- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
We also live in a time where lots of dumb people who have no concept of even what a 50% chance of rain means track a couple hundred mile wide hurricane down to the street level, putting big stock in five mile shifts as if it has any real implication as to impacts.
Fify
0
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:27 pm to LegendInMyMind
I remain amazed they were able to predict this happening so many days ago, before there was any tropical system at all
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:28 pm to cgrand
quote:
remain amazed they were able to predict this happening so many days ago, before there was any tropical system at all
The programming and mathematics that go on behind the scene in these models are intense.
Even still, human subjectivity is needed to create the forecasts.
It's awesome
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 6:29 pm
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:29 pm to cgrand
Nailing tracks has improved so dang much in the past decade. Intensity forecasts are still tricky though which is understandable
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 6:34 pm
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:29 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
What we're seeing now is not a storm struggling with dry air entrainment.
It’s ball shaving time.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:29 pm to lsuman25
Also seems one of the planes must have had trouble they were close to getting in then aborted and are headed home
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 6:30 pm
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:33 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Also seems one of the planes must have had trouble they were close to getting in then aborted and are headed home
I was just thinking earlier today that they've been doing better than last season. It seemed like every other flight had issues last year.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:35 pm to LegendInMyMind
Also of note the GFS had Helene getting to 990MB at 7am tomorrow and it will most likely be a good bit lower then that before that time
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:45 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Also of note the GFS had Helene getting to 990MB at 7am tomorrow and it will most likely be a good bit lower then that before that time
I'm concerned about the trajectory. I still think that Tampa is firmly on the table with this one, especially being ahead of schedule on strength. Tonight will be an interesting watch of Helene to see her general direction. I really hope Floridians are paying attention to this.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:47 pm to Mr Breeze
quote:
The sum total of atmospheric observables ambiguity are simply too opaque to achieve precise accuracy at this time
Look at this guy using such big words
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:50 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:52 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
8:00 PM EDT Tue Sep 24
Location: 19.8°N 85.3°W
Moving: WNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 991 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
...HELENE STRENGTHENING...
Location: 19.8°N 85.3°W
Moving: WNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 991 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
...HELENE STRENGTHENING...
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:56 pm to rds dc
How many here would soil their britches if they woke up in the morning to find the cone had shifted 200 miles to the west (i.e, track shifts from Tallahassee to FloraBama)?
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 7:00 pm
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:57 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
I'm concerned about the trajectory.
Most models agree on a big bend landfall in Apalachee bay, which as far as the coast is largely a low population area
It would still likely be a major hurricane over Tallahassee though
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:58 pm to lsuman25
This thread sure is low volume for a potential major hurricane in the gulf
Posted on 9/24/24 at 6:58 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
Convection finally firing near the center and even some on the west side.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:04 pm to deltaland
quote:
This thread sure is low volume for a potential major hurricane in the gulf
No big city in the crosshairs. That’s why the Mets always start these things at New Orleans or Houston or Tampa. Gotta get that ad revenue up before nobody cares.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:09 pm to deltaland
quote:
This thread sure is low volume for a potential major hurricane in the gulf
I bet that will change when people wake up tomorrow morning
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:09 pm to udtiger
quote:
How many here would soil their britches if they woke up in the morning to find the cone had shifted 200 miles to the west (i.e, track shifts from Tallahassee to FloraBama)?
Id be shocked that anyone was surprised.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 7:10 pm to rds dc
You may want to update your OP with a better radar loop as I was under the impression these use to auto update on their own when I posted it for the BirdMan earlier
Page 86 of 310
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News