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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:50 pm to LSUBoo
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:50 pm to LSUBoo
Most likely so but if it hits panhandle of Florida first and took that track there towards Atlanta they'd be getting hit pretty hard I'd imagine but Atlanta is pretty far inland so hard to say.
0
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:50 pm to rt3
quote:
my obsession over this storm has me sleep deprived
I haven't slept for days.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:50 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Hmmm Jose is wanting some attention
he just wants a blowie
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:52 pm to LaBR4
quote:
It's day 3-4 after the storm where you're still walking in the kitchen and bathroom and the hand reflex still goes to the light switch...tell yourself, you dummy, the power has been off since Sunday and your still going for the switch.
That's what I think she's not anticipating ... she didn't mention generator or not.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:52 pm to UAinSOUTHAL
quote:
This would be best case as that is largely uninhabited land.
This euro would obliterate the keys though and be bad on Fort Myers
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:52 pm to roadGator
Not sure if anyone posted this but the tracks in the models seem pretty tight the next few days.
I'll bet they shift that cone of error a little more west.
I'll bet they shift that cone of error a little more west.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:53 pm to slackster
quote:
Good to announce this now and get resources in order, but there is a decent chance SC could avoid any direct landfall.
A landfall in Savannah is basically a landfall in SC.
I know the Euro shifted west, but like you said, good to announce now.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:55 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
A landfall in Savannah is basically a landfall in SC.
I know the Euro shifted west, but like you said, good to announce now.
No doubt. However, the newest euro gets us in Cola, off the hook pretty significantly.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:57 pm to OldSouth
quote:
Whatever you do, don't listen to this guy. The NHC has Orlando 50 miles from there in its latest forecast.
NHC Wind speed probabilities for select locations
For those worried about effects in their area, I'd suggest checking these wind speed probabilities again around 4PM CDT when the NHC updates them.
Orlando, for example, had a 15% chance of seeing hurricane force winds as of the 10AM CDT update.
These things are 100% guaranteed to change as the storm gets closer and the tracks get more accurate, but it is better than nothing for now, and is an actual NHC product.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:01 pm to slackster
Are you agreeing with that guy that Orlando is "100% safe"?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:03 pm to AU4real35
quote:Is WHAT the updated version?
Is this the updated version of the storm track?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:04 pm to OldSouth
So it looks like this Euro run just shows the models still don't have a good idea on just when the turn to the north will happen.
I wonder if they truly won't until 12-24 hours out.
I wonder if they truly won't until 12-24 hours out.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:05 pm to CidCock
One of the great mysteries in my life is why you people thought it would be a good idea to call Columbia, 'cola'. Someone says that to me, I think Pensacola or apalachicola, not Columbia.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:05 pm to OldSouth
quote:
Are you agreeing with that guy that Orlando is "100% safe"?
I feel like this is a weird question to answer.
Obviously you won't get storm surge and you may not flood and your roof may not get ripped off
But you might get trees on your house and cars and flying debris, right?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:06 pm to TigerStripes06
quote:
One of the great mysteries in my life is why you people thought it would be a good idea to call Columbia, 'cola'. Someone says that to me, I think Pensacola or apalachicola, not Columbia.
I was trying to make sense of what that guy meant about Pensacola
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:06 pm to OldSouth
quote:
Are you agreeing with that guy that Orlando is "100% safe"?
I'm not an expert, but to suggest anywhere in the Florida peninsula is "100% safe" seems a bit irresponsible with 4-5 days left to go.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:06 pm to rt3
quote:
this is a doom & gloom thread
The high pressure ridge in the euro will shift Irma west as she strengthens to 200+ mph winds and she hits Nola dead on destroying the city and then moves to Baton Rouge destroying lsu and the TIgerdroppings servers
The world is then plunged into darkness and anarchy and the 4 horsemen come down from the clouds raining brimstone and fire
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:07 pm to mightynine
There is no way to know exactly what the ridges will do until they do it. It's all about timing. They could move in more slowly at first causing this shift and then speed up during the day and the next thing you know, the 00z has it shifted back east. You just never know, you can only make educated guesses.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:07 pm to deltaland
It is known.
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