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| Favorite team: | Chicago Cubs  |
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re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 7:50 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
latest euro ensembles
GFS and Euro latest runs both have it centered around Grand Isle, where the frick is the cone of uncertainty getting Biloxi from?
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re: 2026 Formula 1 (F1) Season Thread
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 5:33 pm to TouchedTheAxeIn82
quote:
So I'm thinking the events will in fact will stay on the schedule and will in fact happen unless things get really bad in late November.
Pretty sure those races will be on, but we will see.
Is Silverstone still the backup as the final race? I know that is one they threw out there :dunno:
Remember also talk about hitting Austin again after Vegas, but think there was a scheduling conflict.
re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 5:18 pm to FutureMikeVIII
quote:
he cone is the error.
I asked earlier, were the preliminary coordinates from the small gulfstream aircraft they were supposed to fly today? Did that take place?
I know they were planning to fly one of the big boys tomorrow.
quote:
Which models were the spaghettis earlier that were 100 miles west?
EPS
Correct me if wrong, but this is based off satellite and not hurricane hunter data, correct?
Seems like its a lot further west starting point than originally thought.
re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 2:28 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
I'll get the downvoting started
Well thats not good.
quote:
The internet is indeed forever
Is that one on the Hurricane Bingo Card?
We already got longest thread ever.... I'll throw in Cone of Uncertainty. :thup:
re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 1:07 pm to Tigahs24Seven
quote:
The airport in NOLA certainly won't be closed by Noon on Friday...
The airlines haven't even put travel waivers in place... They will do that long before and most times even when the airport doesn't shut down.
Yeah, latest GFS doesn't have it into Louisiana until Sunday now
quote:
Now, when can get all of this content in one app?
Oh, you will.... for 12 easy payments of $49 a year :thup:
re: 2026 Formula 1 (F1) Season Thread
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 8:39 am to MississippiLebowski
quote:
There’s a rumor George will take the engine penalty this weekend in Singapore and then turn around and take another one in Austin
If that is the case, he may as well concede the Drivers unless they will do something to Kimi post-Austin.
If so, Brazil seems like the best choice.
quote:
Anyone know when the hunters are out there and we should know more about placement?
1230 central takeoff from Lakeland is what is scheduled as of now.
re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 8:24 am to CaptainsWafer
quote:
When is it supposed to make landfall
Around 100hrs from now according to most models... So Sat morning
quote:
More concerning to me is the intensity
The intensity on the models posted in here show a ramp up to a 2, maybe 3 out at sea, but once it gets closer to the coast and interacts with other conditions, a drop to a TS, maybe a 1 at landfall.
re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 7:52 am to OneSaintsFan
quote:
Is EPS the one engineering firms and plants have access to? Not familiar with it
Not sure who relies the most on it...
quote:
What is the EPS Model?
• Core Concept: Developed by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the EPS runs multiple parallel computer simulations (usually 50 perturbed ensemble members plus a control member) to account for the chaotic nature of the atmosphere.
• Probability Spread: Instead of showing a single deterministic path, it displays a "spaghetti plot" or spread of potential storm tracks and intensity outcomes, helping forecasters assess the likelihood of a direct hit versus a miss.
• Comparison: It serves as the European counterpart to the American Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS).
re: Hurricane Season - TD9 - Oh Boy
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/6/26 at 7:42 am to LSUTiger23
EPS has every model coming in south of the lake... going up between Baton Rouge and Slidell.
quote:
can anyone tell me how fricked we likely are if we have a flight out of NOLA on Friday morning at 7am, headed to Cancun?
Nobody knows yet. Too early for airlines to throw up travel waivers, but may start seeing them late today/early tomorrow.
I called it two weeks ago, Russell starting from back of Grid in Singapore... Having to take a new PU.
Kimi very close to locking this thing up.
Kimi very close to locking this thing up.
Musicians/Actors should stick to their craft and stay out of politics, but he’s not wrong… Trump”s inner teenage girl is tiresome. Last weeks post giving out Jordan’s personal phone number is a prime example.
quote:
Going east and may get to a tropical storm.
Phew, well thats good...
quote:
dukke v
Nvm, New Orleans is fricked
re: 2026 Formula 1 (F1) Season Thread
Posted by Lsut81 on 10/5/26 at 2:27 pm to MississippiLebowski
Hope it looks better at night, because that looks like shite :dunno:
So Fox gets all the ex-repub press secretaries and MSDNC gets the ex-dems?
Ari
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Ari
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