re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Actually at Yalta in early Feb. of 1945 Roosevelt, Stalin and Churchill agreed to the partitioning of Germany and the fate of Eastern Europe. The armies didn’t set the borders, the politicians did.
There was a race to get the best scientists.

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There was no agreement on the "fate" of Eastern Europe in the way you imply. Also, Germany was divided into occupation zones to be administered by U.S., British, French, and Soviet forces, not with the intent to partition the nation. The understanding with Stalin was that there would be free elections held as soon as possible in the liberated countries to choose governments responsive to will of the people.

The Soviets would not allow free elections in the countries they occupied in Eastern Europe. They suppressed any non-communist parties and ensured they would all have communist governments that would be subservient to the Soviet Union.
The Poles especially got screwed considering they had already had a government in exile for the entire war waiting and continuing the fight from London.

Despite Stalin breaking his word, nobody in the Western democracies was prepared to escalate matters into setting off WW III.

The Russian playbook is still to lie, then lie some more to get an advantage, and then break your agreements and still do what you want.
Surprised that anyone familiar with the history of the last 100 years would still give credence to anything coming out of Moscow.

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Surprised that anyone familiar with the history of the last 100 years would still give credence to anything coming out of Moscow.

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But they are fighting globalism...

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There was no agreement on the "fate" of Eastern Europe in the way you imply.

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Yes, it was a poor choice of words. There was an agreement on what would happen in Eastern Europe that the west wasn’t prepared to enforce. Sort of like our treaty that ended the Vietnam war and the Versailles Treaty.

My point was the politicians settled things and not the armies.

And anyone that believes Russia is truthful or won’t hesitate to take advantage of every situation to increase their powers is crazy.

From ISW today...the part about Kherson, to me, makes it seem like Russia knows they don't have a solid hold there and the population won't play along

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Russian authorities are likely setting conditions to integrate occupied Ukrainian territories directly into Russia, as opposed to creating proxy “People’s Republics.” The Kherson occupation Deputy Chairman of Military Civil Administration Kirill Stremousov stated on May 9 that the Kherson region intends to become part of Russia and that Kherson authorities do not intend to hold a referendum to create an independent republic.[9] Spokesperson for the Ukrainian Defense Ministry Oleksandr Motuzyanyk reported that Russian occupation authorities are intensifying reconnaissance measures and increasing checkpoints and patrols in occupied areas in order to prepare to integrate these regions directly into Russia.[10] Motuzyanyk noted that Russian and Crimean groups have been arriving to occupied regions to intensify propaganda measures to prepare for integration. ISW will publish our assessment of the Kremlin’s most likely course of actions towards their occupied territories in Ukraine in the coming days.
Key Takeaways

Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances to the southeast or southwest of Izyum on May 9 but are likely attempting to concentrate the forces necessary to resume offensive operations in the coming days.

Russian forces made marginal gains around Severodonetsk in the past 24 hours.

Russian forces are likely continuing to amass troops in Belgorod Oblast to stop Ukrainian counterattacks around Kharkiv City from reaching the Ukrainian-Russian border.

Russian units in Zaporizhia Oblast are regrouping and will likely receive reinforcements from forces previously deployed in Mariupol.

The Kremlin continues to face severe force mobilization challenges, and ongoing “covert mobilization” efforts are unlikely to generate substantial combat power.

Russian authorities are likely setting conditions to integrate occupied Ukrainian territories directly into Russia, as opposed to creating proxy “People’s Republics.”

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Which in itself is a method of Russian propaganda seeing how it was a literal race to Berlin from both sides not wanting the other there first to establish control and to hide the atrocities of the red army east of Berlin.

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We divided Europe at Yalta.

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Lenin’s communism never took root in Russia. Instead, totaliarianism became the norm. It exists to this day. Putin and the Oligarchs have done to Russia and its military exactly what all the Russian dictators did over the 20th century, plunder.

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I think the structure of the Russian government is effectively the same, from the Tsarist period, to the Soviet era, to now. What changed were the people in charge.

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Russia is making gains everywhere on the frontlines in Southeast Ukraine.

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Da. If Russia can keep up it's steady progress then it should be able to encircle and Sloviansk in another 3 weeks. Then another 4 weeks to link up with the troops advancing from Popasna. Do not lose faith comrade we will encircle the fascists Ukrainians yet. There is no way that the force of Mother Russia can be slowed down. 7 weeks is a short time and there is no way the fascists will be able to react to our advances. The only way the corrupt Ukrainian fascist forces will be able to stop our advance is if they are able to listen in on our communications and be provided live satellite intel from the west or have multiple TB2s monitoring the front.

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barring a turn of events.

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It would take counterattack north of the 2nd largest city in Ukraine and have pushed Russian forces 48 kms in less than a week which is almost as far as the mighty Russian army has advanced over the last month! The arrival of western artillery and advanced equipment like suicide drones might make such a turn of events possible, but rest assured comrade. The ultra-precise Russian missiles and the mighty Russian air force have destroyed the road and rail connections between NATO and Ukraine. Plus the grand chess master Putin has intimidated the West and they might promise to weapons to Ukraine but they will never deliver them. The honor and glory of Mother Russia will be restored. Keep faith comrades, the downfall of the liberal globalist order is coming. Soon the corrupt west will falter and Russia will overcome NATO. When that happens the three barred cross will be raised over the Hagia Sophie in Constantinople and Moscow will finally take its rightful place as the third Rome and Orthodoxy, Autocracy, and Nationality will rule the world!

When Ukraine pushes Russia back to the border north of Kharkiv, Belgorod will be in artillery range. Belgorod is the Russians' primary staging, supply, and refitting area. It is within range of the Excalibur, M549 rounds, and the Switchblade drones.

Agree with all this and will add that while Ukraine's resupply will be with NATO upgrades, Russia's resupply will be with their older, inferior equipment (they had their best stuff in the initial invasion force). They're blowing up bridges on their way back to the Russian border around Kharkiv, which doesn't say much for their intentions of coming back to the area.

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Just kidding. They problem with, Stidham’s and LW’s points is that Russia is advancing too slowly. Russia had a limited window to exploit it's technical superiority over Ukraine.

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Advancing too slowly? Haha OK internet general.

When they’ve got Sloviansk encircled what will it matter how long it took? Their strategy to focus on the southeast portion of the country appears to be working.