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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:21 pm to ReauxlTide222
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:21 pm to ReauxlTide222
What quadrant of Lakeland are you bailing to?
1
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:21 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
The track they are showing right now is exactly where it was showing Monday and Tuesday earlier this week.
Maybe it's a few glasses of wine thats fogging my memory, but I thought several of the models had moved a little east at some point earlier in the week.
No biggie either way.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:22 pm to notiger1997
quote:
Yeah, I can't even figure out why some are arguing here and what the point is now.
It started a little west a earlier in the week. Went east. Now back west. All within reason and we know that more than three days from landfall is pretty difficult to predict.
Seems that the forecasters and the people in the know in this thread have done a damn good job so far.
I was speaking more about the fact that the storm is currently moving west - which was expected at this point.
There was a pretty big spread between the EURO and GFS at one point - but everything is coalescing to the track we have now, which is still within the long-range cone of uncertainty from a few days ago.
And truthfully, a little interaction with Cuba is a good thing to possibly knock a little out of Irma's punch.
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 6:25 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:22 pm to loogaroo
Pretty interesting how after a week of everyone thinking this was going to be an Atlantic coast storm and everyone on that side freaking out it looks like this is going to move into Florida on the Gulf side.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:23 pm to slackster
does the eye go into Cuba at all in the model continuation?
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 6:24 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:23 pm to loogaroo
Side note, Hurricane Katia is now a category 3 storm. Thank God she stayed in the Bay of Campeche.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:23 pm to slackster
quote:
Pressure was down to 924mb and she's looking better organized around the core:
Well that sucks.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:23 pm to notiger1997
quote:
It started a little west a earlier in the week. Went east. Now back west. All within reason and we know that more than three days from landfall is pretty difficult to predict. Seems that the forecasters and the people in the know in this thread have done a damn good job so far.
At no point did anyone expect Irma to make landfall in Florida on the Gulf side of the state.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:24 pm to notiger1997
quote:
Maybe it's a few glasses of wine thats fogging my memory, but I thought several of the models had moved a little east at some point earlier in the week.
No biggie either way.
I just remember the track going right over the Keys then a sharp right turn due north or slighty north north East
ETA slackster will be here shortly to correct both of us if we're wrong
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 6:25 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:24 pm to slackster
Slackster- how quickly can one of the troughs or features steering Irma fail, strengthen, etc and throw everything into overdrive? Does the presence of Jose and Katia add any more unpredictability to the models?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:24 pm to bamabenny
quote:
Looks like this bitch is heading right towards Key West where my stubborn brother is sitting and waiting
He will be alright. Surely there is some place in Key West where he can go to escape bodily harm from this thing.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:25 pm to The Boat
Truth
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:26 pm to tgrbaitn08
Ever been to Marco Island? Say bye bye to a lot of beautiful real estate.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:26 pm to Tbonepatron
quote:
Jeff is live
Link?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:27 pm to Funky Tide 8
Bottomless strip club in Ricks doesn't have any windows
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:27 pm to cajuncarguy
quote:
Ever been to Marco Island? Say bye bye to a lot of beautiful real estate.
Yes I actually have and I said earlier in this thread it's my favorite place along the Gulf Coast.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:28 pm to rds dc
18z GEFS with a cluster over Tampa
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:28 pm to cajuncarguy
quote:
Ever been to Marco Island? Say bye bye to a lot of beautiful real estate.
I've got a client that lives in Miami and has houses in Marco Island and Charleston.
Two days ago he was thinking about going to the Marco Island house. He's now heading to Charleston
This storm is also screwing with almost all of my desired beach options for this winter.
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 6:30 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:29 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
Did Liz return to tell us if she found gas or is she hellbent on staying?
She's staying. I think part of her concern about gas was being up the road and not being able to find gas. I don't think lack of fuel was keeping her from leaving. She seemed like she didn't want to deal with the hassle. She's got a brand new, up to Florida Hurricane code home. She's been through power outages before and doesn't think there's a flooding threat at her residence. She's measuring her neighbor's trees to calculate their impact area. But she doesn't want to sit in traffic for 15 hours.
I get it. Evacuating is a pain in the arse and it's not cheap. After you arrive at wherever you evacuate to, all you can do is worry. There's the anxiety of not knowing what is happening to your home and wondering when the local petty dictator will "open" his municipality (I'm talking to you, Aaron Broussard! You bald headed prick!) to allow you to return to your home. Then you get to sit in even more traffic trying to return. frick that.
Gustav hit on a Monday (I think). Broussard "opened" Jefferson Parish Thursday evening. My ex got home Friday a.m. She had been stuck in BR for 4+ days in a large, but crowded house. I had repaired a blown down fence, cleaned up our yard and the yards of an elderly neighbor and a cop working about 16 hours a day. I was the a-hole for not going to Baton Rouge with her.
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