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Started By
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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:33 pm to HighRoller
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:33 pm to HighRoller
quote:
So you know more than the NHC? Interesting.
Nope, I don’t and NHC is the best there is at the track.. but they miss on the strength all the time.. and as I said, I hope i’m wrong..
I’m not wishcasting.. i’m not trolling.. lived 40+ years in Houston and have been fascinated with storms since Alicia in 1983.. i’m not an expert, far from it.. I just don’t see anything out there to slow her down.:
When NHC predicts a major at landfall, it’s usually stronger than they think.. and/or it bombs out then fizzles down as it comes onshore.. either way it causes people to panic..
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 7:36 pm
3
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:35 pm to Bernie Bierman
Your gif made me laugh btw not sure why you’re being downvoted
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:35 pm to BigBro
I'm not going to bash you with this one. The ceiling is too high, and I've seen this movie before.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:37 pm to LegendInMyMind
We really need a dukke v prediction update.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:38 pm to SteelerBravesDawg
quote:
You've never heard of Albany and Columbus, GA? I find that hard to believe.
I thought we were talking about Florida.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:38 pm to deltaland
quote:
Look at this guy using such big words
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:39 pm to OysterPoBoy
Geography wasn't your best subject, was it? 
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:44 pm to Oates Mustache
I’m north east of Tallahassee. I have 2 houses here and a business. I also have a family and young kids. Everyone in this area knows what the frick is going on. If it gets bad enough I’m going to Pensacola. I would ride it out if I was solo. Wife has vetoed that. This area has been fricked the last few years. Everyone understands hurricanes here.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:44 pm to WeagleEagle
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:45 pm to Aguga
quote:
No one needs 8-10 inches of rain especially in less than 12 hours.
The 8-10 inch number is the high number and is going to be localized, not widespread. The storm is projected to move really fast, not sit on top of us spinning like that one did in Houston a couple years ago.
Most around ATL would get around 4 to 5 over a 12 hour period.
This is based on current models, of course.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:45 pm to stout
Knowing reed he will storm chase tonight, then head to Florida and ride an airboat in the hurricane
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:54 pm to WeagleEagle
quote:
I’m north east of Tallahassee.
Madison or closer? With a family not a bad idea to get out of the bullseye.
I'm north west of Tally. We're staying put but should be on the "good" side and well, lost most of our trees with Michael...
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:58 pm to shell01
I got a little fired up. I’m north west of tally as well. Havana. Have property to the east also.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:58 pm to WeagleEagle
May God keep your and your family and all those affected safe.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:58 pm to rds dc
A view from the nearest Cuban radar site.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 8:04 pm to WeagleEagle
Praying for you guys WarEagle. Hopefully it surprises and is not as strong at land fall. It’s a miserable feeling, just waiting. I feel for all of you guys in the cone.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 8:08 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
A view from the nearest Cuban radar site.
There's a Cancun radar that might give a good look. I could only find the more animated loops, though.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 8:10 pm to BigBro
quote:
either way it causes people to panic..
Maybe for people that have moved down south and don’t have the decades of experience of dealing with this scenario.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 8:16 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
It’s pretty amazing that the GFS nailed this a week before things really started to form
Posted on 9/24/24 at 8:16 pm to BigBro
This one that hit Acapulco last year...how did they whiff so badly on it? This is what nightmares are made of.
quote:
Otis originated from a disturbance several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Initially forecast to stay offshore and to only be a weak tropical storm at peak intensity, Otis instead underwent explosive intensification to reach peak winds of 165 mph (270 km/h) and weakened only slightly before making landfall as a powerful Category 5 hurricane.
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