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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:27 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:27 pm to
Pretty intense convective burst in NW eyewall

Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:27 pm to
fricker is gonna be a 4 tomorrow this time
Posted by dukesilver72
Texas
Member since Feb 2015
1231 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:28 pm to
Can't say this enough. The GFS has been extremely poor at cyclones the past couple of years. Don't put too much stock on what any model says but especially these GFS runs.
Posted by Junky
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2005
9219 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:28 pm to
quote:



Somewhere Bob Breck is still clinging onto his VIPIR forecast.


He wasn't, but the 5pm Fox weather guy was .

WWLTV was still showing the 1am EURO from this morning.....
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:28 pm to
I wouldn't bet against it

I still some stations with Cat 2
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 5:30 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:28 pm to
Latest rainfall thinking...

Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:30 pm to
I didn't think I'd ever see the NHC make those type of rainfall predictions
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:31 pm to
It's the worse scenario when consider 9/10 people die do to flooding during a hurricane
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 5:32 pm
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102302 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:32 pm to
quote:

rds dc


I've followed threads here as well as discussions on Gulfcoastwx for the last several hurricane seasons watching storms play out. I can't say I've seen something like this where we get this close to landfall and we still don't have a model consensus as to what's going to happen in the next 3-4 days. Have you seen this kind of uncertainty in a storm at such a late point or is this a bit of a unique setup with the steering currents not dictating much movement on Harvey?
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 5:37 pm
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150093 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:33 pm to
So I'm pretty much convinced to go to my sister's place in Dallas this weekend but my mom isn't and I really don't want to leave her alone in this storm. Is this something I should continue to try to convince her on? Shpuld I just say frick it and stay with her?
Posted by Jackie Chan
Japan?
Member since Sep 2012
4897 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:34 pm to
I'd bounce if I were you and make your mom go with you.

Granted I don't know where you are exactly.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 5:36 pm
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:34 pm to
Where you live?
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150093 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:35 pm to
Houston inside the loop
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:35 pm to
Where are you?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:36 pm to
How flood problem is the general area?
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39822 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

frick it and stay with her?


If your between Port Lavaca and Port Mansfield and 50 miles from the coast, you need to gtf out of Dodge.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150093 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:37 pm to
Haven't had too much trouble in the past
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

Houston inside the loop


Is this still considered 610? Houston has so many loops I'm not really sure anymore.
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:38 pm to
Inside the loop?

Leave.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
84964 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

Houston inside the loop


As long as you aren't along the bayous on memorial or on 59, I think you'd be fine...

Gonna be hell trying to get back next wed when it pulls out.
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