentioned this morning. But like I said, they do not see it as needed right now. Just keeping everything current as they are required to do.
It’s always good to be prepared for the worst. Let’s just not make everyone live like the worst is currently occurring
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:49 pm to burdman
Do you expect JBE to say this? Do you expect the news to put this out there in this perspective ?
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:52 pm to 610man
quote:
Today at 2:30 will be interesting, we are fricked
Someone says something like this every day. This isn’t helpful either.
Louisiana has moved conservatively and predictably throughout this thing, and has kept pretty close to the federal guidelines. The orders have stated time periods and, on the state level, they have not jumped out and changed course unexpectedly between orders. You should not expect any surprises today.
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:53 pm to 610man
No. But just remember in that same time frame (the first 4 weeks) there were over 12K positives. Same amount of tests the last 3 days and we're only at 3,300 positives. That's encouraging, to me at least.
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:56 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Umm, look at the chart. Where was that “lag” and gap with the first spike?
You realize that deaths are true number while known infections are only as good as the number of tests.
There is absolutely no doubt that more infections will result in more deaths. It isn't a debatable statement.
Whether it results in an unmanageable amount is a different story.
Even with one of the most conservative IFRs of .03 you will still see more deaths with more infections.
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 12:58 pm
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:57 pm to TBoy
Look I have been as positive about this as I can and dismissing the news and others when they push negative narratives and don't focus on the real issues. But I just think the case count is driving the negatives and the hysteria.
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:00 pm to fightin tigers
quote:You are simply assuming there are truly more infections right now. Thats impossible to compare considering we are testing 20x more than we were before
You realize that deaths are true number while known infections are only as good as the number of tests.
There is absolutely no doubt that more infections will result in more deaths. It isn't a debatable statement.
Whether it results in an unmanageable amount is a different story.
Even with one of the most conservative IFRs of .03 you will still see more deaths with more infections.
And more importantly, you are assuming all infections are the same
70 year old infections arent the same as 20 year old infections
The first wave, was majority spread in long term care facility. Now, 50% of cases caught are those under 29 years old
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 1:01 pm
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:03 pm to lsupride87
All of that said, more infections will result in more deaths.
Doesn't mean it is unmanageable though.
Doesn't mean it is unmanageable though.
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 1:04 pm
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:05 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
of that said, more infections will result in more deaths.
How many of those deaths are actually a result of COVID?
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:05 pm to 610man
quote:
But I just think the case count is driving the negatives and the hysteria.
I absolutely agree with this, especially on the national level. We are In a mass testing phase which is yielding great data about the virus and how it spreads, but that doesn’t mean the seriousness of the public health emergency is worse. In fact, at least in Louisiana, the outbreak is being well managed. Fortunately Louisiana hasn’t just looked to raw test numbers in setting statewide policy.
But as for the assertion that raw positive test numbers is the measure of the effectiveness of the response, that is intellectually dishonest or uninformed.
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:06 pm to fightin tigers
quote:Not necessarily
All of that said, more infections will result in more deaths.
Let keep it very simple, i think you need it
4/1/20 = 100 current infections with average age of 75
6/1/20= 300 current infections with average age of 30
More infections, less deaths
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 1:06 pm
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:06 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
How many of those deaths are actually a result of COVID?
Probably fewer than reported.
How many deaths were missed before the first was declared?
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