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lostinbr
Favorite team: | LSU ![]() |
Location: | Baton Rouge, LA |
Biography: | |
Interests: | |
Occupation: | |
Number of Posts: | 11666 |
Registered on: | 10/15/2017 |
Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
re: People who fan themselves during services are annoying
Posted by lostinbr on 4/20/25 at 10:39 am
quote:
fanning yourself is not going to cool you off with the warm air that you are fanning yourself with
I think people who fan themselves with programs are dramatic but this isn’t really true.
re: The UAP “whistle” is now publicly available and free to use
Posted by lostinbr on 4/20/25 at 1:04 am
quote:
This apparently is the UAP dog whistle they are using in scientific study with 100% success rate in California desert
Just to reiterate, the only actual scientist on the team running this “scientific study” is an immunologist.
The whole Skywatcher team (as listed on their website) consists of:
- One PhD (an immunologist).
- One guy with a “doctorate of strategic security studies” from a degree mill and a cybersecurity background, albeit with the US government.
- Another cybersecurity/crypto guy with a philosophy master’s.
- A VC guy that got rich at a young age (presumably funding the operation).
- 3 Air Force vets (one of which appears to run the company).
- 3 “psionic operatives” (as self-described)
- An Arkansas cop who got fired and became an MMA instructor.
- A guy with no background I can find online whatsoever.
re: Alabama 7 @ LSU 4 Final - SECN
Posted by lostinbr on 4/19/25 at 7:35 pm
5 strikes no swings.. still at the plate :casty:
re: Alabama 7 @ LSU 4 Final - SECN
Posted by lostinbr on 4/19/25 at 7:34 pm
Wtf
re: NCAA approves rule changes to combat players faking injuries
Posted by lostinbr on 4/17/25 at 12:55 pm
quote:
Yeah, this wont fix anything. They either wont send the Medical crew out for these fake injuries, or they will get the “signal” in a little faster so that they lay down before the ball is spotted!
Yeah I don’t really get it either. Reading the rule book, as far as I understand injury timeouts are decided by the officials (not the medical staff). There’s nothing that says the medical staff has to enter the field for an injury. It does say the player must be treated/evaluated before returning to the game, but I haven’t seen anything that says the evaluation has to happen on the field.
So if a player is faking an injury they can just go down, wait for the official to declare an injury timeout, roll around on the ground for a second, then take their sweet time gingerly limping to the sideline.. without being penalized.
Meanwhile a player who is actually injured goes down and either has to walk off the field with an injury before being evaluated, OR the medical staff comes out and the team is penalized.
Maybe there’s something I’m missing, but at face value it appears this will penalize actual injuries while doing nothing for fake injuries. I guess the logic is that injured players tend to be down before the ball is spotted but it’s odd to base it on the medical team entering the field instead of basing it on a player going down. And sometimes officials spot the ball pretty damn quickly during late game situations.
re: Driver dies after trailer hitch falls off truck, goes through his windshield
Posted by lostinbr on 4/17/25 at 12:29 pm
quote:
That's some final destination shite
Happens more often than you would think. Usually it’s a trailer hitch or a hubcap.
There was an incident 7-8 years ago on I45 north of Houston where some kind of metal pin fell off of a tractor trailer. It bounced over the barricade into the oncoming lane and killed a driver who was going 70mph in the opposite direction (the pin went through his windshield and wound up embedded in his seat).
In that case the vehicle came to a stop safely on its own because the concrete barriers on the interstate are designed to slow & stop a moving vehicle. Those barriers are wider at the base where a tire would hit them.
re: Lacy lawyer interview
Posted by lostinbr on 4/16/25 at 5:21 pm
quote:
have to factor in the same numbers for the car in front of you
Fair (although there are scenarios such as collision in front of you where this isn’t necessarily the case). Pick 100 drivers at random and have the car in front of them lock their brakes. What percentage do you think can avoid accident without swerving into another lane?
What’s more reckless: driving on the wrong side of the road in a no-passing zone with no shoulders or driving too closely behind someone to avoid them when they lock their brakes up?
re: Lacy lawyer interview
Posted by lostinbr on 4/16/25 at 5:12 pm
quote:
how far behind someone are you supposed to drive?
Do you drive 260+ feet behind the car in front of you on the interstate? Because that’s your stopping distance at 70 mph with a 0.25 second reaction time.
Yeah, people should leave enough following distance to fully stop. The vast majority of people don’t. I would bet money that you don’t.
The vast majority of people do have enough sense not to pass in a no-passing zone, on a two-lane road with no shoulder.
Only an idiot or a contrarian would argue that a pedestrian walking into the interstate didn’t “cause the wreck” in the example I gave, regardless of whether that pedestrian is held legally responsible.
Also..
quote:
The answer by law is far enough to stop in anal emergency.
:lol:
re: Lacy lawyer interview
Posted by lostinbr on 4/16/25 at 4:57 pm
quote:
The only way it’s his fault is if she would have hit him if she didn’t swerve into the other guy.
There’s a question of whether he would have been convicted, then there’s a question of whether he logically deserves blame.
Let’s say I walk out into the middle of the interstate and cause the first cars in line to lock up their brakes. There’s a 15-car pileup behind them and someone dies. Am I criminally responsible for that death? I don’t know, probably not. Did I cause the accident? Uhh… yeah.
re: What if we're each in our individual simulation
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 10:47 pm
Well if we are each in our own individual simulation, then everyone you’re interacting with (including me) must be a bot. And everyone I’m interacting with (including you) is a bot. So.. one of us isn’t real.
Unless this is an MMO kind of simulation.
Unless this is an MMO kind of simulation.
re: Karen Read murder trial
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 10:40 pm
That’s pretty much where I’m at. Maybe she did it, maybe she didn’t. I have no idea. But there’s so much reasonable doubt everywhere that I don’t see how she gets convicted.
re: Indonesia to Offer to Buy $10 Billion of Additional U.S. Energy Goods
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 10:36 pm
quote:
While this is good, wouldn’t this hurt every other sector of our economy if we drop tariffs and they only buy energy? Sure it’s a boom for O&G but all other sectors would suffer
That’s a matter of perspective. It’s good for O&G companies but bad for retailers and most non-O&G manufacturers. At face value it’s a net positive for US GDP because we are a net exporter of crude oil + refined products and it decreases our overall trade deficits.
However, it can still turn out to be a net negative for GDP if increased oil prices lead to decreased consumer spending elsewhere, which can quickly multiply throughout the supply chain and service economy to offset the GDP gains.
So the reality is complicated. Nobody should really be making definitive statements about energy exports one way or the other TBH.
re: Indonesia to Offer to Buy $10 Billion of Additional U.S. Energy Goods
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 10:23 pm
quote:
Int’l based Major Oil Co with US assets produces tanker full of crude oil
Int’l based Major Oil CO’s trading company sells / buys contracts (paper) on crude (physical crude in this tanker may be traded multiple times before it finally offloads at final destination).
So, how does “buying from US” take place when U.S. does not own this crude. What is the control on point A (US) to point B (Indonesia) in this crude / tariff transaction.
A few things here.. long post ahead (sorry):
First, it doesn’t really matter that the oil company is international. Odds are the company is headquartered in the US anyway, but that doesn’t really matter either. What matters most of the time is the country of origin for the shipment in question.
So if Shell (headquartered in London) produces a tanker worth of crude oil in the US, then sells it to a foreign trading company who loads it onto a foreign-flag tanker and ships it to Indonesia.. it’s still a US export to Indonesia.
Second, these trade deals are generally not as straightforward as “country A agrees to buy $x of [goods] from country B.” That’s how they often get simplified for media purposes but reality can be much more complicated. The deal often has something to do with import quotas.
The import quota is a cap on imports of a specific good such as crude oil or LP gas (using the examples in OP). That quota might apply to all imports or just imports from a specific country. It can also be absolute or tariff-based. With an absolute quota, the government basically says the country can only import x [unit of measure] of a specific good. After that, no more imports. If it’s tariff-based, the government applies a tariff rate to imports once the quota is filled.
So a country’s government can pull some levers to “buy more” from another country by playing with quotas. If Indonesia has a quota on US crude oil set as 5MM bbl/year and raises that quota to 10MM bbl/year, that might get spun as “Indonesia will buy an additional 5 million barrels of crude oil from the US.”
Whether that statement is true or not depends on many factors. If the US is only shipping 2.5MM bbl/year to Indonesia and their quota is set at 5MM bbl/year, increasing the quota by another 5 million barrels probably isn’t going to change much because they aren’t currently reaching the quota anyway
If they are reaching the quota, there are still other factors. If they increase their quota for US crude while simultaneously decreasing baseline tariffs for Saudi crude, the quota change may not have the intended effect as Saudi crude becomes more competitive. If every other country also increases their quotas on US crude at the same time, making US crude oil more expensive in the global market due to higher demand, that’s also going to dampen the effect (although it’s still a net positive for US producers and incentivizes further US investment in O&G operations).
Of course there are other cases where a country might actually make a legitimate commitment to buy a certain amount of US goods. Particularly if it’s a market sector where the country’s government directly controls imports. Defense spending is an obvious example. Oil & gas could fall into this category if there’s a national oil company who owns the refineries.
re: Did our 2024 Run Game suck, is Brad Davis terrible, or maybe we just didn't run enough?
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 8:27 pm
quote:
373 Rushing Attemps last year totaling just over 1500 yards. Avg run was 4.1 yards a carry. Those are SOLID numbers. UGA averaged 4.1 YAC UT Averaged 4.4 YAC Both playoff teams.
SEC rank - team - rushing yards per attempt
1. Tennessee - 5.03
2. Auburn - 4.92
3. Arkansas - 4.86
4. Texas A&M - 4.83
5. Alabama - 4.63
6. Ole Miss - 4.57
7. Florida - 4.55
8. South Carolina - 4.35
9. Texas - 4.33
10. Missouri - 4.13
T11. Georgia - 4.06
T11. LSU - 4.06
13. Mississippi State - 3.95
14. Kentucky - 3.94
15. Oklahoma - 3.87
16. Vanderbilt - 3.83
The teams you listed are in bold.
Here are the stats vs. SEC opponents:
T1. Alabama - 4.38
T1. Auburn - 4.38
3. Texas - 4.32
4. Texas A&M - 4.28
5. Tennessee - 4.25
6. Florida - 4.22
7. Arkansas - 4.03
8. South Carolina - 4.01
9. Mississippi State - 3.74
10. Ole Miss - 3.72
11. Missouri - 3.69
12. Georgia - 3.60
13. LSU - 3.59
14. Vanderbilt - 3.56
15. Kentucky - 3.24
16. Oklahoma - 3.14
So LSU tied for 11th in the SEC for yards per attempt, and was 13th in yards per attempt vs. conference opponents. No, those are not “SOLID numbers” despite the fact that UGA had similar production against one of the toughest schedules in the country.
quote:
How does this compare to let's say Ohio who won the Natty?
534 Rushes 2662 Yards 5.0 YAC
Ohio State… not Ohio. And there is a massive difference between 4.1 YPC and 5.0 YPC.
quote:
If you really dig into the numbers, all of the teams who had better YAC or more yards total, simply ran the ball more than we did.
Breaking: Teams who have successful rushing offenses tend to run the ball more. Other news at 10.
I think there were a lot of factors that led to our lack of rushing success:
- Losing Emery early
- Durham’s injury right when he hit his stride
- Dellinger’s injury later in the season
- Trying to be too multiple in our rushing attack early on (we started off running a lot of counter, power, inside zone, and outside zone out of a lot of different looks)
- Poor center play, which is a killer when you’re running counter/power with pulling OL
- OL who have almost exclusively run zone schemes their entire time at LSU trying to run gap schemes 50+% of the time (we went back to more zone as the season went on)
I don’t think it’s one thing in particular. At the same time, I think it’s a little silly to suggest that we would have been better if we just kept beating our heads against that wall. If you’re running for 4.06 ypc when you only run 40% of the time, you aren’t going to suddenly start getting 5 ypc by running 60% of the time. You’re going to be less effective, because defenses will be playing the run instead of the pass.
re: OT help - college kid fender bender, parent being difficult
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 7:25 pm
quote:
Deductible and rate increases the next several years.
Yeah that’s the shitty part, I agree.
re: OT help - college kid fender bender, parent being difficult
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 7:25 pm
quote:
It was in a parking lot, no one is at fault. Your insurance covers your damage and their insurance covers their. Sucks, but that’s how it is in LA.
OP says they left a note, which implies they hit an unoccupied parked car.
re: OT help - college kid fender bender, parent being difficult
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 7:23 pm
quote:
Kids vehicle hit on campus parking lot by another kid, minor damage. Note left. Contacted parent, asked to get quote.
So the kid left a note with their parents’ contact info?
I assume you have the identity of the actual driver and their license plate number? I’d file a police report first and then file the claim with your insurance (assuming you have collision). I’d also make a copy of the note and any communications to give to the police when you file the report.
Worse case scenario is that you pay your deductible and move on - which would still be better than just eating it if they ghosted you, unless the damage is super minor or something. Best case scenario is that your insurance goes after their insurance, you get your deductible back, and you get the added satisfaction of winning after they tried to ghost you.
re: Details on Kyren Lacy released by Houston Police
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 5:35 pm
quote:
If the vehicle you want to pass is only going slightly less than speed limit you have to go faster than them or you wouldn't overtake them and be able to pass.
If they’re going 1 mph below the speed limit, why are you passing them in the first place (an inherently risky move on two-lane highways) unless you intend to drive considerably faster than that?
If they’re driving 5 mph below the speed limit and you pass them at the speed limit, you will overtake them at 7.3 feet per second. At a 5 mph speed differential, you should be able to overtake an average vehicle and get back in your lane in about 6 seconds.
I would argue that, if you don’t think you have 6 seconds, you shouldn’t be passing on a two-lane road in the first place. That said, in the same scenario you can cut the time to about 4.4 seconds by going 2 mph over the limit. Or about 3 seconds by going 5 mph over the limit.
But what is your actual point? Do you think it was a legal passing zone? Do you think when LSP said he “recklessly passed multiple vehicles at a high rate of speed” they meant he was going 2-5 mph over the limit?
re: Details on Kyren Lacy released by Houston Police
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 4:15 pm
quote:
When you're passing cars on a two lane road you have to go faster than the posted speed limit.
Well that’s just.. not really true.
quote:
Even if passing legally, there's always the possibility that someone turns into the opposing lane from a driveway or side road.
Which is exactly why legal passing zones on two-lane roads are placed in specific locations. Visibility for the passing driver is a major factor in whether or not there is a passing zone. Intersections are another factor. Hazards such as driveways are another factor. This is the entire reason we have no-passing zones.
So.. sure - if you’re in a no-passing zone, in an area with limited visibility, cross streets, and/or a lot of driveways, trying to pass a car who is driving at or near the posted speed limit… then yeah, you probably do have to haul arse around them. That’s why it’s reckless.
re: Details on Kyren Lacy released by Houston Police
Posted by lostinbr on 4/15/25 at 2:34 pm
quote:
In front of him as he was traveling in the wrong lane giving oncoming traffic nowhere to go?
Like I said. How about the Lacy contingent just lay out the facts as they know it. Simply saying “it was in front of him” is suspiciously lacking in detail. Saying “the DA hasn’t accepted charges” is suspiciously off base given that it’s common to defer to a GJ in high profile cases. Saying “why wasn’t another driver charged criminally” is suspiciously off base given that drivers in accidents are often sued civilly even when they didn’t cause the accident.
This all sounds like misdirection. Lay out the facts. Explain to me why Lacy didn’t cause or contribute to the accident. Explain why he fled. Then explain why he was so distraught that he killed himself even though his attorney was almost certain this would be completely resolved for him the next day.
To be clear: I’m 100% not trying to do what you seem to be accusing me of doing. I am, in no way, implying that Lacy being behind the Kia Sorento makes him innocent.
I’m saying that to many of us, the LSP statement always implied he was behind the Sorento (despite some folks claiming that this is a new development that directly contradicts LSP’s account of the events).
Yes - he can still cause the entire accident, through his own reckless acts, without being ahead of the Kia Sorento. I think there’s probably a legitimate question of whether the state would be able to actually get a conviction on the negligent homicide charge, but that’s a bit of a different discussion IMO. Ultimately, if he was indeed passing at high speed in a no-passing zone (and causing cars to swerve out of the way) it’s still reckless and caused the chain of events to unfold.
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