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lostinbr
| Favorite team: | LSU |
| Location: | Baton Rouge, LA |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 12727 |
| Registered on: | 10/15/2017 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
quote:
Because the alternative is that China wins the AI race and we all speak Chinese. That’s if we’re incredibly lucky that is.
It’s more likely that if China wins the AI race, they just decide to dispose of all of the none Chinese people.
I find it amazing that a couple of Chinese LLM’s and diffusion models can instill this level of doomerism in real people.
quote:
So why again are you so hell bent on stopping the U.S. development of AI?
Holy hyperbole. :lol:
I’m.. not? I don’t think regulated utilities with sanctioned monopolies should be able to enter into contracts that are hidden behind NDA’s. Considering the utility makes the same profit on the capital investment regardless of who pays for it, and considering that the tech companies’ incentive is to obtain the cheapest deals possible, I think it creates a major conflict of interest that could be easily negated by simply making the details of the deals public.
I’m not sure how that stance makes me “hell bent on stopping US development of AI.” :dunno:
quote:
Everyone needs to understand that the people and the minds behind all of this are vastly superior to the general public...sorry thats just the truth. This isnt about making a quick buck its again about changing the world.
What artificial intelligence is capable of producing and is going to produce is hard to explain and comprehend for the common folk. This is unfortunately a case of "We know better and we know what's good for you"
:lol:
frick all that.
I’m not generally anti-AI, but this mentality among the tech elites is a problem. Let’s assume, for a moment, that the following opinions spouted by the tech CEO’s and AI leaders are true:
1. That AGI is inevitable.
2. That AGI will completely change the concept of “work” in human society.
3. That this will cause a major economic disruption, necessitating UBI.
4. That it’s a race, and the first lab to create AGI will hold all of the power.
..then what you’re telling me is that it’s a race to create an even more significant tech oligarchy than we already have? A race to concentrate the wealth (and therefore the political power) in the hands of a few? Why the frick should the general public subsidize that race?
Why would we willingly accept higher costs so that Sam Altman, Mark Zuckerberg, and/or Elon Musk can become even richer and give us table scraps in the form of UBI? If anything, they should be subsidizing our electrical costs.
quote:
Delta is a PE firm and bills have sky rocketed.
I posted this in the other thread about gas bills, but there’s a pretty obvious reason why everyone’s gas bill skyrocketed in January-February. This is a three-year chart of natural gas spot prices at the Henry Hub:

quote:
70% of Louisiana’s electrical capacity currently supplies industrial customers. All that has done was give us some of the lowest utility rates in the country. Why do yall think data centers change anything?
Normally the negotiation of electrical rates for industrial customers occurs out in the open. This is necessary because the utility’s return on capital is guaranteed. If they don’t earn that return on the industrial tariff or on the individual PPA’s, then the remainder of the rate-paying public have to make up the difference.
So under normal circumstances, all of the various special interest groups (including consumer advocacy groups who argue on behalf of residential customers) get to go in front of the PUC and argue for why the industrial rates should be higher. This is true for the baseline industrial tariff as well as normal PPA’s, which should be public record and still have to ultimately be approved by the PUC.
The issue with data centers is that they negotiate their PPA’s under NDA. Everyone involved (including Entergy and the PUC members who have to approve it) is under NDA. The details of the contract are kept hidden from the public. So despite the fact that the consumer is on the hook for any costs that don’t get fully covered by the special contract, nobody on the consumer’s side can scrutinize the rates.
That’s the difference with data centers. And it seems pretty obvious that the contracts are favorable to the tech companies; if they weren’t, there would be no reason to hide them under NDA. It shouldn’t be legal for a regulated utility to enter into secret contracts.
There’s also something inherently slimy about selling out the general public for AI. Regardless of whether you believe AI will actually take a ton of jobs away, the tech companies believe it. Why should consumers subsidize data centers to run AI models, when the tech companies building the data centers say we’ll need UBI because of the economic impact of those same AI models?
quote:
So if you were in my shoes and just wanted a budget friendly option with the minimum required specs, what laptop would you get?
Keep in mind I’m just looking for something that will work for now. If I end up really liking it I can always upgrade
Honestly? Not a Mac.
MacBooks are great for music production, don’t get me wrong. But the days of needing a Mac for music production have been over for a decade+ and they aren’t exactly budget machines.
I’m not an expert on laptops at all. It’s been a looong time since I’ve bought one, and my last 2 recording PC’s have been desktops that I built. That being said, I’m seeing HP and Lenovo laptops on Best Buy right now with 512 GB SSDs, 16+ GB RAM, and i7’s in the $400-600 range.
I’ll tell you what I’d prioritize in a Windows laptop for recording:
- 16+ GB RAM
- 256+ GB SSD (512+ is ideal)
- The best CPU you can swing. When you’re talking about a music production PC, it can be worthwhile to prioritize cores over clock speed. It’s kind of the opposite of gaming.
Everything else is kind of lagniappe.
I’m hesitant to make any hard recommendations on specific laptops just because I’m out of the loop on them. But that’s what I’d be looking for, and you should be able to get something well within your price range if you’re willing to go with Windows.
quote:
If there is anywhere to splurge it is your audio interface. However, there are some really good options on a budget. Focusrite and Motu have some incredible options for around $200. These and just about any other interfaces come with at least a very basic recording program with upgrade paths to more professional-level options.
The key is to have the lowest amount of latency possible. If the latency is too high, recording over playback won't sync up right. Any extra RAM will prevent "bogging down". NVME drives will give faster read and write speeds and with a 2nd storage drive, the recording/playback won't have to fight for read/writes on the OS/application drive. Also, if you go with a windows laptop, get a fresh install of the OS or remove any of the bloatware that comes on it.
I’m gonna be a little contrarian here and say latency isn’t that critical. You should never have a situation where recording over playback doesn’t sync correctly - that’s what automatic delay compensation does. The DAW should handle this part.
The place latency makes the biggest difference is monitoring. Specifically if you’re recording through plugins while trying to monitor the plugin output in real time. If you have high latency the issue is that you may notice a delay in your monitors which can throw performance off, but there are ways around this. Many (most?) interfaces nowadays allow some form of direct monitoring so that you get a direct, low-latency feed from your instrument/mic input. You can also print and disable plugin-heavy tracks prior to recording so that you aren’t wasting resources on unnecessary signal processing.
Some other notes:
- I would argue that CPU performance is actually pretty important for recording and mixing. It’s pretty easy to hit a CPU bottleneck when the track count starts creeping up. If the only true VST you’re running is EZ Drummer, I’d prioritize the CPU over RAM. But I’d still ideally want 16 GB RAM just because everything on the system side is so damn memory hungry nowadays.
- GPU doesn’t matter at all.
- People have mentioned using cloud storage for projects, which I agree with, but you don’t want to be working from cloud storage. I also wouldn’t really want to be working from external USB drives if you can help it. 256 GB local storage is probably enough as long as the computer is dedicated to audio. You just might be moving some stuff around between local storage and external/cloud storage to make sure your active project(s) are local. Personally I use a dedicated HDD for projects (backed up to cloud storage) with my OS and software installed on an NVME drive. But that’s a little harder with a laptop.
- Effective monitoring (speakers/headphones) is a whole different rabbit hole. The reality is that, unless you invest the effort into building out a good room, it’s gonna be hard. I’d rather mix on a pair of good headphones than mix on a pair of good studio monitors in a bad room. Either way (headphones or a suboptimal room) makes mixing low-end harder. But it is what it is.
re: Praise the Lort - I-10 Washington Street permanently closed last night
Posted by lostinbr on 2/19/26 at 8:50 pm to jasonbr1975
quote:
Side bar - What is the plan for Dalrymple? Will that exit start further up the road elevated?
Dalrymple exit will start about where the Washington Street exit is now. There will just be frontage roads on both sides of I-10 along that stretch.
One bonus is that you’ll actually be able to go east on I-10 from Dalrymple, although it’s a bit convoluted. You’ll have to take the frontage road back toward the bridge then loop under the interstate. Still better than trying to get over to Perkins, though.
quote:
It’s been amazing to watch over the last several years how many people still cut over 2 lanes of traffic to take that exit despite there being a brand new exit that they can use.
If they’re cutting across 2 lanes of traffic doesn’t that mean they’re coming from 110? Or is there also a brand new exit on the 110 side of the split? I don’t drive on 110 very often so might just not have seen it.
re: A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms - S1 Thread (no book spoilers, please)
Posted by lostinbr on 2/16/26 at 7:54 pm to The Pirate King
quote:
Sounds like you're in the wrong thread then if you want to flaunt your book knowledge
quote:
This is the thread for the people who haven't read the books and aren't douchebags trying to spoil everything.
Why are you getting all high & mighty when you’re the one who brought it up…?
quote:
In fact, people who have read the books say there was more stuff in the battle that was not covered.
:dunno:
re: Parking etiquette
Posted by lostinbr on 2/13/26 at 1:35 pm to Chucktown_Badger
quote:
No it's not. Every time you park you're pulling in forward one time and backward one time. The difference is if you pull in the spot forward you're going to be backing out into a wider and longer area (the row). If you back into the spot, you're backing into a much tighter spot that is also much shorter with lines you need to end up between.
The reason it’s easier (for many people) is that the rear wheels are the vehicle’s pivot point. So the widest arc when turning is going to be at the front bumper.
In larger vehicles, it’s easier to have the widest arc occur on the side that isn’t squeezing between two other cars. The smaller the vehicle, the less it matters. It’s also generally a bit easier to get centered in a spot when you’re backing in because you can see the lines (either on a camera or in the mirrors).
As others have pointed out, I think there’s an argument that the prevalence of backup cameras has probably offset a lot of the safety advantages of back-in parking.
All of that said, I don’t know why anyone really cares which way another adult pulls into parking spots.
quote:
JD power 90 day initial quality is a huge thing in the auto industry and has been for decades.
Right. “Quality” in this context is not the same thing as “reliability.” And it’s not a Ford-specific metric.
It’s basically measuring how happy buyers are with their new car purchase. That’s it.
This is the three year chart of natural gas spot prices at the Henry Hub:
There’s a pretty obvious reason everyone’s gas bills were so high in January.
There’s a pretty obvious reason everyone’s gas bills were so high in January.
re: Anyones Delta gas bill for Feb in Baton Rouge is ridiculously high?
Posted by lostinbr on 2/12/26 at 8:08 pm to LouisianaLady
quote:
Anyone here compare Entergy Jan/Feb 2025 to Delta Jan/Feb 2025 as well?
Just compared mine (Jan-Feb 3025 w/ Entergy vs. Jan-Feb 2026 w/ Delta):
2025 Entergy:
Total usage: 89 Ccf
Total gas bill: $104.90
Customer charge: $10.71
Gas service: $55.33
Gas fuel adjustment (89 Ccf @ $0.4366): $38.86
2026 Delta:
Total usage: 76 Ccf
Total gas bill: $121.55
Customer charge: $10.71
Gas services (76 Ccf @ $0.5144/Ccf): $39.09
Advance metering system surcharge rider: $0.34
Gas infrastructure investment recovery rider: $6.05
Purchase gas adjustment (76 Ccf @ $0.859943/Ccf): $65.36
The “customer charge” is the same on both bills.
Entergy has a “gas service charge” but doesn’t list the other riders. That charge was $55.33 with 89 Ccf of usage, coming out to $0.6217/Ccf.
If I add up the “gas service charge” and the various riders it totals $45.48 with 76 Ccf of usage, coming out to $0.5984/CCf - less than the Entergy service fee even with the riders.
The real difference is the “gas fuel adjustment” or “purchase gas adjustment,” which is the charge for the cost of gas on the market. That fee increased from $0.4366 to $0.8599 per Ccf, about a 97% increase.
I went to the EIA website and looked at natural gas spot prices. The average Henry Hub spot price for natural gas in January 2025 was $4.13/MMBTU. The average Henry Hub spot price in January 2026 was $7.72/MMBTU. An increase of about 87%.
I don’t think there’s any grand conspiracy here. There was a huge spike in the price of gas last month.
quote:
It’s real. BBC got the video first. And it’s him. It’s his riot/protesting ensemble. He wanted to look like a GI.
I haven’t read the other 17 or so pages to see if this got hashed out, but it’s a little troubling to see “it’s real, BBC got the video first” stated as fact followed by two sources that aren’t BBC.
I have no clue if this one is real or not (just because I haven’t dug into it much yet) but I’m confident about this:
If you see someone tweet a video saying “XYZ news obtained” whatever, you should really try to find and verify the reputable source before sharing it. AI image and video generation is getting insanely good, and we (society) need to start trying to vet this stuff before sharing it if we’re gonna have any fricking chance at separating the truth from the bullshite.
/rant
re: Fallout Season 2 Thread - Prime Video
Posted by lostinbr on 1/23/26 at 7:56 am to Hawgnsincebirth55
quote:
that’s what I thought surprised we haven’t heard from them yet but then again there presence isn’t strong out west.
Didn’t the scientist with the cold fusion cell escape from the Enclave in season 1? The guy from Lost who warned Goggins’ wife in elevator this week.
Or am I misremembering that?
re: Regarding a bridge and loop around Baton Rouge
Posted by lostinbr on 1/22/26 at 9:52 am to nicholastiger
quote:
how the Federal Govt never stepped in and fixed it is beyond ridiculous
Federal money is the only reason any of the big projects are moving forward right now. They aren’t just going to come in and foot the entire cost of a multibillion dollar loop. The state has to have skin in the game, and the state has more projects than money already.
quote:
I don’t see that as an apt comparison. I’ve yet to see anyone so much as attempt to explain how we go from LLM to AGI. As far as I can tell, one doesn’t evolve into the other.
Part of the problem is that people can’t agree on the definition of AGI in the first place.
That being said.. if we can create models that match or surpass human performance across an array of individual tasks, we should be able to combine those models via the mixture-of-experts approach, with a core LLM likely acting as the human-machine interface.
I don’t see LLM’s as “evolving” into AGI so much as the glue that makes AGI functionally possible. They’ll have to be combined with other types of models (for example speech recognition, computer vision, data analysis, etc.) to extend the capabilities. We are already seeing steps in that direction with the public models available today.
Ultimately I think the technical barriers are:
1. Identifying cognitive tasks/functions that are not adequately addressed by current AI models, and developing new models to attack them.
2. Creating the core model that handles goal setting, planning, and execution. Right now it looks (to me) like this is something LLM’s might be able to accomplish, but this could end up being something novel.
3. Connecting everything together and giving it the freedom to step out “into the real world.”
I don’t think any of these are insurmountable with the trajectory we are on right now. I think the real (practical) question is scalability. Building AGI is one thing. Scaling it is another, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit a major bottleneck in compute power before it’s all said and done.
re: BR Advocate Letter to Editor Solves I-10 Loop Problem
Posted by lostinbr on 1/20/26 at 10:27 am to Tchefuncte Tiger
quote:
What about eastbound? This seems to be the big problem on I-10/MRB due to a terrible design flaw of the eastbound off ramp of the bridge.
So the way they presented the data makes it hard to say exactly. They used StreetLight, which is a dataset built up from mobile device data (as I understand it). They broke BR and the surrounding area up into “zones” for origins & destination of bridge crossings. There were 2 zones for I-10 outside of the model area (one for I-10 past Port Allen, and one for I-10 past Ascension).
The issue is that the technical report doesn’t include full data for all eastbound and westbound crossing origins and destinations for every zone. Instead, they only included the top 5 origins in each direction. This is what it looks like:
So two things:
1. I-10 External (zone 3016 on the east side of BR) didn’t make the top 5 westbound origins. So I don’t have the exact percentage, but we know it’s less than 10.6%.
2. We don’t know what the westbound crossing destinations look like in detail. However, I think it’s reasonable to assume that on average, westbound destinations should roughly align with eastbound origins.
There is the following snippet which offers some additional clarity:
This is the model they developed from the data, rather than the actual StreetLight data itself. The width of each bar corresponds to a volume of average daily eastbound traffic across the I-10 bridge. You can see how the bar is widest on the bridge itself (since that’s 100% of the volume) and quickly falls off as you get to I-10 and I-12 further east. This is a result of traffic exiting the interstate.
To my eye, it looks like something like half of the eastbound bridge traffic exits before the 10/12 split.
re: BR Advocate Letter to Editor Solves I-10 Loop Problem
Posted by lostinbr on 1/19/26 at 11:17 pm to Tchefuncte Tiger
quote:
Some local engineer and state senator proposed a plan that would make a bypass around Baton Rouge by improving Highway 1 to tie in with the bridge at Luling (and possibly the 610 bridge). The estimated cost of the entire project was less that the cost of building one bridge across the Mississippi, but wasn't considered because it would adversely affect "historic Plaquemine."
I’m beating a dead horse at this point, but the published traffic data shows that a small percentage of I-10 bridge crossings would be affected by this.
The data shows that less than ~10% of westbound crossings originate from I-10 past Ascension. (It’s not clear how much less than 10% comes from I-10 past Ascension because they only listed the top 5 trip origins.)
In other words, vehicles traveling between I-10 west of Port Allen and I-10 east of Ascension make up a tiny portion of total daily traffic on the bridge. Most of the vehicles crossing the bridge have origins or destinations in East Baton Rouge parish. And that’s total average daily traffic.. without even accounting for the fact that the numbers are skewed more toward local traffic during peak congestion.
Contrary to popular belief, bypassing BR altogether doesn’t fix the issue. And if you were going to build a bypass around BR, you’d be better off doing a North bypass to I-12.. which is harder and still doesn’t have the impact people expect. They need more capacity to get people into/out of Baton Rouge, not around it.
quote:
How old are you? That's been standard tipping practice for decades until relatively recently.
15% was normal.
20% was for great service
10% was if they did the job but barely put in any effort.
What you are calling “standard tipping practice” is considerably better than what the other guy said. :dunno:
re: BR Advocate Letter to Editor Solves I-10 Loop Problem
Posted by lostinbr on 1/19/26 at 1:16 pm to SpotCheckBilly
quote:
Why not build a limited access toll road either north or south of Baton Rouge for thru traffic? You get on it before BR, have one exit east of the river and one exit west of the river before merging back with I-10
Long answer:
You really need daily commuters to finance a toll road.. particularly in a state without a robust existing toll system.
Most of the peak traffic on the I-10 bridge is local (entering or exiting in Baton Rouge). Something like half of eastbound trips exit the interstate before the 10/12 split, with the remaining trips being split roughly 50/50 between I-10 and I-12 EB. On the west side of the river, about a third of eastbound trips originate from LA1 south of I-10. This is all according to the traffic modeling from the MRB site selection study.
That all makes a toll bridge primarily focused on commuter traffic somewhat viable, which is why it’s exactly what they want to build. The issue is that it also means the viability of the tollway decreases as you go further east and west of the river. Particularly on the west side, where a new freeway connecting from the south side of Plaquemine to I-10 would be pretty expensive.
They could have alleviated some of this by choosing one of the sites north of Plaquemine (Addis looked pretty good in particular) and utilizing the planned LA-415 connector along with improvements to LA-1, but then the issue is that all of the traffic hits Bluebonnet on the east side. Every option has its issues.
People fixate on the lack of a true controlled-access “loop” or “bypass” as a failure of the plan, but in reality the drivers most likely to use a full loop are also the least likely to be willing to pay the tolls. And the higher the price tag, the harder it is to get funding (and it’s already damn near impossible).
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