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Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:41 pm to TheGasMan
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:41 pm to TheGasMan
quote:
MUSC is shut down till Wed-Thursday (education side)
I heard the VA was starting to evacuate ICU patients today, but no word yet on if and when we are closing the hospital or any of the outpatient clinics. I'm assuming that I have to be here tomorrow and that Monday at least the VA will be closed. So I'm getting out of town Friday night late, hoping traffic is lighter at night.
1
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:41 pm to Duke
It does look better on that presentation, and with warm water ahead things could stabilize
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:42 pm to Hog Zealot
quote:
I am a civil engineer consultant and have access to topo maps and flood zones. If your family lives ON the Manatee River in Bradenton it is 100% zone "A" with finished floor elevations around 9'.
Thanks, I just found the zone on the count map. He lives between the bay and hwy 684. Definitely zone A.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:42 pm to Icansee4miles
12z HMON continues to show an exceptionally strong storm landfalling in Miami.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:42 pm to GetCocky11
I live in forest acres :(
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:43 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
They had an opportunity about ten years ago to sell the place to a developer who was willing to pay each shareholder the equivalent of $500k in cash and another 250k in stock in the development and another $50k in moving costs.
What a stupid decision to vote against that. If I lived in a mobile home park and someone offered me 550k plus 250k of stock in a development in Miami for my shitty property I believe the answer would be a resounding "yes"
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:43 pm to slackster
quote:
Yeah as it moves WNW conditions will improve, no doubt.
Historically and with the overall atmosphere currently at play, this run into the Bahamas is a sweet spot for storms to intensify. If no replacement cycle or quasi one pops up tonight, this is where you'd expect a run at sub 900 to happen.
The models aren't as bullish, even the GFS who's been bombing it out just off the Florida Coast...so it's no certainty. Just something to keep an eye on with the improving IR presentation hinting at it.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:44 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
I'd hate to be living in all those pine trees in Forest Acres.
Ya, that would be me.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:44 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
"only"
I'd hate to be living in all those pine trees in Forest Acres.
This is my reality. My neighbor has some large pines that lean my way also. I've got 3 within striking distance of my house.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:45 pm to jackmanusc
quote:
I live in forest acres :(
Well, I'm sure your house will be ok!
I just remember all the trees my family lost during Hugo, and that was well over 100 miles inland.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:45 pm to CidCock
Wow...three of us living in Forest Acres. Small world 
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:45 pm to slackster
quote:
12z HMON continues to show an exceptionally strong storm landfalling in Miami.
Obviously all these models use different algorithims and whatnot, but what does this model use different that is causing it to forecast such a massive low pressure?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:46 pm to HarryBalzack
Yeah Charlotte is in the path, but pretty far inland. Only real risk is power outages due to trees and branches, unless this thing maintains a CAT all the way to Charleston
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 12:47 pm
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:46 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
PsychTiger
Sounds like a plan. We're leaving around 2am Saturday morning to go to Greenville and stay with some family.
They're dirty Auburn fans though and we're solid Clemson. Should make for a fun Saturday night
I didn't ignore your question about Main and Maybank, it's just so far out to predict that and I don't have my topo programs and models in front of me.
As it gets closer, keep an eye on my posts and I'll have something for you Saturday or Sunday.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 12:48 pm
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:47 pm to Centinel
quote:
Wow...three of us living in Forest Acres. Small world
Hurricane watch party, I'm near Crayton MS
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:48 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
Obviously all these models use different algorithims and whatnot, but what does this model use different that is causing it to forecast such a massive low pressure?
Couldn't tell you. It's the replacement from NOAA for the GFDL. It's supposed to be an intensity model, not necessarily a track model. For reference, the GFS takes it down to 899mb in that same window.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:48 pm to rt3
rt3
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:49 pm to SippyCup
Yeah I noticed you said Palma Sola after I posted. That's the mouth of Tampa Bay. It's the last place I would want to be on any incoming storm surge. Horribly exposed out on that point.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:49 pm to TheGasMan
quote:
As it gets closer, keep an eye on my posts and I'll have something for you Saturday or Sunday.
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