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5
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:30 pm to White Roach
The poker room at Tampa Bay Downs gives zero fricks. They are closing Saturday at 5:00 though.
quote:
Tampa Bay Downs? @TampaBayDownsFL 9h9 hours ago
We are open!! High Hands pay up to $500, $55 buy in $1k guaranteed MT at 1pm!!
1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:31 pm to Festus
South Carolina looks safe. Georgia can start to relax soon. Three days ago models trended east and some even had it hooking and missing the Atlantic coast of Florida all together but ever since then it's been west west west.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:31 pm to Hangit
What about West bay to bay and Manhattan?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:31 pm to Dick Jacket
quote:
Slackster- how quickly can one of the troughs or features steering Irma fail, strengthen, etc and throw everything into overdrive? Does the presence of Jose and Katia add any more unpredictability to the models?
rds mentioned the outflow from Katia added to things, but the model ensembles are pretty tightly clustered. Inside of 3 days we're basically in the NHC's wheelhouse. I wouldn't expect anything significant either way at this point.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:32 pm to slackster
quote:
This is from 1AM Tuesday morning Euro
Whoa one model. That's why we have tons of models and we shoot down the center of them. The NHC track never had it on the Gulf side.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:33 pm to slackster
I mean sure, the hurricane center was clear about the uncertainty of the timing of the turn and never discounted a West coast of Florida solution. Sure the pro in this thread never suggested an east coast of Florida landfall was a certainty and that a West coast of Florida hit wasn't a realistic possibility.
But you ignore them, the other people that work at the NWS, and the other ameture wanna be Mets in this thread who never focused on an east Florida hit and the wish casters pushing it much farther west than reason would allow, he's right.
But you ignore them, the other people that work at the NWS, and the other ameture wanna be Mets in this thread who never focused on an east Florida hit and the wish casters pushing it much farther west than reason would allow, he's right.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:34 pm to The Boat
There was a time where I think the majority of models had it making landfall somewhere between South Carolina and North Carolina. But like it's been said, more than 5 days out is not necessarily that accurate.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:34 pm to slackster
quote:
This is from 1AM Tuesday morning Euro.
One person in last page was saying it was always going where it is now and someone else is saying it never was and was always going up the east coast.
It's all good folks. We are splitting hairs now. I wish the best for all of the Florida people. Be safe.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:34 pm to The Boat
quote:
Whoa one model. That's why we have tons of models and we shoot down the center of them. The NHC track never had it on the Gulf side.
More importantly, companies shut down Miami offices on Wednesday but left Bay Area offices open through today. Some Gulf coast residents got a raw deal with the evacuation timing regardless of what any models said.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:34 pm to slackster
I get that, but I guess my question is more toward swings toward the outer edges of the cone. For instance - how quickly could we have a shift where this thing ends up hugging the eastern side of the cone?
I ask because there are a lot of people in my area, including myself, second guessing the mandatory evac for Georgia coast.
I ask because there are a lot of people in my area, including myself, second guessing the mandatory evac for Georgia coast.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:35 pm to The Boat
quote:
Georgia can start to relax soon.
lolwut?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:36 pm to Hangit
quote:I'm not sure....?
What quadrant of Lakeland are you bailing to?
I'll be in south Lakeland.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:36 pm to Dick Jacket
Pretty impressive storms firing off all around the periphery of the storm. Convection is wrapping around the middle pretty well too.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:38 pm to Centinel
Tiny Ave Maria University opted to put it in God's hands and shelter in place. I guess God was a mite busy, because the latest track puts the eyewall right over them.
quote:
Hurricane Irma Updates
#5 – 9/8/2017 2:05 pm – Hurricane Irma meeting today with students
Dear Ave Maria University faithful:
We had a wonderful meeting this morning in the Golisano Fieldhouse. The students showed such maturity and eagerness to learn what plans the University in place. They were welcomed by Student Government President Stephen Akers and then briefed by senior administrators on every detail. They were informed that when curfew is announced, they are to shelter in their residence halls and remain inside until given the “all clear.” Any who had a question had their concerns addressed. One student asked if there were opportunities for confession between now and Irma’s arrival! I loved that (and the answer was “yes”).
I was reminded this morning of how fortunate I am to be around these fine young men and women (and how much we miss those who are temporarily away from campus but are very much in our hearts). The students at one point gave our administration and staff prolonged applause for all that has been put in place (these amazing folks neglected attending to the demands of their own families so that they could care for the Ave community and infrastructure).
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:38 pm to notiger1997
The Boat is an idiot who just wants to disagree with anything anyone is posting.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:38 pm to slackster
quote:
Pretty impressive storms firing off all around the periphery of the storm. Convection is wrapping around the middle pretty well too.
Which is why even those of us in western SC still need to be paying attention.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:39 pm to Dick Jacket
quote:
I get that, but I guess my question is more toward swings toward the outer edges of the cone. For instance - how quickly could we have a shift where this thing ends up hugging the eastern side of the cone?
I ask because there are a lot of people in my area, including myself, second guessing the mandatory evac for Georgia coast.
The thing about the Georgia coast is you'll have an early warning if you're the target. Georgia really isn't in play from a direct landfall unless Irma starts her northward movements ASAP. She's running out of room to get there without significant interaction with Florida.
I'd stick to your local NWS outlet for now.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 6:40 pm to tgrbaitn08
Love how the wanna bes in the hurricane threads get their jimmies rustled when storms do things they weren't expected to do.
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